Thu, Oct 6 2016, 4:11 PM
Mortgage Rates didn't move much today compared to yesterday's latest levels, but that's the only way to view them as being 'unchanged.' Even so, as is...
Wed, Oct 5 2016, 9:25 AM
You might remember some seemingly dramatic headlines from early September when rates attempted their first big break of the dominant range (e.g. "Yes ...
Wed, Oct 5 2016, 4:42 PM
It was a pretty straightforward trading day considering what's at stake in the bigger picture. Bonds were under slight pressure overnight, but were...
Wed, Oct 5 2016, 3:43 PM
Mortgage Rates were higher again today, following much stronger-than-expected economic data. A key index that tracks the health of the services sector...
Tue, Oct 4 2016, 9:55 AM
There are no significant economic reports or scheduled events on tap for today. This will give us an opportunity to feel out the new trading ideas,...
Tue, Oct 4 2016, 3:51 PM
Bonds tanked today and at first glance, there weren't any great explanations as to why. But headlines quickly surfaced regarding the European Central...
Tue, Oct 4 2016, 2:54 PM
Mortgage Rates moved significantly higher today, relative to recently narrow ranges. It's enough to bring the most prevalent conventional 30yr fixed q...
Mon, Oct 3 2016, 9:15 AM
As October begins, bond markets are pretty close to trading levels seen at the end of August--close enough to call September a "flat month" anyway. ...
Mon, Oct 3 2016, 5:41 PM
Almost like clockwork, bond markets weakened JUST enough to cast doubt on their commitment to reentering the sub-1.60% range. This follows a week of ...
Mon, Oct 3 2016, 3:47 PM
Mortgage Rates were higher today, with most lenders at their highest levels in nearly 2 weeks. The bond markets that underlie mortgage rate movement r...
Fri, Sep 30 2016, 9:14 AM
As we approach the rest of the trading day, keep the info from this month/quarter-end bond buying primer in mind. Remember that the bond market unoff...
Fri, Sep 30 2016, 5:04 PM
While there has been a good amount of volatility in September, it was fairly flat, relative to August's latest levels. Up until this week, that was...
Fri, Sep 30 2016, 3:47 PM
Mortgage Rates were mixed today, with some lenders in slightly weaker territory while others offered modest improvements versus yesterday. The dichoto...
Thu, Sep 29 2016, 9:34 AM
Yesterday's moderate weakness in bond markets comes at at inopportune time for those hoping to see another push back to all-time lows (in either Treas...
Thu, Sep 29 2016, 5:09 PM
Bond markets were weaker overnight and continued pushing toward the first of two important resistance levels (think "ceilings") during the domestic se...
Thu, Sep 29 2016, 4:29 PM
Mortgage Rates were slightly higher again today, marking the second day spent pulling back from a nice move lower that followed last week's Fed announ...
Wed, Sep 28 2016, 9:21 AM
I talk a lot about " trends "--a word that's easy enough to understand in a general sense, but more esoteric when we try to understand it in specific ...
Wed, Sep 28 2016, 5:33 PM
It was an interesting day for bond markets, mainly because there was such an immense amount of news that SEEMED like it should matter. The deluge o...
Wed, Sep 28 2016, 4:57 PM
Mortgage Rates finally took a break from their recent winning streak today. While there are a few lenders whose rates are just a hair lower than yeste...
Tue, Sep 27 2016, 9:35 AM
Heading into last night's presidential debate, there had been a small amount of buzz among market participants about the potential ifs and thens. T...
Tue, Sep 27 2016, 4:31 PM
Glory was limited, in general, today. Most of it went to Treasuries as opposed to MBS. Put in plainer terms, 10yr yields fell 2-3bps on the day whil...
Tue, Sep 27 2016, 3:52 PM
Mortgage Rates maintained their recent winning streak today, falling for the 5th straight day. The average lender is now offering the best rates in ne...
Mon, Sep 26 2016, 10:10 AM
It seems that money managers and financial journalists will not relent in their calls for US bond yields to have reached a long-term floor this summer...
Mon, Sep 26 2016, 4:57 PM
Up until roughly September 9th, yields had been holding inside a narrow, consolidating range for nearly 3 months. They've since spent most of the pas...
Mon, Sep 26 2016, 3:50 PM
Mortgage Rates were lower again today, marking the 4th straight day of improvements and the 8th day without a meaningful increase. This brings the ave...
