Tue, Sep 27 2022, 1:49 PM
It's no mystery that mortgage rates have been moving relentlessly higher in 2022. But how high is high? That will depend on a number of factors, incl...
Mon, Sep 26 2022, 4:52 PM
The most recent historical high water market for mortgage rates was "14 years." It was broken so many times in September that we officially declared ...
Thu, Sep 22 2022, 7:39 PM
At the close of business yesterday, there was hope. Well, to be fair, there's still hope, but it's much less immediate, and it certainly isn't the fi...
Wed, Sep 21 2022, 6:15 PM
The Fed hiked rates today by 0.75%, and mortgage rates moved lower. If you don't understand how those two things can happen on the same day, read thi...
Wed, Sep 21 2022, 9:59 AM
The following is a copy and paste from a previous piece that always bears repeating on Fed day. If you've seen it before, there's nothing new here. ...
Tue, Sep 20 2022, 4:02 PM
Since last week's inflation data, mortgage rates have pushed up to new 14 year highs every single day--not even "almost" every day, but every last one...
Mon, Sep 19 2022, 5:29 PM
Mortgage rates had another moderately bad day to start the new week. The unfortunate thing about moderately bad days that occur when rates were alrea...
Fri, Sep 16 2022, 5:07 PM
By this time next week, we will have heard from the Fed as they announce the next rate hike on September 21st. It will be big too. Just how big is a...
Thu, Sep 15 2022, 4:49 PM
The internet, TV, and even public radio stations were buzzing all day with groundbreaking news on mortgage rates. Apparently, for the first time in 1...
Wed, Sep 14 2022, 5:25 PM
The mortgage market is no stranger to excitement in 2022. Unfortunately, it hasn't been the good kind of excitement. That's especially true of the p...
Tue, Sep 13 2022, 3:29 PM
Mortgage rates were already in the vicinity of the highest levels in 14 years. With large day-to-day swings being extremely common these days, we wer...
Mon, Sep 12 2022, 4:27 PM
Mortgage rates moved slightly higher today, but only after moving slightly lower earlier this morning. "Higher" and "lower" are more informative if...
Fri, Sep 9 2022, 8:12 PM
It's certainly already been an interesting year for financial markets--especially for housing and interest rates. But most of what's happened over the...
Thu, Sep 8 2022, 5:15 PM
It was an interesting day for mortgage rates due to the timing of movement in the underlying bond market. Bond prices/yields are the primary ingredie...
Wed, Sep 7 2022, 5:32 PM
Mortgage rates spiked quickly to open the holiday-shortened week with the average 30yr fixed rate coming very close to the 14-year high seen on June 1...
Tue, Sep 6 2022, 4:57 PM
As we discussed last week, there is unprecedented volatility in mortgage rates at the moment. It's not that we're seeing record setting swings from d...
Fri, Sep 2 2022, 5:16 PM
It's a tremendously important and volatile time for the market and especially for interest rates. The biggest inflation surge in decades pushed rates...
Thu, Sep 1 2022, 3:12 PM
As recently as late July, it wasn't outside the realm of possibility to see certain lenders quoting conventional 30yr fixed mortgage rates in the high...
Wed, Aug 31 2022, 4:44 PM
The last day of August was also the worst day for rates in August. In fact, it was the worse than any of July as well and not too terribly far from t...
Tue, Aug 30 2022, 5:08 PM
Mortgage rates are driven by the bond market, and bond traders have a lot on their minds these days. After trading rates up to the highest levels in ...
Mon, Aug 29 2022, 4:22 PM
Mortgage rates managed to breathe a decent sigh of relief last Friday as the bond market remained fairly calm despite stock market weakness following ...
Fri, Aug 26 2022, 4:34 PM
While it was never likely to contain too many surprises, this week's much-anticipated Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell served as an important...
Thu, Aug 25 2022, 4:08 PM
Tomorrow morning brings a much anticipated appearance from Fed Chair Powell at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium. As is often the case leading up to ...
Wed, Aug 24 2022, 5:11 PM
Right off the bat, it's worth mentioning that many mortgage quotes are already over 6% for a variety of reasons. But when it comes to the "going rate...
