Tue, Nov 17 2020, 4:04 PM
Rates Running Out of Things to be Afraid Of?
Bonds improved today--mostly during the overnight trading sessi...
Tue, Nov 17 2020, 11:54 AM
For the third straight month the level of builder confidence in the new home market set a record high . The National Association of Home Builders (NAH...
Tue, Nov 17 2020, 10:58 AM
Predictions? Show me one person, a year ago, who forecast what has happened (so far) this year! (I went to see a psychic the other day. I knocked on t...
Tue, Nov 17 2020, 10:06 AM
In spite of yesterday's Moderna vaccine news, 10yr yields managed to end the day nearly unchanged. More impressively, they're heading into the curren...
Mon, Nov 16 2020, 3:56 PM
Last week, trial results from Pfizer's covid vaccine sent shockwaves through financial markets. Stock prices and bond yields both moved decisively hig...
Mon, Nov 16 2020, 3:36 PM
Bond Market Indecision After More Vaccine News
Another Monday, another early morning announcement of stagger...
Mon, Nov 16 2020, 10:20 AM
On back to back Monday mornings at 6:45am, both of the frontrunner covid vaccine trials have announced surprisingly strong late stage results (Pfizer ...
Mon, Nov 16 2020, 9:12 AM
Here’s a good one. “I’m giving up drinking until Christmas. Sorry, wrong punctuation. I’m giving up. Drinking until Christmas.” Did you know that 1/20...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 5:15 PM
Treasuries Reluctant to Add to Rally, But MBS Outperform.
It was a ho-hum day for bonds. Movement was minim...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 11:13 AM
The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said on Thursday that home prices have continued to grow in each of the 181 areas it tracks for its quarte...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 10:55 AM
The holiday-shortened bond trading week began poorly with vaccine news causing a massive yield spike. Tuesday didn't do too much to allay fears, but ...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 10:46 AM
The number of COVID-19 related forbearances plans headed downhill at an increasing pace over the last few week although there is no guarantee the impr...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 10:43 AM
Mortgage applications , especially for home purchases, pulled back from the previous week's level. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Mar...
Fri, Nov 13 2020, 10:11 AM
Welcome to the first Friday the 13th of 2020 since March. What an eight months! Cindy E. writes, “The longer I stay at home, the more homeless I look....
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 4:24 PM
Earlier in the month, mortgage rates rose somewhat abruptly as lenders got in a defensive position ahead of the election. They'd learned in 2016 just ...
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 4:23 PM
Strong Move in Bonds Helps Balance The Outlook
After a month of almost exclusive weakness, extreme volatilit...
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 11:08 AM
Tried and true has won out over shiny and new, at least when it comes to GSE credit scoring. And at least for the moment. The Federal Housing Finance ...
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 10:59 AM
There was apparently a certain profile of home buyers before the pandemic struck and a different one after it began. The National Association of Realt...
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 10:52 AM
Are the election results under control? Thank you to Hawai’i’s Joe G. who sent along this site where the odds of who the next president will be are po...
Thu, Nov 12 2020, 9:54 AM
Following Monday's vaccine-inspired bond rout, we're seeing markets take the middle path. Stocks corrected to pre-vaccine levels later that same day ...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 5:01 PM
Bonds Refuse to Answer The Big Questions Heading Into Mid-Week Holiday
After days like Monday (in which the ...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 2:37 PM
Mortgage rate movement had been very calm relatively resilient compared to the broader bond market. In other words, mortgages have been doing better t...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 12:25 PM
Extremely serious delinquencies, those loans 150 days or more past due, reached historically high levels in August. Five months into the COVID-19 cris...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 12:22 PM
After its third straight month of gains, Fannie Mae's Home Purchase Sentiment Index (HPSI) is now at 81.7, up 0.7 point from September. The October in...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 10:28 AM
The headlines continue to blare and attract attention. HUD Secretary Ben Carson tested positive for coronavirus? True. Some foreign leaders not congra...
Tue, Nov 10 2020, 9:33 AM
After days like Monday (in which the bond market lost ground at the fastest pace in months due to the Pfizer vaccine news), we can see one of three th...
