Wed, Sep 30 2009, 8:50 AM
The AM So Far...
* ADP worse than expected at -254k
* GDP Better than expected at -.7 vs. consensus of -1.2
# Bonds Initial reaction DOW...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 8:21 AM
Mortgage rates remained below 5% for the second week in a row, yet the low rates fail to spur increased appetite for refinancing, new loans, or purcha...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 8:14 AM
It’s one day before the start of the fourth quarter and global stock markets are rallying. US equity futures are looking to erase yesterday’s losses, ...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 5:04 PM
Maybe the markets will find some sort of impetus to get directional tomorrow, but so far this week, Monday's extension of Friday's rally merely set us...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 3:32 PM
After hitting an intraday high of 101-16 this morning, an unfriendly trend channel developed and the FN 4.5 fell to an intraday low print of 101-04. ...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 2:42 PM
This morning we had our final revision to the 2nd quarter’s GDP number. Folks always wonder, “Why can’t the statisticians get it right the first time ...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 2:07 PM
The Office of Thrift Supervision and the Office of Comptroller of the Currency reported on Tuesday that mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures are st...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 1:52 PM
The stock market turned ugly this morning after an index from the windy city reported that business conditions were back in the red. An earlier report...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 1:43 PM
Mortgage rates were were unchanged for the most part yesterday as prices of mortgage-backed securities held to their recent range. Following Monday’s...
Wed, Sep 30 2009, 1:03 PM
Plainly and simply, prices are at their lowest point of the day. And though this STILL leaves MBS over 101-00 on the 4.5 and the 10yr is still under ...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 12:31 PM
Despite a rally in equity markets, prices of mortgage-backed securities moved higher yesterday. No economic data was released, trading volume was ver...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 11:36 AM
September Consumer Confidence Survey data registered a 53.1 read vs. the consensus estimate of 57.0 and the previous 54.5 (revised from 54.1). Followi...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 10:00 AM
Home prices continued to stabilize in 18 of the 20 metropolitan areas surveyed in July, an industry survey showed Tuesday. Thirteen of the 20 metro ar...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 8:57 AM
Good Morning. The rates market is giving back a portion of yesterday's gains. Stock futures are higher. The 10yr TSY note yield is trading near 3.33%....
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 8:17 AM
Stock prices are trading lower this morning after yesterday’s blistering 1.78% gain. Commodity prices are mixed with oil slightly above $66, well belo...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 5:06 PM
Tuesday 9/29 at a Glance
* MBS down 1 tick on the day to 101-11, continuing to close at multi-month highs
* Real Money (insurance funds, e...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 4:03 PM
It wasnt a very busy trading session for mortgages. Much of the action took place this morning between 9AM and 10AM. As prices ticked higher banks wer...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 2:46 PM
Reuters reported that state housing agencies around the U.S. that provide mortgages to low-income borrowers would get as much as $35 billion in federa...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 2:31 PM
In their monthly summary, Fannie Mae today said their retained portfolio was unchanged at $779.4 billion in August of 2009. This follows an 18.2% cont...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 1:40 PM
We're about overdue for some triangles wouldn't you say? Today's post morning correction certainly provides for that. Triangles mean different thing...
Tue, Sep 29 2009, 1:32 PM
After an unexpected drop in consumer confidence spurred on a stock sell-off this morning, all three equity indexes are clawing their way back to uncha...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 11:53 AM
Besides another round of record TSY issuances last week (which is what many are trading), weakness in stocks, some bond bullish econ data, and the app...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 11:27 AM
Despite mixed economic reports last week, mortgage rates held near four month lows as prices of mortgage-backed securities approached four month highs...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 9:24 AM
Markets are looking optimistic this morning ahead of an insanely busy week. Monday begins slowly with no major macroeconomic data on the schedule, but...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 8:24 AM
The term "slow" can be sometimes be misleading in this context. Although the absence of scheduled data combined with Yom Kippur's attendance toll are...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 5:48 PM
Out here in California, some in the business have been following the case of 28-yr old Garret Gililland III. Originally from the Sacramento area, he w...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 5:05 PM
For MBS, Tsys, and Stocks alike, no news was good news today as all three markets rallied amidst a lack of scheduled data, headline drama, or meaningf...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 3:54 PM
Heading into the 5pm "MY SCREENS ARE ALREADY TURNED OFF" marking period, the FN 4.5 is at the highs of the day...+0-07 at 101-11 yielding 4.33%. Spott...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 1:55 PM
Arguments are ongoing for adjusting the current MBS range upward. At the moment, the 4.5 is up 4 ticks to 101-08 and the 10yr tsy is up 4 ticks (in p...
