Tue, Feb 9 2010, 1:04 PM
We're down 6 ticks since the auction so far, and falling....Reprice risk is high at the moment
Mon, Feb 8 2010, 11:38 AM
"Rate sheet influential" MBS coupons and benchmark TSYs are testing the staying power of Friday's FTQ fixed income rally. A solid move below 101-06 w...
Mon, Feb 8 2010, 8:56 AM
Stocks sold off in a panicky fashion last week as sovereign debt concerns grew over Greece, Portugal, and Spain's ballooning budget deficit and rising...
Mon, Feb 8 2010, 1:43 PM
Nothing has changed from Friday. Mortgage rates continue to run into a floor at 4.75%. This has held true all month! My lock bias is based on the big...
Fri, Feb 5 2010, 11:45 AM
Now that the jobs report is behind us, the marketplace will put all focus on sovereign debt anxieties abroad. Part of the reason for panic has to due...
Fri, Feb 5 2010, 8:31 AM
20,000 jobs were lost in January according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The unemployment rate fell from 10.0% to 9.7%. This will surely grab hea...
Fri, Feb 5 2010, 2:21 PM
When considering the LOCK vs FLOAT decision, I think of it as so: WE ARE PLAYING CHESS, NOT CHECKERS. My lock bias is based on the big picture outlook...
Thu, Feb 4 2010, 11:05 AM
We've been here before! We've seen bond bearish NFP prints, we've seen tons of "better than expected" data, we've watched stocks rally on and on and o...
Thu, Feb 4 2010, 8:57 AM
Jobless Claims increased by 8,000 last week to 480,000 new claims. This was worse than expected. The rates market, which was already rebounding from y...
Thu, Feb 4 2010, 5:12 PM
I have been advising LOCK all week ahead of the Employment Situation Report, which will be released at 8:30am tomorrow morning. While there have been...
Thu, Feb 4 2010, 3:45 PM
"There will be a jobs revision I'm told tomorrow that's likely to show additional job loss at the first part of the recession that started in December...
Wed, Feb 3 2010, 12:01 PM
While Treasury issuance remains elevated at high levels, issuance size is not expected to continue to grow. Again, this is not a huge supportive infl...
Wed, Feb 3 2010, 8:37 AM
We have been pretty firm about locking on strength and willing to float at the outer limits of the range...at this point that is getting very risky. A...
Wed, Feb 3 2010, 4:56 PM
Michael Fratantoni, MBA's VP of Research and Economics, warned to expect rising mortgage rates over the next few months as the Fed exits the MBS buyin...
Tue, Feb 2 2010, 12:51 PM
Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lender rate sheets to be similar to yesterday’s...again. This keeps the par 30 year conventional ...
Tue, Feb 2 2010, 11:25 AM
MBS are angry this morning, well not really but it looks like it on the charts. "Rate sheet influential" MBS prices have CHOPPED CHOPPED CHOPPED aroun...
Mon, Feb 1 2010, 11:53 AM
Mon, Feb 1 2010, 9:14 AM
Both benchmarks and "Rate sheet influential" MBS coupons have found their way back toward important pivot points. The FN 4.0 is 0-05 at 97-28 yielding...
Mon, Feb 1 2010, 1:33 PM
With the Employment Situation report due out later this week and mortgage rates holding at the best levels of the year, I continue to advise locking. ...
Fri, Jan 29 2010, 11:19 AM
Fri, Jan 29 2010, 8:38 AM
LESS CONTRACTION IN BUSINESS INVENTORIES ACCOUNTED FOR 59% OF GDP GAINS! This will not carry over into Q1 2010. While markets had a muted reaction to ...
Fri, Jan 29 2010, 5:22 PM
Following the release of much better than expected 4th Quarter GDP, mortgage-backed security prices fell. This forced lenders to move mortgage rates s...
Fri, Jan 29 2010, 5:18 PM
Fri, Jan 29 2010, 1:06 PM
Today's rates rally started as one of those "sell the rumor, buy the news" aka FADE THE DATA moves. The bond market knew GDP would be strong, so they ...
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 11:51 AM
Rates are not benefiting from the stock lever because of three reasons. Auction concession + unwind of FOMC flatteners + Bernanke uncertainty. My outl...
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 8:41 AM
All was good in the rates market leading up to 215pm yesterday. Rate sheet rebate was holding close to month over month bests, 10s were quietly boun...
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 5:20 PM
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 4:31 PM
I have been advising LOCK all week. If you locked, way to go! Good timing. If you did not lock, we have some deep thinking to do. I think the easiest...
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 3:47 PM
Thu, Jan 28 2010, 1:03 PM
The Treasury has successfully auctioned $32 billion 7-year notes. Auction demand was strong, but the rates market has failed to make positive progress...
Wed, Jan 27 2010, 11:33 AM
Wed, Jan 27 2010, 9:23 AM
The day ahead promises to be busy. At 10am we get New Home Sales, then at 1pm the Treasury will release auction results on a $42 billion 5year note of...
