Fri, Oct 16 2009, 5:01 PM
Fri, Oct 16 2009, 3:51 PM
Heading into the 5pm "HOLY COW THE DOW HIT 10,000" marking period (please note sarcasm), the FN 4.0 is +0-10 at 98-02 yielding 4.199% and the FN 4.5 i...
Fri, Oct 16 2009, 1:30 PM
Thu, Oct 15 2009, 10:46 AM
The FN 4.0 is trading -0-12 at 97-25 yielding 4.228 while the FN 4.5 is -0-09 at 100-19 yielding 4.429%.The secondary market current coupon is 4.349% ...
Thu, Oct 15 2009, 8:32 AM
MBS and Tsy's are understandably worse given the above raft of data that is generally economically bullish. The exception obviously would be in the in...
Thu, Oct 15 2009, 7:34 PM
Before you get too excited at the sight of 3.50% across the headlines of a mortgage website , you should know that Treasuries are the topic of our foc...
Thu, Oct 15 2009, 4:15 PM
Lots of reason to believe the 10yr will be testing 3.50% tomorrow. All week the 10yr yield has has pushed higher and higher in the range. What's going...
Thu, Oct 15 2009, 1:34 PM
The FN 4.0 is currently -0-11 at 97-26 yielding 4.2248% and the FN 4.5 is trading -0-11 at 100-17 yielding 4.4376%. The secondary market current coupo...
Wed, Oct 14 2009, 11:40 AM
The FN 4.0 is trading -0-10 at 98-12 yielding 4.1681% and the FN 4.5 is -0-07 at 100-30 yielding 4.387%. The secondary market current coupon is 4.299%...
Wed, Oct 14 2009, 8:30 AM
September Retail Sales Data was just released...it was better than expected. The bond market, which was already weaker after JP Morgan earnings beat e...
Wed, Oct 14 2009, 6:20 PM
The FN 4.0 closed -0-17 at 98-04+ yielding 4.19% and the FN 4.5 closed -0-09+ at 100-28 yielding 4.397%. The secondary market current coupon is 4.313%...
Wed, Oct 14 2009, 2:31 PM
Plain and Simple: FOMC members have mixed outlooks on the residential real estate market and the proper exit from the Agency MBS Purchase Program. The...
Tue, Oct 13 2009, 11:42 AM
Positive progress has been made all morning in the rates market, however as traders start to search for the lunch cart...stocks are heading higher and...
Tue, Oct 13 2009, 8:22 AM
The November FN 4.0 is trading +0-10 at 98-24 yielding 4.1307%. The November FN 4.5 is trading +0-09 at 101-06 yielding 4.3560%. The secondary market ...
Tue, Oct 13 2009, 5:16 PM
Over the summer we coined a new term based on the bouncy price action occurring in financial markets: CHOPATILITY. The lack of meaningful market direc...
Tue, Oct 13 2009, 4:13 PM
Heading into the 5pm "RATE SHEETS ARE UNCHANGED" marking period, rate sheet influential MBS coupons have given back a portion of their early afternoon...
Tue, Oct 13 2009, 2:54 PM
Rates rallied out the gate this morning. However, later in the day stocks began to recover losses and benchmark TSY and "rate sheet influential" MBS c...
Fri, Oct 9 2009, 10:14 AM
The FN 4.5 just made a new intraday low as the 10yr ticked over 3.32. The rate sheets we have seen were already noticeably worse than yesterday, howev...
Fri, Oct 9 2009, 8:38 AM
# After open weaker, MBS and tsy's are slightly improved AM
# Should clarify for tsy's "improved" only vs. overnight and early AM session. unchanged...
Fri, Oct 9 2009, 4:47 PM
AHHHH....the FN 4.5 fell off the map at the end of the day!!!!HAHA...this joke never gets old. DONT PANIC. TODAY IS NOTIFICATION DAY (dont panic about...
Fri, Oct 9 2009, 1:12 PM
The aftermath of yesterday's duration shedding which has carried over into today: LOTS OF REPRICES FOR THE WORSE AND HIGHER MORTGAGE RATES. The FN 4.0...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 11:18 AM
Despite better than expected jobless claims data, proof that business inventories are still contracting, improving retail sales, a weaker dollar, anot...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 8:33 AM
The 10yr TSY yield initially spiked higher after jobless claims data...however selling slowed as yields bounced at 3.21%.Rate sheet influential MBS co...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 6:54 PM
After the dust settled today, the 30yr bond was down over a point today whereas 4.5 MBS had only lost 3 ticks... There was plenty of sturm and drang ...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 4:11 PM
The FN 4.0 is currently -0-05 at 99-18 yielding 4.050%. The FN 4.5 is currently -0-02 at 101-27 yielding 4.275%. The secondary market current coupon i...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 1:23 PM
As markets are given some more time to digest and show their hand, the bond bears are doing battle with trade flow considerations we discussed in MBS ...
