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6.73%
+0.06%
15YR Fixed Rate
5.97%
+0.06%
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.91
+0.07
10 Year Treasury
4.260
-0.020
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Fed Minutes Hurt MBS, But Not Quite As Badly As It Seemed Today's Fed Minutes offered a more detailed account of the meeting that took place 3 weeks ago.  Markets expected there would be more to learn on the Fed's debate over its bond buying plan.  They were not disappointed at the level of information, but MBS were a bit disappointed by the specifics.  Prices fell moderately as a result, but at times, the losses looked much bigger than they were due to the illiquid trading conditions that are typical for the day before Thanksgiving. Econ Data / Events 20min of Fed 30yr UMBS Buying  10am, 1130am (M-F) and 1pm (T-Th) Jobless Claims 778k vs 730k f'cast, 748k prev Durable Goods Core CapEx 0.7 vs 0.5 f'cast, 1.9 prev Q3 GDP (1st revision) 33.1 vs 33.2 f'cast, 33.1 prev New Home Sales 999k vs 970k f'cast, 1.002m prev Consumer Sentiment 76.9 vs 77.0 f'cast, 77.0 prev Core PCE Inflation 1.4 vs 1.4 f'cast, 1.4 prev Market Movement Recap 08:46 AM Bonds began the overnight session slightly weaker and stocks slightly stronger, but both reversed course just a few hours in.  Stock futures are roughly unchanged to start the domestic session and bond yields are just a hair under yesterday's latest levels.  MBS are underperforming inconsequentially in terms of 1.5 coupons, but right on pace with Treasuries in terms of 2.0 coupons.  No major reaction to 8:30am econ data. 11:17 AM Moderate gains throughout the morning hours--largely in line with stock market weakness.  10yr yields bounced at .855 and are up to .867 now (just under 2bps lower on the day).  1.5 UMBS are up 2 ticks (.06) and 2.0 UMBS are up 4 ticks (.125). 01:43 PM Bonds giving up gains now with the only detectable market movers being a bounce in equities around 10am and perhaps some defensive positioning ahead of the Fed Minutes.  10yr yields are still down 1 bp at .875, but 1.5 UMBS are down 1 tick (0.03) now at 100-27 (100-34).  UMBA 2.0 coupons are down by a similar amount intraday, but remain slightly stronger versus yesterday's close. 02:44 PM Moderate weakness after Fed Minutes (yes, only moderate, but it sticks out like a sore thumb due to a narrow trading range leading up to this afternoon).  MBS took it harder than Treasuries (here's why).  10yr yields are still lower on the day, but just barely.  MBS are down nearly a quarter point from the highs, but it looks worse than it is due to illiquidity.
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November 25, 2020
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MBS Commentary
MBS Live Recap: Fed Minutes Hurt MBS, But Not Quite As Badly As It Seemed
Fed Minutes Hurt MBS, But Not Quite As Badly As It Seemed Today's Fed Minutes offered a more detailed account of the meeting that took place 3 weeks ago.  Markets expected there would be more to learn on... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
How The New Loan Limits Affect Mortgage Rates
If you follow the MBS Commentary channel on this site, you will have already seen most of the following, but it's relevant for consumers as well. As far as mortgage rates are concerned, the increase in conforming loan limits doesn't have a direct imp... (read more)
Housing News
Freddie Mac on Track For 25% More Loans This Year, Most of Them Refis
Freddie Mac reported this week that its total mortgage portfolio increased at an annualized rate of 25.7 percent in October compared to a 17.5 percent gain in September. The portfolio balance at the end of the period was $2.625 trillion compared to $... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
MLO, Ops Jobs; Doc, Sales, Broker Tools; Disaster Updates; Investors React to Freddie and Fannie Changes
Second only to the excitement of the new phone book coming, the new conforming loan limit is $548,250 for 2021 , up from $510,400 in 2020, and some investors reacted. (More below.) The limit will impact home buyers in a positive way. The spread of CO... (read more)
Housing News
New Home Sale Refuse to Back Down From 14-year highs
Sales of newly constructed single-family homes slipped slightly in October; the second month sales have declined. The U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development reported that the month's sales were at a seasonally adjusted ann... (read more)
Housing News
Refi Applications Hit 7 Month Highs
Refinancing increased its already overwhelming dominance of the mortgage market during the week ended November 20. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said the refinancing share of mortgage applications topped 70 percent and refinancing accounted ... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.73% +0.06%
Rate Change Points
Mortgage News Daily
30 Yr. Fixed 6.73% +0.06 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.97% +0.06 0.00
30 Yr. FHA 6.25% +0.06 0.00
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.84% +0.04 0.00
7/6 SOFR ARM 6.33% +0.04 0.00
30 Yr. VA 6.26% +0.06 0.00
Updates Daily - Last Update: 7/2
15 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.97% +0.06%
Rate Change Points
Freddie Mac
30 Yr. Fixed 6.77% -0.04 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.89% -0.07 0.00
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/26
Rate Change Points
Mortgage Bankers Assoc.
30 Yr. Fixed 6.88% +0.04 0.63
15 Yr. Fixed 6.11% -0.03 0.74
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.88% +0.07 0.60
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/25
MBS / Treasuries
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.92 +0.08
Price / Yield Change
MBS
UMBS 5.5 99.91 +0.07
UMBS 6.0 101.62 +0.05
GNMA 5.5 100.05 +0.09
GNMA 6.0 101.46 +0.06
Pricing as of: 7/3 4:53AM EST
10 Year US Treasury
4.2553 -0.0245
Price / Yield Change
US Treasury
2 YR Treasury 3.771 -0.017
5 YR Treasury 3.848 -0.019
7 YR Treasury 4.035 -0.021
10 YR Treasury 4.260 -0.020
30 YR Treasury 4.786 -0.023
Pricing as of: 7/3 4:53AM EST
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news.google.com
Fed weighed adjusting bond purchases to provide more help to economy 'fairly soon,' minutes show - CNBC
CNBC
Fed releases minutes from November meeting
Calculated Risk Blog
A few Comments on October New Home Sales
CNBC
The CDC is expected to shorten Covid quarantine time, something most everyone seems to agree on
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Buying a home: Why it's harder for younger generations than their parents
CNBC
Buying a home: Why it's harder for younger generations than their parents
Calculated Risk Blog
Personal Income decreased 0.7% in October, Spending increased 0.5%
news.google.com
Yellen would need Congress to approve use of clawed-back Fed loan funds, Treasury says
Calculated Risk Blog
Q3 GDP Growth Unchanged at 33.1% Annual Rate
CNBC
U.S. weekly jobless claims total 778,000, vs 733,000 estimate
CNBC
Covid cases are exploding across U.S. and Thanksgiving could be an 'accelerator event'
CNBC
The market is looking for clues from the Fed on whether it will adjust bond buying
Federal Reserve
Fed Minutes: Full Text
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Today's Mortgage Rates  |  Mortgage Calculators
7/2/2025
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.73%
+0.06%
0.00
MBS & Treasury Prices
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.91
+0.07
10 Year US Treasury
99.918
+0.158
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