Tue, Aug 23 2022, 3:32 PM
Today's mortgage rates are roughly in line with yesterday's for the average lender. Some are in better shape while others are slightly worse off depe...
Mon, Aug 22 2022, 4:01 PM
At the end of July, the prevailing concern in the mortgage industry was that rates were falling at an unhealthy pace. The good news is that as we app...
Fri, Aug 19 2022, 4:45 PM
The average mortgage rate headline among major news networks suggests things improved this week. The average headline is wrong . Don't blame the new...
Thu, Aug 18 2022, 4:36 PM
It was a very boring day for mortgage rates. There was no meaningful change versus yesterday's latest levels and there were almost no instances of mi...
Wed, Aug 17 2022, 4:34 PM
Citing "surprising reasons" in a headline is only a few steps above "one weird trick" on the click-bait scale, but in today's case, it's warranted. ...
Tue, Aug 16 2022, 4:22 PM
Saying "ahead of Fed Minutes" in a headline about rates is a fairly cheap trick for a few reasons, or at least it can be. In today's case, it probabl...
Mon, Aug 15 2022, 5:11 PM
After rising above 6% in June and falling briefly below 5% by August 1st, mortgage rates have been calming down and staying slightly flatter in the bi...
Fri, Aug 12 2022, 5:05 PM
Thu, Aug 11 2022, 5:56 PM
When it comes to mortgage rates, Thursdays frequently lend themselves to a discussion about fact versus fiction (or "delayed fact" as it may be) in ne...
Wed, Aug 10 2022, 5:37 PM
First thing's first: we deal in extremely granular terms when it comes to mortgage rate movement here. If you're just looking for an idea of how toda...
Tue, Aug 9 2022, 5:03 PM
Mortgage rates had a bad day last Friday, rising at a very fast pace and ultimately making it almost all the way back to the previous week's highs. T...
Fri, Aug 5 2022, 6:55 PM
The big monthly jobs report from the Labor Department (officially "The Employment Situation) is one of the most reliable sources of volatility for int...
Thu, Aug 4 2022, 11:01 AM
Regular readers are all too familiar with my fairly regular habit of explaining discrepancies between reality and the typical mortgage rate headlines ...
Wed, Aug 3 2022, 2:10 PM
We've devoted lots of time and space recently to discussing the uncommon mortgage rate environment recently. The abbreviated thesis can be reduced to...
Tue, Aug 2 2022, 4:53 PM
Mortgage rates leapt higher at a record pace today--a statement that sounds a bit scarier than it really is by the time we consider the context. The ...
Fri, Jul 29 2022, 6:09 PM
Thu, Jul 28 2022, 5:23 PM
Mortgage rates have been all over the map recently, both in terms of their movement and in their variation between lenders. It's not altogether uncom...
Wed, Jul 27 2022, 5:59 PM
The Federal Reserve concluded one of its 8 regularly scheduled meetings in 2022 today. As expected, they announced a rate hike of 0.75%. But if you s...
Tue, Jul 26 2022, 4:23 PM
Some quick housekeeping before we dig into the headline: mortgage rates are slightly higher so far this week. The increases were in place on Monday. ...
Fri, Jul 22 2022, 4:50 PM
The market came into the week with a big focus on the scheduled policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). While our focus remains on ...
Thu, Jul 21 2022, 3:38 PM
Thursday brought the much-anticipated policy announcement from the European Central Bank (ECB). While our focus remains on mortgage rates in an entir...
Tue, Jul 19 2022, 4:25 PM
Mortgage rates are based primarily on the price of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), which are essentially bonds consisting of numerous similar mortga...
Fri, Jul 15 2022, 5:02 PM
It was a week for paradoxes on several fronts, most notably when mortgage rates moved lower just after the Fed floated the idea of an even bigger hike...
Thu, Jul 14 2022, 4:43 PM
A week ago today, we saw one of the most glaring examples of the popular Freddie Mac mortgage rate survey sending mixed signals to reporters and consu...
Wed, Jul 13 2022, 3:40 PM
Ask anyone who knows a thing or two about how interest rates work and they'll tell you: inflation is the enemy! What caused the record high rates b...
Tue, Jul 12 2022, 2:43 PM
The first two days of the week have been fairly boring for mortgage rates relative to recent volatility. There's been a bit of friendly movement on b...
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