Fri, Sep 23 2016, 9:42 AM
Bond markets have been surprisingly calm this week, given what's at stake. 3 weeks ago, we were faced with the new prospect of the European Central B...
Fri, Sep 23 2016, 3:58 PM
For MBS Live members, this recap will largely be a rehash of the day's most recent update which pointed out a consolidative range in force over the pa...
Fri, Sep 23 2016, 2:38 PM
Mortgage Rates continued steadily lower today, adding to a string of improvements that brings them to their best levels in more than 2 weeks. Rates ha...
Thu, Sep 22 2016, 9:43 AM
The Fed announcement is in the rearview and bond markets are beginning their 3rd straight day of improvement. Does this mean last week's sharper move...
Thu, Sep 22 2016, 4:11 PM
Mortgage Rates made more substantial gains today, after financial markets had more time to react to yesterday's announcement from the Federal Reserve....
Wed, Sep 21 2016, 9:27 AM
Bond markets had two central bank announcements to endure today, and the first one is already out of the way, sort of... The Bank of Japan unleashed ...
Wed, Sep 21 2016, 5:41 PM
It was an interesting Fed day for bond markets, with 10yr yields dropping 3.8bps and 2yr yields not dropping at all. That's the first clue that mar...
Wed, Sep 21 2016, 4:36 PM
Mortgage Rates made modest gains in some cases today, though many lenders are in roughly the same territory as yesterday. Things could be worse, howev...
Wed, Sep 21 2016, 2:02 PM
(additions underlined, deletions struck-through)
For immediate release
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in June...
Tue, Sep 20 2016, 9:09 AM
The approach to this week's big-ticket events has been very straightforward so far. This has been aided, no doubt, by the absence of other signific...
Tue, Sep 20 2016, 4:09 PM
For the 5th day in a row, the total trading range in Treasuries and MBS fell inside the single day range set last Tuesday. Market-watchers consider...
Tue, Sep 20 2016, 2:54 PM
Mortgage Rates were slightly higher in most cases today, although there were a few lenders in better shape. This runs counter to movement seen in unde...
Mon, Sep 19 2016, 10:06 AM
The past several years have marked a historically low level of a volatility in interest rates. People define volatility in different ways, so let's j...
Mon, Sep 19 2016, 5:32 PM
It was a pretty simple day as far as bond markets are concerned. The collective unconscious of the bond-trading population was perfectly content to...
Mon, Sep 19 2016, 5:09 PM
Mortgage Rates were unchanged for a third straight day, although several lenders did raise rates at the end of the day. That can happen when underlyin...
Fri, Sep 16 2016, 9:26 AM
With the most recent spike in rates, 10yr yields have returned to 2016's dominant trend-lines for an interesting bounce (or "stall," depending on ho...
Fri, Sep 16 2016, 5:08 PM
I'll save a majority of risk-mongering for next week's opener, but some of it is warranted for today. The timing of calendar events has resulted in ...
Fri, Sep 16 2016, 3:51 PM
Mortgage Rates were unchanged again today, on average. Some lenders were modestly better than yesterday. Others were modestly worse. But all were fair...
Thu, Sep 15 2016, 8:29 AM
After several days with essentially no relevant economic data, bond markets will get an entire week's worth this morning. The headliner is undoubtedl...
Thu, Sep 15 2016, 4:24 PM
Bond markets had an opportunity to jump back on the selling wagon today after yesterday's positive bounce. As we discussed, yesterday's gains were dr...
Thu, Sep 15 2016, 3:24 PM
Mortgage Rates were unchanged in most cases today, keeping them near their highest levels in more than 2 months. Rates are driven primarily by movemen...
Wed, Sep 14 2016, 9:37 AM
Welcome back to the first potentially significant long-term bounce in interest rates since the first half of 2015. Rates haven't covered as much grou...
Wed, Sep 14 2016, 5:22 PM
Mortgage Rates fell modestly today, but only enough to bring upfront costs slightly lower for the same rates quoted yesterday. Still, it's a most welc...
Wed, Sep 14 2016, 5:22 PM
Bond markets made modest gains today, but yields nonetheless closed at their highest recent levels apart from the previous day. It was the same dyn...
Tue, Sep 13 2016, 9:25 AM
The past three days have been interesting for financial markets--Friday and Monday particularly. Friday saw the biggest break outside the established...
