Frustratingly Persistent Selling Pressure in Bonds

Bonds got off to a rocky start well before the domestic session began.  European bonds kicked off the selling spree, but most of the weakness arrived after the 8:30am release of the NY Fed Manufacturing data which swing wildly back into positive territory after being down big last month (+10.3 vs -18.0 f'cast, -24.6 prev). That said, the weakness was most noticeable while EU markets remained open.  After they closed, US bonds flat-lined with MBS down roughly half a point and 10yr yields pushing 3.60%. Strong bank earnings are also said to have contributed to the weakness. 

Econ Data / Events
    • NY Fed Manufacturing
      • 10.8 vs -18.0 f'cast, -24.6 prevb
    • NAHB Builder Confidence
      • 45 vs 44 f'cast, 44 prev
Market Movement Recap
10:36 AM

Flat in Asia, weaker in Europe. More selling in US (strong earnings and NY Fed data).  10yr up 6.6bps at 3.581.  MBS down 3/8ths.

01:32 PM

Moderate additional weakness heading into the 11am hour, but mostly a reflection of illiquidity.  10yr up 8bps at 3.595.  MBS still down 3/8ths.

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