Thu, Sep 17 2009, 8:33 AM
After 830am data, stock futures are lower. TSY futures are higher. Cash market 10 yr note hit 3.50% before falling back to 3.47%....in futures 3.50 co...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 8:08 AM
Equity futures are pointing up this morning as investors hope to keep the rally going for a fourth straight day. Since Monday the S&P 500 has gained 3...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 6:39 PM
About half a facemelter in both MBS and tsy's today as MBS got half a point and tsy's another 4-6 ticks beyond that. As AQ pointed out in the previou...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 5:56 PM
The goal of the Federal Reserve's agency MBS program is to provide support to mortgage and housing markets and to foster improved conditions in financ...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 3:57 PM
Mortgages continue to trade well in both price (yay for loan officers) and in relative value (yield spreads tighter and tighter...OAS negative) This r...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 2:28 PM
While the level of new delinquencies on residential mortgage loans has stabilized, the size of the “foreclosure pipeline” continues to grow. Accordin...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 2:10 PM
As stocks continued a trend of selling that began shortly before the noon hour, bonds have rallied with MBS reaching up to familiar levels. The 4.5 i...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 1:19 PM
Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week ended September 17 reported the third consecutive week of lower rates for fixed rate mortgag...
Thu, Sep 17 2009, 1:12 PM
It was a bumpy ride in the mortgage backed security market yesterday. At the open, MBS moved considerably higher and lenders that issued rate sheets ...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 12:00 PM
The bond market held up remarkably well yesterday considering stocks set new 2009 highs following more "better than expected" economic data and hopefu...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 11:51 AM
As we discussed earlier, the AM data crushed the bond market sending MBS from 100-26 to 100-08. For those without calculators or excellent mental mat...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 9:33 AM
Stocks are loving the anti-deflation data this AM. At the 930 opening bell, stocks are making new 2009 highs again...and the bond market is suffering....
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 9:17 AM
Mortgage rates increased slightly last week but still remain at historically low rates. Even so, demand for mortgages, refinancing, and purchases all ...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 8:41 AM
Following the data, the 10yr yield rose, but quickly fell back to 3.39, but failed to test morning yield lows.The FN 4.5 fell (price) after the data, ...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 8:25 AM
For the second day in a row, markets began with a rough start yesterday but made steady climbs throughout the afternoon and ended on positive tones. T...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 7:36 PM
Although the rates market put up a good fight today, in the end there were just too many factors working against our cause (lower mortgage rates!). In...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 4:01 PM
The post 3pm trade in MBS and Tsy's is showing it's characterstic signs of waning participation as volatility and volume decrease. But unlike some ot...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 3:26 PM
HR 3146, passed the House of Representatives on a voice vote Tuesday afternoon. The bill permits flexability in hiring and compensating staff, provide...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 2:31 PM
Chopatility is chop-chop-chopping away at our level of confidence regarding the possibility of you making it through the rest of the day without seein...
Wed, Sep 16 2009, 1:54 PM
Stocks are higher again today, marking gains in eight out of the last nine trading sessions. A boost to industrial production and a tame inflation rep...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 12:58 PM
Retail sales posted their strongest monthly gain in three years and other fresh news was mostly supportive of growth in the third quarter, but market ...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 12:53 PM
One simple step everyone can take to make their email efforts more compatible with their social media efforts is to link all of your emails to your so...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 12:52 PM
After holding levels not seen since early this summer for over a week, mortgage rates are under some pressure to move higher. Yesterday, mortgage ba...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 11:03 AM
Prices of "rate sheet influential" MBS coupons have bounced around a chopatile range this morning. We took a nose dive after 830 data, then started re...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 8:31 AM
830 data was not bond friendly. PPI higher than expected, retail sales and NY Manufacturing better than anticipated. The 10 yr TSY note yield rose fro...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 8:26 AM
A slow and steady climb from a poor opening helped US equity markets close on a positive note yesterday, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.63% to a new 11-mo...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 5:03 PM
The day closed out remarkably well considering the data this AM, it's immediate effects, and the conclusions that could have easily been drawn after c...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 3:53 PM
Despite better than expected econ data (plus Bernanke's comments), rallying stocks, a weaker dollar, more expensive oil, and gold moving back into fou...
Tue, Sep 15 2009, 1:00 PM
After falling abruptly this AM on better than expected economic data, the range in MBS and tsy's moderated into levels that left fannie 4.5's down onl...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 12:59 PM
Mortgage rates continue to hold below 5% despite some better than expected economic data last week. As a general rule, better than expected economi...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 11:42 AM
Much rumor is circulating around the investment community that the US-Chinese trade war issue has been a money moving "event" this morning. I am not s...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 10:26 AM
Most appraisers have an independent spirit and the idea of an appraiser union is not very appealing to them. I suppose that the same applies to Mortga...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 8:41 AM
So far this AM
* Long end the of yield curve not doing so well with 10's down 12 ticks (3.39 yield) and 30 yr down 26 ticks (yield 4.23)
*...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 8:34 AM
The week begins on a light note with no major data scheduled for release. However, one week ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee meeti...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 5:02 PM
It might as well have been a Friday... The characteristic pattern of gains in the AM turning into linear losses by the close is all too familiar. At...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 3:52 PM
The empty data calendar combined with "already been heard" Fed speak plus a little "nothing new" from President Obama created a VERY SLOW trading envi...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 2:40 PM
Free markets function fine...when all parties understand their risks. Changes need to be made to the GSE's but not in a way that contracts, rather th...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 2:05 PM
There is such a lack of relevant data today that all we really have to discuss at the moment are today's various speeches. Most recently, Richmond Fe...
Mon, Sep 14 2009, 2:04 PM
With no fresh data to trade on, US equity markets took a cue from global exchanges and opened lower this morning. Leading up to the day’s key event, a...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 12:13 PM
MBS trading is slow moving this morning as participants are generally focused on the settlement process and the inescapable inclination to honor the l...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 8:41 AM
MBS trading slow during settlement. Benchmark big brothers are leading MBS prices higher. Expect MBS to lag TSY rally...especially with prices and rel...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 8:27 AM
The benchmark S&P 500 has gained 52% since early March and investors continue to be optimistic about buying equities. The last five days have seen con...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 4:59 PM
At the end of trading today, the 10 yr note was up a full 100% more than 4.5 MBS!!! Then again, that was only a 2 tick gain in the 10yr versus the 1 ...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 2:58 PM
Cue the Friday music. You know the song... The one where low volume, liquidity, and overall participation precipitate price movements that outly a m...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 1:38 PM
As of 12:30, all three markets had fallen into the negative, albeit modestly. The Nasdaq is down 0.46% to 2,074, the Dow is trading 0.38% lower at 9,5...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 1:34 PM
Fitch Ratings has released the criteria by which it rates Servicers' Advance Receivables Trusts (SARTs); a derivative based on the recovery by a servi...
Fri, Sep 11 2009, 1:14 PM
Despite a rally in stocks, mortgage backed securities managed to post nice gains yesterday after a stronger than expected 30 year bond auction. It ...
Thu, Sep 10 2009, 12:50 PM
In late August, Wall Street was worried that the March to August run-up in equity prices had become overheated, but since September 2 the Dow has adde...
Thu, Sep 10 2009, 11:20 AM
The reprice alert siren has been turned off. The FN 4.5 bounced at 100-28 and is now currently trading at 101-00...still off the highs of the day. Cho...
Thu, Sep 10 2009, 10:53 AM
Benchmark yields are moving higher as stocks start to reverse early session losses. After reaching price levels not visited since May, the FN 4.5 has...