Mon, Nov 9 2020, 3:28 PM
Last week ultimately ended up being great for mortgage rates , but only after a somewhat abrupt increase heading into the election. On Tuesday, the av...
Mon, Nov 9 2020, 3:24 PM
Bonds Reeling. Was That Enough Weakness to Find Some Support?
Pfizer's vaccine trial update rocked markets ...
Mon, Nov 9 2020, 10:11 AM
First Sean Connery, and now Alex Trebek! Their time together on Jeopardy is legendary. (“Please refrain from using ethnic slurs!”) The last time I che...
Mon, Nov 9 2020, 9:54 AM
Last week was obviously all about the election. By Friday, our recap said "forget the election" and focused on speculation that the Fed would soon be...
Fri, Nov 6 2020, 5:35 PM
Forget The Election, Here's a Huge New Possibility To Consider
Bonds finally weakened a bit today after 2 ni...
Fri, Nov 6 2020, 10:15 AM
Another round of expirations reduced the number of active forbearance plans last week. Black Knight said the number of homeowners in COVID-19 related ...
Fri, Nov 6 2020, 10:15 AM
10yr yields already showed their lack of bullish conviction when it came time to challenge a floor at .72%. If anything the message was that addition...
Thu, Nov 5 2020, 4:53 PM
Any discussion of "all-time low" mortgage rates requires careful attention to specifics. Are we talking about weekly survey numbers or actual daily nu...
Thu, Nov 5 2020, 4:33 PM
No Reaction to Fed, Bonds Waiting on More Election Clarity
Between the weaker momentum throughout October an...
Thu, Nov 5 2020, 2:02 PM
The Federal Reserve is committed to using its full range of tools to support the U.S. economy in this challenging time, thereby promoting its maximum ...
Thu, Nov 5 2020, 10:29 AM
With Nevada’s 6 electoral college votes, nothing says 2020 like the fate of the nation resting in the hands of Reno. When sending out a daily commenta...
Thu, Nov 5 2020, 9:17 AM
Heading into the election, the dominant trading theme was "sideways to slightly weaker" for both stocks and bonds. Now, before you point to the fact ...
Wed, Nov 4 2020, 3:53 PM
Yesterday, we discussed the fact that many mortgage lenders got defensive ahead of election night uncertainty. In the mortgage world, when lenders get...
Wed, Nov 4 2020, 3:52 PM
Big Rally on Election Revelations
Fairly early in the domestic session, markets rapidly came to the realizat...
Wed, Nov 4 2020, 9:15 AM
Before last night, polls, betting odds, talking heads, prediction experts, and your Aunt Mabel all agreed Biden would be the next president. Financia...
Wed, Nov 4 2020, 8:15 AM
An increase in refinancing carried overall applications onto the plus side of the ledger during the week ended October 30. The Mortgage Bankers Associ...
Tue, Nov 3 2020, 3:43 PM
10yr Yields at 0.96% a Best-Case Starting Point For a Bad Reaction in Bonds
The election (referring both to ...
Tue, Nov 3 2020, 10:49 AM
The Urban Institute's (UI's) Housing Finance Policy Center has updated its credit availability index (HCAI) to reflect data for the second quarter of ...
Tue, Nov 3 2020, 10:27 AM
CoreLogic's estimate of the annual home price appreciation in September is not nearly as high as that published yesterday (over 14 percent) by Black K...
Tue, Nov 3 2020, 10:22 AM
What are companies doing with the 2020 money they were going to spend on travel and entertainment? Saving it for the second half of 2021? Last week I ...
Tue, Nov 3 2020, 9:14 AM
Here we are at last on the final trading day before the bond market receives what could be its biggest of actionable information since the initial sur...
Mon, Nov 2 2020, 3:23 PM
Mortgage rates move higher and lower all the time, but truly massive moves tend to arrive with many months (if not years) in between. The trade war in...
Mon, Nov 2 2020, 3:18 PM
MBS Struggle to Hold Gains, But Rates Aren't Scared Yet
Bonds were mixed today with both MBS and Treasuries...
Mon, Nov 2 2020, 1:47 PM
Black Knight concurs with an earlier forecast from the Mortgage Bankers Association, that 2020 will have a higher level of mortgage originations in 20...
