30YR Fixed Rate
5.85%
+0.10%
UMBS 30YR 4.5
99.91
-0.09
10 Year Treasury
3.1376
+0.0488
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Last month's New Home Sales data from the Census Bureau was a real downer.  It showed sharp declines in sales and a puzzlingly abrupt jump in inventory levels.  One thing we used to point out about this data series was its immense margins of error.  These could frequently result in major revisions that ended up painting completely different pictures compared to the initial release. For whatever reason, the size of those revisions remained stable enough in recent years that our coverage hasn't felt the need to point it out as regularly.  Today doesn't necessarily bring that old school feeling back with a vengeance, but there was moderately big revision that brought last month's 591k reading up to 629k (for the month of April). The bigger news is the extent to which May's new home sales crushed forecasts.  The median forecast saw sales coming in at 588k--a far cry from the actual reading of 696k.  When taken in conjunction with last month's positive revision, it completely changes the tone of the long-term trend from one of "volatile reversal" to "gradually leveling off." Granted, big margins of error cut both ways and there's no guarantee today's 696k will remain intact by the time it's revised in a month.  That said, it could go higher or lower.   As always, keep in mind that the new home market is significantly smaller than the existing home market.  That one still conveys more of a "volatile reversal," albeit to levels that are in line with pre-pandemic highs in 2016-2018.
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June 24, 2022
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Housing News
New Home Sales Paint Completely Different Picture Versus Last Month
Last month's New Home Sales data from the Census Bureau was a real downer.  It showed sharp declines in sales and a puzzlingly abrupt jump in inventory levels.  One thing we used to point out about this data series was its immense margins o... (read more)
Housing News
Black Knight's First Look: Another Record Low For Delinquencies
Rates may be much higher in each of the past 3 months, but those with mortgages are making their payments with record-setting regularity.  The overall delinquency rate fell 0.05% to 2.75% in May--the third consecutive record low. Serious delinq... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Pre-Qual, Appraisal, Marketing, Accounting Tools; Rural Housing Process and Ginnie Mae News
Knocking on wood is an apotropaic (averting bad luck) tradition of literally touching, tapping, or knocking on wood, or merely stating that one is doing or intending to do so, in order to avoid "tempting fate" after making a favorable prediction or b... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
Housing is Normalizing, Not Dying; Nice Rate Rebound After Last Week's Rout
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.85% +0.10%
Rate Change Points
Mortgage News Daily
30 Yr. Fixed 5.85% +0.10 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.25% +0.13 0.00
30 Yr. FHA 5.25% 0.00 0.00
30 Yr. Jumbo 5.00% +0.05 0.00
5/1 ARM 5.34% +0.04 0.00
30 Yr. VA 5.50% -0.25 0.00
Updates Daily - Last Update: 6/24
15 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.25% +0.13%
Rate Change Points
Freddie Mac
30 Yr. Fixed 5.78% +0.55 0.90
15 Yr. Fixed 4.81% +0.43 0.90
5/1 Yr. ARM 4.33% +0.21 0.30
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/16
Rate Change Points
Mortgage Bankers Assoc.
30 Yr. Fixed 5.98% +0.33 0.77
15 Yr. Fixed 5.05% +0.26 0.86
30 Yr. Jumbo 5.49% +0.24 0.45
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/22
MBS / Treasuries
UMBS 30YR 4.5
99.91 -0.09
Price / Yield Change
MBS
UMBS 4.5 99.91 -0.09
UMBS 5.0 101.63 -0.17
GNMA 4.5 101.06 -0.05
GNMA 5.0 102.13 -0.08
Pricing as of: 6/26 4:09AM EST
10 Year US Treasury
3.1376 +0.0488
Price / Yield Change
US Treasury
2 YR Treasury 3.063 +0.051
5 YR Treasury 3.188 +0.046
7 YR Treasury 3.203 +0.047
10 YR Treasury 3.138 +0.049
30 YR Treasury 3.265 +0.059
Pricing as of: 6/26 4:09AM EST
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New Home Sales and Cancellations
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Q2 GDP Forecasts: Fairly Wide Range
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Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 21% Year-over-year
Reuters
Fed's Bowman calls for steep rate hikes to fight inflation
CNBC
Consumer sentiment survey followed by the Fed shows inflation expectations ease slightly
Marketwatch
U.S. stocks bounce in choppy trade after Powell outlines challenges to Fed’s soft landing plan
CNBC
U.S. Treasury yields move higher as investors monitor economic data, Fed speeches
Reuters
German bond yields set for first weekly fall since May as growth fears grip
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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
CNBC
Watch Jerome Powell testify to Congress on the economy and how the Fed plans to fight inflation
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Bowman, The Outlook for Inflation and MonetaryPolicy
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European stocks skid on gloomy business activity data, commodity weakness
© 2022  Mortgage News Daily, LLC. | 19701 Bethel Church Rd. | Cornelius, NC 28031
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Today's Mortgage Rates  |  Mortgage Calculators
6/24/2022
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.85%
+0.10%
0.00
MBS & Treasury Prices
UMBS 30YR 4.5
99.91
-0.09
10 Year US Treasury
97.781
-0.406
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