Wed, Jan 13 2010, 2:04 PM
Wed, Jan 13 2010, 1:03 PM
MBS prices are falling after the auction...LENDERS MAY REPRICE FOR THE WORSE
Tue, Jan 12 2010, 10:43 AM
Tue, Jan 12 2010, 8:34 AM
I am taking profits ahead of the looming auction cycle...we still have $74billion in TSY notes to be auctioned. I am however feeling like my strategy...
Tue, Jan 12 2010, 5:26 PM
Tue, Jan 12 2010, 3:35 PM
The first of three auctions is behind us. As MG noted the direct bid was HUGE. While I do think its great that the likes of PIMCO and Vanguard are pro...
Tue, Jan 12 2010, 1:00 PM
Despite a slight bit of initial weakness, the charts are in fine position as the 10yr is holding one of it's more aggressive support levels at 3.73. ...
Mon, Jan 11 2010, 11:53 AM
While I have outlined a theory that instills hope in the hears of fence sitters and float boaters in the short run, AGAIN I must remind that our overa...
Mon, Jan 11 2010, 8:53 AM
The FN 4.5 is +0-07 at 100-10 yielding 4.476%. I do not like to create confusion about the extent to which mortgages are tied to the movements of benc...
Mon, Jan 11 2010, 5:14 PM
Mon, Jan 11 2010, 3:26 PM
If you haven't read the following description of the agency MBS settlement process...please dont skip over it as it may save you from having to change...
Mon, Jan 11 2010, 1:45 PM
Fri, Jan 8 2010, 12:54 PM
Euphoria struck this AM not only with the substantially worse-than-expected headline jobs loss, but a slew of the report's internal components perhaps...
Fri, Jan 8 2010, 10:09 AM
After failing to break 100-14, the floor fell out from underneath the FN 4.5. Prices have found their way back to yesterday's low print. In the Treasu...
Fri, Jan 8 2010, 8:56 AM
THE BOND MARKET'S INITIAL REACTION HAS BEEN FAVORABLE...but temper your excitement because we have not broken out of the recent range yet. The FN 4.0 ...
Fri, Jan 8 2010, 8:04 AM
The bond market has opened weaker ahead of jobs data...here is a screen shot of my matrix. I covered up the MBS yields because I do not like Reuter's ...
Thu, Jan 7 2010, 11:27 AM
Wed, Jan 6 2010, 12:45 PM
The result of the BEAR STEEPENER today has been plummeting "rate sheet influential" MBS prices and REPRICES FOR THE WORSE from lenders. Just like the ...
Wed, Jan 6 2010, 10:30 AM
Wed, Jan 6 2010, 8:20 AM
The mortgage market is starting slow again today. Given the above forecast for a narrowing range in TSY yields/prices...we would expect to see a simil...
Tue, Jan 5 2010, 11:51 AM
Bonds had opened better and traded well BEFORE the data, and current price levels are neither much better or worse than they were when the data hit.
...
Tue, Jan 5 2010, 9:14 AM
In the US, the S&P is flat, -0.1% at 1131.88, the Dow is -0.32% at 10550 and the NASDAQ is -0.26% at 2302. The 3.375 coupon bearing 10yr TSY note is +...
Tue, Jan 5 2010, 4:01 PM
The question we were looking to address when the new year began was: WERE HIGHER RATES IN DECEMBER A FUNCTION OF SEASONAL INFLUENCES or DID THE 'BIG P...
Mon, Jan 4 2010, 10:35 AM
Thu, Dec 31 2009, 12:12 PM
Thu, Dec 31 2009, 9:33 AM
Rates sold off following the release of jobless claims (which I need to dig deeper into). While many will take this data as an indication of good thin...
Thu, Dec 31 2009, 2:30 PM
Wed, Dec 30 2009, 10:57 AM
In the mortgage market, yesterday's late afternoon rally has extended over into today' session. "Rate sheet influential" MBS prices are have ventured ...
Wed, Dec 30 2009, 4:56 PM
Wed, Dec 30 2009, 1:05 PM
The Treasury has successfully auctioned $32 billion 7 year notes. As always, we expect volatility post-auction. After profit-taking weakened MBS this...
Tue, Dec 29 2009, 9:41 AM
The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index has been released. The 20 city home price index was +0.00% in October. Worse than estimates of +0.2%.On a year o...
Tue, Dec 29 2009, 4:32 PM
Tue, Dec 29 2009, 1:07 PM
Mon, Dec 28 2009, 10:40 AM
While "real money" (indirect at least) will most likely be the main source of a supportive bid in TSYs this week, the majority of market participants ...
Mon, Dec 28 2009, 5:15 PM
Mon, Dec 28 2009, 1:07 PM
Treasury has just auctioned $44 billion 2 yr notes. The high yield was slightly above the 1pm current market bid ("when issued"), stopping out at 1.08...
Thu, Dec 24 2009, 9:44 AM
Thu, Dec 24 2009, 2:12 PM
Wed, Dec 23 2009, 11:34 AM
Oh...and by the way. "Rate sheet influential" MBS prices are FALLING FAST!
The FN 4.0 is now +0-06 at 97-04 yielding 4.273% and the FN 4.5 is +0-06 a...