Mon, Aug 12 2013, 3:55 PM
Mortgage rates began the day in much better
shape compared to Friday's latest offerings, but market volatility in
the afternoon prompted most ...
Fri, Aug 9 2013, 12:22 PM
Volume and volatility were exceptionally light in the overnight session
with Treasuries holding flat during Asian hours, rallying during European ho...
Fri, Aug 9 2013, 7:50 AM
Last night was Class A Settlement for MBS--aka " the roll ." If
the roll causes any confusion (pretty normal), try thinking of it like
an assembl...
Fri, Aug 9 2013, 5:14 PM
Nothing at all happened today. There were no significant market moving
events. Data didn't matter--or at least no one cared to trade it
today. ...
Fri, Aug 9 2013, 3:21 PM
Mortgage rates moved lower for a third straight day ,
ending the week at their best levels. Rates are currently just shy of
July 23rd lows. W...
Thu, Aug 8 2013, 12:53 PM
Bond markets were initially stronger in the overnight session. Then
they were weaker. Then they were stronger again. The net effect is
that a l...
Thu, Aug 8 2013, 7:44 AM
There are fewer and fewer ways to express that the broader themes in
bond markets are in place and that this week not only looked like an
opportun...
Thu, Aug 8 2013, 5:34 PM
Mortgage rates moved lower again today, hitting their best levels since July 23rd. That achievement is mostly a factor of what has been an extremely ...
Thu, Aug 8 2013, 4:47 PM
Today's 30yr Bond Auction managed to create a few small spikes higher and lower in rates this afternoon before
the long end of the yield curve settl...
Wed, Aug 7 2013, 12:47 PM
There is little to be observed about this morning's trading that hasn't
already been seen in the first two days of the week. 10yr yields and
MBS ...
Wed, Aug 7 2013, 7:43 AM
Yesterday's Trade Deficit numbers played something of a similar role to
Monday's ISM data in that they stood as a traditionally important piece
of...
Wed, Aug 7 2013, 5:38 PM
The week continues to be every bit as riveting as expected, which is to
say it's not-at-all riveting. At least today's version of
inconsequential...
Wed, Aug 7 2013, 4:48 PM
Mortgage rates moved slightly lower today, taking them to their best levels since last Tuesday. Rate movements have generally been very small over th...
Tue, Aug 6 2013, 12:33 PM
In the context of Friday's movement, today is just another day spent
drifting sideways in the post-payrolls range. But if we look just at
yesterd...
Tue, Aug 6 2013, 7:13 AM
Limited economic data is the theme of the whole week and if not for the
Treasury auction cycle, bond markets would scarcely have a reason to
show ...
Tue, Aug 6 2013, 5:24 PM
There was a time (and may be again) where markets cared about the
International Trade report. Economic Calendars of various shapes and
sizes rout...
Tue, Aug 6 2013, 4:35 PM
Mortgage rates were flat again today, making
this the 7th day out of the past 9 with almost no movement. This week,
the lack of movement is e...
Mon, Aug 5 2013, 7:37 AM
The last three days of last week provided only a glimpse of the
volatility surrounding the Fed's tapering timeline. Interestingly
enough, Reuters...
Mon, Aug 5 2013, 5:43 PM
Bond markets previously wrestled with the idea of settling down for the
summer--something they haven't really been able to do since 2008--but
foun...
Mon, Aug 5 2013, 4:33 PM
Mortgage rates were essentially unchanged today. Whereas
rates where sharply lower on Friday (after being sharply higher on
Wednesday mornin...
Mon, Aug 5 2013, 1:36 PM
On the approach, the current week looked as if it would have precious
little to offer by way of suggesting the next--if any--shift in the
bigger p...
Fri, Aug 2 2013, 11:52 AM
Bond markets had been waiting on the past three days of data to better
assess Bernanke's potential affection in the coming months as the
tapering ...
Fri, Aug 2 2013, 7:16 AM
Bond market momentum is increasingly dictated by horse races between September and December
timelines for the announcement that the Fed's asset ...
Fri, Aug 2 2013, 5:55 PM
In the same way that Doc Holiday said "that is a hell of a thing for
you to say to me" in the Movie Tombstone, it's a hell of a thing for me
to sa...
Fri, Aug 2 2013, 4:11 PM
Mortgage rates fell sharply today, matching
the pace of yesterday's abrupt move higher. By the end of the day most
lenders were close to thei...
