Fri, Jul 19 2019, 9:25 AM
In the day just passed, bonds did an admirable job shaking off the ill effects of a significantly stronger Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Business Out...
Fri, Jul 19 2019, 9:20 AM
Some people pray for ice cream, and their prayers will be answered as this Sunday is National Ice Cream Day. An MLO prayer? “Dear Lord, just give me o...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 6:13 PM
It was a tale of two market movers today as afternoon Fed comments completely reversed an earlier reaction to super strong economic data. The Philly ...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 5:37 PM
Economic data and mortgage rate movement go hand in hand. A stronger economy puts upward pressure on rates. A contracting economy helps rates move low...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 8:48 AM
In the day just passed, bonds enjoyed one of their best rally days in recent weeks as the stock market endured its 2nd weakest day since May. Stocks ...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 8:46 AM
There’s a lot going on out there! Rocket Mortgage is creating new technology that will allow the State Farm agents to offer a Rocket Mortgage loan as ...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 8:37 AM
Closing rates for mortgage loans were at the highest level in June since Ellie Mae began collecting the data in 2011. The company, in its June Origina...
Thu, Jul 18 2019, 8:24 AM
There was a huge decline in foreign investment in U.S. real estate during the 12 months ending with the first quarter of 2019. The National Associatio...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 5:27 PM
Mortgage rates improved today, depending on the lender and the time of day! Underlying bond markets were only modestly stronger in the morning. As suc...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 5:26 PM
What began as a rather unassuming summertime Wednesday quickly turned in to one of the biggest rally days in weeks for bonds. 10yr yields moved more ...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 11:25 AM
The residential construction numbers in June were expected to come in largely in the same neighborhood as in May. Analysts however got it only half ri...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 10:04 AM
I encounter plenty of people in the mortgage biz, from part-time receptionists to owners, who are focused on helping consumers. It’s a good thing! And...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 9:23 AM
In the day just passed, a strong Retail Sales report kept the pressure on bond markets to remain in the negative trend that prevailed last week. Yiel...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 8:34 AM
This month marks the tenth anniversary of the current expansion. How much longer can it last? Fannie Mae's July Economics Development report indicates...
Wed, Jul 17 2019, 8:16 AM
Mortgage application activity retreated again during the week ended July 12, although refinancing remained strong. The Mortgage Bankers Association (M...
Tue, Jul 16 2019, 6:27 PM
Bonds began the day in roughly unchanged territory. On the one hand, that was impressive considering the lack of substance underlying yesterday's ral...
Tue, Jul 16 2019, 4:34 PM
Mortgage rates were flat to slightly higher today, following a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales report. The bond market (which dictates mortgage ra...
Tue, Jul 16 2019, 11:25 AM
Builder confidence rose slightly in July. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) said its Housing Market Index (HMI), which it sponsors with...
Tue, Jul 16 2019, 9:01 AM
Although lots of small lenders don’t seem interested in being acquired any longer (“Hey, our pipeline is full and we’re making money again! Autumn is ...
Tue, Jul 16 2019, 8:35 AM
In the day just passed, bonds traversed a sleepy summertime Monday trading session without much volume or liquidity. That dynamic was somewhat exacer...
Mon, Jul 15 2019, 4:42 PM
Today was one of those unofficial 3-day weekend type of Mondays with light volume, light trader participation, and "drifty" trading momentum. A marke...
Mon, Jul 15 2019, 4:18 PM
Mortgage rates were mostly flat to begin the new week, even though underlying bond markets were in stronger territory. Bonds, more than anything else,...
Mon, Jul 15 2019, 9:12 AM
In the week just passed, the first 4 days (and especially Tue/Thu) served as the scene for a breakout from the previous trend (seen in the yellow line...
