Thu, Jan 14 2021, 9:48 AM
A few hours after markets closed yesterday, news began coming out regarding a Biden aide mentioning tonight's stimulus proposal would be in the $2 tri...
Thu, Jan 14 2021, 9:20 AM
With the money I’m saving on “Dry January,” I was able to buy some great edibles at the dispensary yesterday. “Come on, come on, listen to the money t...
Wed, Jan 13 2021, 4:32 PM
Mortgage rates had another solid day today--this time without any of the early drama seen yesterday. If you're just getting caught up, the bond market...
Wed, Jan 13 2021, 4:25 PM
Important Victory For Bonds, and Another Battle Ahead
Rates rallied today. Despite a positive reaction to a...
Wed, Jan 13 2021, 11:17 AM
There are plenty of MLOs (mortgage loan originators) out there very pleased with their earnings for 2020. In a non-random sample, several CEOs with wh...
Wed, Jan 13 2021, 9:28 AM
With yesterday offering the first legitimate push back against the recent sell-off, today becomes one of three critically important days in establishi...
Wed, Jan 13 2021, 8:29 AM
It was a typical first-work-week-after-the holiday bounce for the mortgage indexes, although the surge was significantly more restrained than last yea...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 4:41 PM
While it did dip a bit last month, the availability of mortgage credit appears to be stabilizing , having moved only slightly over the last three mont...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 4:22 PM
Mortgage rates were off to a very bad start this morning, but recovered a portion of what they lost by the end of the day. The specifics depend greatl...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 4:16 PM
Much-Anticipated Correction Finally Arrives. Now What?
This morning's alert noted a scary scenario playing ...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 10:42 AM
The rate of mortgage delinquencies remains significantly elevated from last year, but there is gradual improvement . The national rate moved higher in...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 10:04 AM
This morning's alert notes that the bond market is in the midst of one of its scarier scenarios. The ingredients are as follows: a long run in a reco...
Tue, Jan 12 2021, 9:53 AM
Nearly two weeks into 2021 already? I was just getting used to saying “2020.” Now I have to add a syllable every time. “One.” There’s continued talk o...
Mon, Jan 11 2021, 5:41 PM
Mortgage rates are coming off a rough week-- the roughest , in fact, since June 2020 by some measures. That's the last time rates rose this quickly fo...
Mon, Jan 11 2021, 4:51 PM
Selling Spree Continues; MBS Underperforming
Earlier in the day, Treasuries looked to be selling off at a sl...
Mon, Jan 11 2021, 10:10 AM
Of course some found humor in last week’s riot in Washington DC. (“In light of recent events, Mexico has decided that it will pay for the wall after a...
Mon, Jan 11 2021, 9:33 AM
0.96% was a well-established ceiling for 10yr yields in November and December. Despite numerous intraday breaks, yields only managed to close higher ...
Fri, Jan 8 2021, 3:44 PM
Bonds Determined To Sell Despite Weaker NFP
The bond market considered rallying in response to this morning'...
Fri, Jan 8 2021, 1:23 PM
In most parts of the country owning a home is more affordable than renting one according to ATTOM Data Solutions' 2021 Rental Affordability Report . T...
Fri, Jan 8 2021, 1:20 PM
A month end wave of plan expirations in December led to a substantial decline in the number of active forbearances during the first week of 2021. Blac...
Fri, Jan 8 2021, 10:31 AM
While the industry watches the personnel changes at Arch and National MI, I received several texts and emails pleading, “I’d like to cancel my subscri...
Fri, Jan 8 2021, 9:40 AM
While it's essentially a given the bigger stimulus is on the way with democrats controlling the senate (thus implying more Treasury issuance and a qui...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 5:40 PM
Mortgage rates moved higher today, but only a modest pace compared to yesterday (read more about yesterday's rate rout HERE ). Over the past two days,...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 5:32 PM
That the pandemic is worse today than it was last spring appears to be finally dawning on a lot of consumers and the Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HP...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 5:17 PM
Negative Momentum Remains Threatening Ahead of Jobs Report
We came into today hoping (but not necessarily ex...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 11:49 AM
While COVID-19 has wreaked havoc on most of the economy last year, Wells Fargo's Securities Economic Group says many of the responses to the pandemic ...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 11:05 AM
Some will say that the world’s most anticipated palindrome is “1-20-21”. Others will say that Inauguration Day spells the end of personal freedom in t...