Thu, Aug 1 2013, 12:35 PM
Everywhere we look this morning, there's another reason for bond markets
to be heading back into weaker territory after yesterday afternoon's
rela...
Thu, Aug 1 2013, 10:07 PM
Nearly a month ago, the three day time frame at the end of this week
stood out as vastly important to bond markets due to the level of
information...
Thu, Aug 1 2013, 7:02 AM
Much was made of the potential volatility introduced by yesterday's
calendar of events and markets did not disappoint. But the volatility
arrived...
Thu, Aug 1 2013, 5:16 PM
Mortgage rates rose abruptly today, moving
highest levels since July 9th as financial markets prepare for
tomorrow's important Employment Sit...
Wed, Jul 31 2013, 12:31 PM
Trading activity has been fairly logical so far today. Bond markets
continued to leak just slightly lower in price overnight (higher in
yield), b...
Wed, Jul 31 2013, 8:13 AM
After nearly a month of waiting , the three days are now upon
us that stood out as the most significant three days all the way back on
July 8th (...
Wed, Jul 31 2013, 5:49 PM
The Fed is to be applauded for mentioning mortgage rates in today's
official Announcement in an unprecedented way. While the Fed is the
very pict...
Wed, Jul 31 2013, 4:56 PM
Mortgage rates are deceptively unchanged here
at the end of the trading day, but that was far from the case this
morning. Rates were signific...
Wed, Jul 31 2013, 1:59 PM
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June
suggests that economic activity expanded at a modest pace during the
firs...
Tue, Jul 30 2013, 12:28 PM
Step back from MBS prices far enough to see more than a few days and it
becomes clear that we're grinding sideways in an increasingly narrow
range...
Tue, Jul 30 2013, 6:43 AM
While the "day before the day with huge potential volatility"
occasionally surprises us with a relatively large preemptive move, we're
still waiti...
Tue, Jul 30 2013, 4:28 PM
We have it on good authority that tomorrow is Wednesday and that there's
a lot of "stuff" going on that bond markets might care about. That
inclu...
Tue, Jul 30 2013, 3:10 PM
Mortgage rates were essentially unchanged today ,
with some lenders in marginally better shape while others were
marginally worse. Some of thi...
Mon, Jul 29 2013, 12:26 PM
Given the abundance of data and events due out later this week, bond
markets have unofficially extended the weekend through today as far as
tradin...
Mon, Jul 29 2013, 8:27 AM
If market participants have been on vacation literally or
figuratively (and many have), this is the week worth coming back for.
In fact, it's one...
Mon, Jul 29 2013, 4:26 PM
It's no secret by now that Wednesday through Friday of this week bring
an exceptionally heavy load of economic data and events, collectively
carry...
Mon, Jul 29 2013, 4:04 PM
Mortgage rates were slightly higher
to begin a week that could end with much bigger swings. Today,
however, was relatively tame with market c...
Fri, Jul 26 2013, 12:33 PM
At this point the day has gone off almost perfectly as scripted.
Overnight data and events were irrelevant and did nothing to move bond
markets. ...
Fri, Jul 26 2013, 7:04 AM
There are two things that traders may focus on today: Consumer Sentiment
data and Exit signs. That's not anything to do with exiting a trading
po...
Fri, Jul 26 2013, 5:25 PM
Mortgage rates improved today ,
capitalizing on friendly market movements that arrived too late in
yesterday's session to make it onto rate she...
Fri, Jul 26 2013, 4:55 PM
Let's be realistic about markets--bond markets anyway. Nothing happened
this week. Of course "nothing" sounds a bit dramatic, so let's qualify
t...
Thu, Jul 25 2013, 11:50 AM
Bond markets began the day in moderately weaker territory and have given
up ground steadily since then. The batch of morning economic data was a
...
Thu, Jul 25 2013, 7:07 AM
When you see the word " technically " in this blog, it's safe to
assume that it means "according to a strictly technical assessment of
market move...
Thu, Jul 25 2013, 5:53 PM
To be fair, the late rally actually only "further preserved" the
range-trade. The heavy lifting in that regard had already been
accomplished by s...
Thu, Jul 25 2013, 4:00 PM
Mortgage rates began the day moderately higher ,
but as market conditions improved most lenders released improved rate
sheets bringing offering...
