Modestly Stronger After No Whammies From Powell

Last week's press conference with Fed Chair Powell could be summed up as "more hawkish than the market expected." After being compounded by strong econ data on Thursday morning, the selling spree ran its course and we've been mostly sideways over the past 3 days. Today ended up being the best version of sideways with yields almost making it back to Thursday's closing levels. Most of the move happened after Powell finished a Q&A this afternoon. This suggests traders were relieved that he didn't reinforce the hawkish talking points from last week. All told, it wasn't a big move, but it was a friendly one nonetheless.

Econ Data / Events
    • S&P Global Composite PMI (Sep)
      • 53.6 vs 54.6 f'cast, 55.1 prev
    • S&P Global Manuf. PMI (Sep)
      • 52 vs 52 f'cast, 53.0 prev
    • S&P Global Services PMI (Sep)
      • 53.9 vs 54 f'cast, 54.5 prev
Market Movement Recap
09:56 AM

Modestly stronger overnight. No major reaction to PMI data.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06) and 10yr down 1.2 bps at 4.138

12:53 PM

MBS unchanged and 10yr down 1.2bps at 4.137

01:47 PM

Making some gains after Powell Q&A.  MBS up an eighth of a point and 10yr down 3.6bps at 4.112

03:52 PM

heading out near best levels.  MBS up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 4bps at 4.109

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