Mon, Jul 15 2019, 8:47 AM
You don’t think your spouse listens to you? What about Google? You bet: “Google Very Angry After Contractor Leaks Over a Thousand Assistant Recordings...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 6:28 PM
Last Friday's jobs report meant business (bad business for low rates). Even though Powell ultimately told us that one jobs report wouldn't fundamen...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 5:56 PM
Mortgage rates moved decisively higher this week as the underlying bond market finally began shifting gears. After the Fed meeting in June, rates move...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 11:28 AM
The U.S. Census Bureau recently released a treasure trove of data, its 2018 report on Characteristics of New Housing. The report, based on data collec...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 10:52 AM
Applications for financing new home purchases slipped in June in spite of the continued easing of mortgage interest rates. The Mortgage Bankers Associ...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 9:16 AM
Glenn Freezman sent, “I have a step ladder. I never knew my real ladder.” Toddlers, drunk people, and yoga pants don’t lie. What about statistics? Den...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 9:12 AM
In the day just passed, bonds slipped into a bit of a capitulation sell-off following slightly stronger CPI data and a much weaker 30yr bond auction. ...
Fri, Jul 12 2019, 8:21 AM
The Government National Mortgage Association (Ginnie Mae) is the agency, housed under the Department of Housing and Urban Development, that converts g...
Thu, Jul 11 2019, 9:09 AM
In honor of World Population Day today, the Census Bureau tells us that the world’s population will hit 7.58 billion this month. But why believe that?...
Thu, Jul 11 2019, 9:08 AM
In the day just passed, bonds weakened abruptly in the overnight session--mostly due to strong European economic data. Traders were also cautious ahe...
Wed, Jul 10 2019, 3:10 PM
There was a lot that could have gone wrong for the bond market today, given the confluence of big-ticket events (Powell testimony, 10yr auction, Fed m...
Wed, Jul 10 2019, 2:31 PM
Mortgage rates were mixed today following the much-anticipated congressional testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Although these testimonies are regu...
Wed, Jul 10 2019, 9:59 AM
There are still, surprisingly, people who deny that climate change is occurring. There are plenty of low-lying areas of this country that are threaten...
Wed, Jul 10 2019, 9:16 AM
In the day just passed, bonds weakened slightly but remained inside the recent range. The weakness is in line with a linear trend leading to the uppe...
Wed, Jul 10 2019, 8:22 AM
Independence Day played the usual holiday havoc on mortgage applications data, but some trends were maintained. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 3:59 PM
Bonds weakened today, even if only slightly. It was enough to bring 10yr yields right up to the closest and arguably most significant overhead tech...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 3:07 PM
Mortgage rates rose today, largely in response to weakness in the bond market seen yesterday afternoon (and confirmed this morning). Mortgage rates fo...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 1:59 PM
While it was only a small gain, the June increase in the Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) was the sixth in a row . The Mortgage Bankers Assoc...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 10:36 AM
The national delinquency rate declined by another 0.7 percent on an annual basis in April. Mortgage loans that were 30 or more days past due, includin...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 9:21 AM
In the day just past, bonds began the week slowly and without much conviction. Friday's post-NFP weakness was essentially confirmed by the fact that ...
Tue, Jul 9 2019, 8:48 AM
I find it amusing when someone tells me, “The stock market is too risky for me. I have my money with some investment gal/guy.” What do you think they ...
Mon, Jul 8 2019, 6:01 PM
Today was the story of a bond market that is considering a potential shift in momentum in response to a confluence of events. These include last Frid...
Mon, Jul 8 2019, 5:28 PM
Mortgage rates began the day in slightly lower territory compared to last Friday afternoon, but they'd risen noticeably from Wednesday to Friday. The ...
Mon, Jul 8 2019, 3:38 PM
Consumers are beginning to buy into the idea that mortgage rates might go down, at least according to responses to the June National Housing Survey (N...
Mon, Jul 8 2019, 9:13 AM
In the week just past, bonds rallied hard into the Independence Day holiday. 10yr yields hit fresh multi-year lows before getting slammed by a jobs r...
Mon, Jul 8 2019, 8:55 AM
Welcome to “Work from Bed Day” around the nation. Okay, I just made that up, but it sounds enticing. Perhaps it would lead to greater worker satisfact...
Fri, Jul 5 2019, 6:04 PM
If we went back to Monday morning and learned that today's NFP number would come in at 224k, any sane person would have guessed yields would be much h...