Mon, Sep 28 2009, 1:04 PM
US equities were quick out of the gate on Monday morning. In just a few hours stocks have came close to erasing all of last week’s losses. As of 1pm, ...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 12:53 PM
Mortgage rates moved lower a few basis points yesterday after prices of mortgage backed securities steadily appreciated throughout the day. At 5pm, MB...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 12:17 PM
We're now at the point where we're prepared to get confirmation from the yield curve. The bottom of the yield range for the 10yr tsy is around 3.30 w...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 10:47 AM
New home sales increased for the fifth straight month in August, but the 0.7% gain didn’t match the median estimate of +1.6%. The annual pace of sales...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 9:24 AM
Good Morning. The Yield Curve is flatter and rate sheet influential MBS coupons are trading slightly higher in price. Stocks are weak worldwide. The d...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 8:13 AM
Equity futures are looking slightly up in anticipation of some major data releases this morning. Global markets have been mixed, while the US$ is stro...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 5:01 PM
MBS CLOSE AT A GLANCE
* thus ends an unofficial supportive week in which MBS shot up the better part of a full point since Monday's close.
...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 3:40 PM
I got an email on Wednesday inquiring about a pipeline strategy for a medium sized branch lender. They do some mandatories, but are generally best ef...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 1:48 PM
Something had to be done to pique your interest. Sure the S&P is up 5-6 points off the lows of the day, but the effect on bonds has been anything but...
Fri, Sep 25 2009, 1:06 PM
Weak orders for durable goods and a soft advance in new home sales have contributed to a lackluster performance in equity markets today. While a boost...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 11:17 AM
The FN 4.5 MBS coupon has formed an aesthetically pleasing trend channel this morning, progressively achieving higher highs and setting lower lows. Cu...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 10:49 AM
The National Association of Realtors said sales of existing homes fell 2.7% in August, pushing the annual rate to 5.10 million units from 5.24 million...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 10:47 AM
The secondary mortgage market went on quite a ride yesterday! Following a weaker than expected 5 year Treasury note auction, market participants hurri...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 8:43 AM
Good Morning. The rate sheet influential FN 4.5 MBS coupon is mostly unchanged on the day to slightly improved this morning. Stocks have reacted posit...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 8:13 AM
The sharp sell-off in yesterday’s final hour hurt investor sentiment around the globe and contributed to general uncertainty about near-term prospects...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 5:06 PM
It's not so much that the past three days have been remarkably good for MBS prices, but rather that an extended period of relatively stable bullishnes...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 3:19 PM
Someone snuck into bond market central today and stole the volatility right out from under our noses. Afternoon trading ranges have adhered beautiful...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 1:56 PM
All three equity indexes have extended yesterday’s late day weakness into today. After a modest open, the S&P is trading near the lows of the day, dow...
Thu, Sep 24 2009, 1:02 PM
The Treasury Department has successfully auctioned $29 billion 7 year notes at a high yield of 3.005% vs. the 1pm WI of 3.033%. 30.22% of the bids wer...
Wed, Sep 23 2009, 11:09 AM
RANGE BOUND RANGE BOUND RANGE BOUND!!!!! The FN 4.5 has traded as low as 100-11 and as high as 100-18....trading flows are all quiet ahead of the FOMC...
Wed, Sep 23 2009, 10:49 AM
Mortgage rates were mostly unchanged yesterday as the economic calendar was empty and the market settled in for another FOMC statement. Prices of mort...
