Wed, Mar 24 2010, 10:50 AM
After two days of a boring, low volume driven sideways tight range trading, rates volume has skyrocketed into this sell off with the majority of sell ...
Wed, Mar 24 2010, 8:54 AM
Wed, Mar 24 2010, 5:53 PM
Benchmark interest rates started rising early in the trading session, before MBS trading officially opened at 8am. Positive Durable Goods Orders data ...
Wed, Mar 24 2010, 4:22 PM
Wed, Mar 24 2010, 2:43 PM
MBS have trounced treasuries all day, and especially into the sell-off. That "ledge-ish" sort of section around 100-18 corresponds with a major pivot...
Wed, Mar 24 2010, 1:14 PM
REPRICES FOR THE WORSE ARE IMMINENT after a weak 5 year Treasury note auction.
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 12:59 PM
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 8:38 AM
No need to go too deep into this outlook. Markets have been "coiling" energy, waiting for an influential event that provided direction and justified b...
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 7:25 PM
The moral of today's story is that MBS were wanting to stay under 101-02 yesterday and over it today. Whether prices open higher or lower tomorrow, w...
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 4:55 PM
The par 30 year conventional rate mortgage has once again declined to the 4.75% to 5.00% range for well qualified consumers .Over the past two days be...
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 4:21 PM
FN 4.5's currently unchanged on the day at 101-02. (4 ticks off highs). Treasuries much worse off with 10yr down 7 ticks, pushing yield up to 3.69. C...
Tue, Mar 23 2010, 2:33 PM
Mon, Mar 22 2010, 12:00 PM
Coiling represents "waiting for guidance" in the marketplace. This fits in well with the financial atmosphere today. There is a lack of meaningful dat...
Mon, Mar 22 2010, 8:59 AM
The econ calendar is essentially empty today, this allows bond traders to price in auction supply concessions to the yield curve whenever the stock le...
Mon, Mar 22 2010, 6:02 PM
My goal is to convey just how boring today was. The term "range-bound and waiting for guidance" doesn't even begin to describe it. "Low volatility a...
Mon, Mar 22 2010, 5:01 PM
It was a very slow day in the mortgage market. Mortgage-backed security prices opened lower which forced many lenders to publish mortgage rates higher...
Mon, Mar 22 2010, 3:26 PM
Current trading may follow a certain general framework, but it's all akin to a pre-game warm up as the real action won't begin until 1pm tomorrow--whe...
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 11:48 AM
Rates are staging a lackluster comeback as commodities stocks battle a strong dollar. Adding some weakness is a continued lack of liquidity in the mar...
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 8:33 AM
Both benchmark 10s and rate sheet influential MBS coupons are opening the day weaker...in a very slow trading environment. 10s moved sideways overnigh...
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 4:18 PM
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 3:24 PM
After yesterday’s busy economic data calendar, the schedule was empty today. Reports from fellow mortgage professionals indicate lender rate sheets to...
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 3:01 PM
Fri, Mar 19 2010, 1:37 PM
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 12:43 PM
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 11:00 AM
If you have been floating in hopes of an extended rates rally, now might be the time to ensure your loans are registered and ready to lock.
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 8:42 AM
Inflation data was dovish, supportive of exceptionally low Federal Reserve interest rate policy for an "extended period". Jobless claims were worse t...
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 5:09 PM
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 4:40 PM
After the release of the Treasury debt statement, benchmark yields rose and MBS prices fell. This forced many lenders to reprice for the worse. After...
Thu, Mar 18 2010, 3:27 PM
Wed, Mar 17 2010, 12:48 PM
THE PHRASE PLAY THE RANGE UNTIL THE RANGE PLAYS YOU RESONATES LOUDLY IN MY HEAD AT THE MOMENT. 10 yr yields have fallen fast, all the way back to the ...
Wed, Mar 17 2010, 9:02 AM
Across all stages of production, falling energy prices in February accounted for the majority of deflation with gasoline being the biggest drag. The ...
Wed, Mar 17 2010, 5:37 PM
Wed, Mar 17 2010, 3:51 PM
Wed, Mar 17 2010, 3:24 PM
We are seeing very aggressive rate sheets from lenders today. My advice would be to lock any loan closing and funding in the next 30 days. Same excep...
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 11:16 AM
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 8:48 AM
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 5:36 PM
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 5:05 PM
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) met for a one day meeting today. Usually they meet for two. At 2:15, the FOMC released their statement on mon...
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 3:57 PM
Bottom line, arguments were a bit skewed in favor of floating yesterday, whereas they are more balanced today. However, this factors in some trending...
Tue, Mar 16 2010, 2:15 PM
The Fed's feelings on the labor market have improved since the last meeting while housing remains uncomfortably depressed. The MBS purchase program is...
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 11:07 AM
There just isnt enough participation in the rates marketplace to push the 10yr contract through the above discussed layer of "position resistance". B...
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 8:22 AM
Until 10s make a move, the FN 4.5 will likely hold to the recent range with 101-00 seen as a psychological profit taking point while 100-24 serves as ...
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 6:24 PM
After a slow week of economic data, the calendar picks up in the days ahead.If you followed my advice on floating over the weekend, you picked up some...
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 5:33 PM
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 4:10 PM
Mon, Mar 15 2010, 2:35 PM
Fri, Mar 12 2010, 9:20 AM
Retail Sales data has hit screens. It was much better than expected. Rates no likely.
Fri, Mar 12 2010, 7:40 AM
After four days of a limited data, which made it easy for traders to bake in a concessionary backup in TSY yields, the week's most important econ even...
Fri, Mar 12 2010, 6:47 PM
Fri, Mar 12 2010, 4:20 PM
Following the release of the Retail Sales report, benchmark yields rose and MBS prices plummeted. Many lenders released rate sheets at the lows of the...