Thu, Jan 7 2021, 9:38 AM
10yr yields were at the bottom edge of a months-long uptrend heading into the Georgia senate election. One result would have helped them break out to...
Wed, Jan 6 2021, 5:33 PM
Mortgage rates went to bed last night knowing they were at risk of a volatile day today. Georgia's senate race has been in focus for 2 months now beca...
Wed, Jan 6 2021, 4:49 PM
Crazy Day For Bonds. Is The Worst Over?
For 2 straight months, and especially over the past few weeks, we'v...
Wed, Jan 6 2021, 10:58 AM
Would you rather loan $200,000 to a Danish buntmager (furrier) or the United States Government? Well, while the industry is digesting the news that Gu...
Wed, Jan 6 2021, 9:49 AM
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) resumed reporting on mortgage applications today after a two-week holiday hiatus. Information on mortgage volum...
Wed, Jan 6 2021, 9:35 AM
For 2 straight months, and especially over the past few weeks, we've been calling out the Georgia senate election as the biggest ticket market mover f...
Tue, Jan 5 2021, 3:53 PM
Mortgage rates got off to a slow start yesterday. It was hard to object considering that left the average lender in line with record lows. But today w...
Tue, Jan 5 2021, 3:53 PM
Tomorrow Could Be a Very Big Day For Bonds
Bonds experienced a bit of weakness today, but 10yr yields bounce...
Tue, Jan 5 2021, 11:06 AM
Home prices rose another 1.1 percent in November according to the CoreLogic report on its Home Price Index. The year-over-year gain was 8.2 percent , ...
Tue, Jan 5 2021, 10:54 AM
2021: Fifty years since the release of Led Zeppelin 4 (think Stairway to Heaven). In 1971 there were 208 million people living in the United States. N...
Tue, Jan 5 2021, 9:13 AM
Forget the economy. Forget covid. Forget Fed policy. Those things will all be back to move the bond market fairly soon, but first, there will be an...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 4:30 PM
Mortgage rates are off to a slow start in the new year, and that's a good thing. An absence of movement means the average lender continues offering ra...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 4:17 PM
Markets Back in Action, Hurrying Up and Waiting
Bonds were back in action today although you'd hardly know i...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 11:36 AM
Total spending on construction projects in the U.S. rose 0.9 percent in November compared to October. The U.S. Census Bureau estimated that the season...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 11:18 AM
The number of loans in COVID-19 forbearance plans last week rose for the third consecutive week during the period ended December 29. Black Knight said...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 11:08 AM
Here we are on the first business day of 2021, the year of the movie Mad Max 2. (It is so much easier saying “2020” than “2021,” right?) Last year, as...
Mon, Jan 4 2021, 9:14 AM
The presidential election happened 2 months ago and since then, bonds really haven't moved other than in response to the Pfizer vaccine news on Nov 9t...
Thu, Dec 31 2020, 1:55 PM
Token Gains, Light Volume, Early Close
Bond market focus remains on the Georgia senate run-off election day ...
Thu, Dec 31 2020, 11:03 AM
I still don’t know what I’m wearing to the living room on New Year’s Eve. Heck, I may not even go. Wouldn’t it be nice to be on a cruise? Ever heard o...
Thu, Dec 31 2020, 9:24 AM
With Europe and Japan out on holiday, bonds had the lightest overnight session of the year today, and domestic hours won't be much better apart from a...
Wed, Dec 30 2020, 2:43 PM
Bonds Sticking to Year-End Script
Bonds did a perfect job sticking to their year-end script today. It reads...
Wed, Dec 30 2020, 11:28 AM
Pending home sales slid for the third straight month in November and the 2.6 percent decline was the largest of the three. The National Association of...
Wed, Dec 30 2020, 10:35 AM
Loan originators in our business see potential borrowers whose monthly mortgage payments would be less than their rent payments but don’t qualify for ...