Thu, Oct 8 2009, 1:01 PM
30 year bond auction results...
* $12 BLN 29-YEAR 10-MONTH BONDS AT HIGH YIELD 4.009 PCT, AWARDS 27.53 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH
* BID-TO-COVER ...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 12:12 PM
Prepayment speeds determine, to a great extent, the timing of principle cash flows back to the MBS investor. If forecasts of prepayment speeds are mi...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 9:01 AM
The US dollar is recovering after taking a beating in currency markets yesterday. As the dollar gains against other currencies, oil and gold prices ar...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 5:00 PM
When last week's NFP hit, the massive rally of the day before was confirmed. Volume was as high as it has been in a long time on both days. As you c...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 4:06 PM
In NASCAR the GREEN flag signals the start or resumption of the race. A GREEN flag tells drivers to floor it! In the bond market, GREEN on the board m...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 1:34 PM
OK, the auction of the 10yr re-opening was fantastic... In case you missed the results or were otherwise in need of a bit more explanation as to thei...
Wed, Oct 7 2009, 1:01 PM
* $20 BLN 9-YR 10-MO NOTES AT HIGH YIELD 3.210 PCT, 12.77 PCT OF BIDS AT HIGH
* BID-TO-COVER RATIO 3.01, NON-COMP BIDS $41.9 MLN
* PRIMAR...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 12:21 PM
The nitty gritty you need to take from this post:
* TSY supply/auctions, a lack of econ data, and the stock lever are influencing mortgage rate...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 8:45 AM
Good Morning. Prices of "Rate Sheet Influential" MBS coupons are marginally lower this morning as benchmark yields rise ahead of TSY auctions. An unex...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 5:02 PM
3.27 and 3.30 have proven to be pivotal technical price levels in 10yr tsy yields. After rallying last week, all eyes have been on these levels to se...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 3:51 PM
Rate sheet influential MBS coupons stuck to a tight price range today. The Federal Reserve and Asian accounts were aggressive buyers of FN 5.0s today...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 1:14 PM
One of our colleagues put it best a moment ago when he said: "looks like the market isn't moving much... Headed to lunch..."
Indeed after an excee...
Tue, Oct 6 2009, 1:00 PM
Bottom Line: not exceedingly strong, but not horrible. However, initial reaction in bond markets is to the downside. MBS are off a few ticks to 101-...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 11:42 AM
We've been talking more and more about the "paradigm shift" occurring in the broader markets. In general, mounting evidence suggests that the equitie...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 10:11 AM
ISM Non Manufacturing Survey Results-
* headline index at 50.9% versus 50.0 Consensus
* business activity index 55.1 in sept (consensus 51...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 8:29 AM
So Far This Am...
* Dollar Falls After G7 Meeting.
* "Strong Dollar" talk may have contributed to bond rallies last week
* MBS mostly...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 5:08 PM
TOMORROW! With today's lack of data and ultimately, movement, tomorrow's impending events trump today's actual events (or lack thereof...).
Ok, I ...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 3:33 PM
After getting pulled into a slightly higher range on late session stock strength, tsy's decided it would be best to go ahead and hold the line at prev...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 2:10 PM
Whether it's the fact that almost any trading session would seem anticlimactic after last week's tumult or whether it's a factor of relatively low vol...
Mon, Oct 5 2009, 1:07 PM
As far as outright price levels are concerned, there is not a high degree of panic warranted by current price levels as MBS are still above 101-20 and...
Fri, Oct 2 2009, 10:28 AM
The rally one would expect to occur after weak labor market data....took place yesterday. Now the bond market is giving some of it back. After hittin...
Fri, Oct 2 2009, 8:30 AM
SEPT NONFARM PAYROLLS -263,000 vs. CONSENSUS -180,000 vs. AUG -201,000 (PREV -216,000). WORSE THAN EXPECTED. Yesterday's bond market rally has been c...
Fri, Oct 2 2009, 5:45 PM
With a nod to any Monty Python fans in the audience, I feel compelled to let you know that this weekly wrap will not be providing any sort of dairy de...
Fri, Oct 2 2009, 4:17 PM
For the sake of continuity, here's an exceedingly brief update in order to fill the "MBS AFTERNOON" spot. AQ and I got caught up writing, editing, di...
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