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The latest New Home Sales report showed little change in July, with sales holding very close to June’s pace. The seasonally-adjusted annual sales rate came in at 652,000. This marks a -0.6% dip from June’s revised 656,000, and leaves sales -8.2% lower than July 2024’s 710,000 level. For all practical purposes, the pace of sales continues to run sideways, reflecting the same stable range seen over the past 2+ years despite periodic swings. Regional Breakdown (Sales, July 2025)
South: -3.5% MoM
Midwest: -6.6% MoM
Northeast: unchanged MoM
West: +11.7% MoM
Market Inventory & Pricing
Homes for sale: 499,000 units (-0.6% from June; +7.3% YoY)
Months’ supply: 9.2 months (flat MoM; +16.5% YoY)
Median sales price: $403,800 (-0.8% MoM; -5.9% YoY)
Average sales price: $487,300 (-3.6% MoM; -5.0% YoY)
Big Picture Takeaway July’s new home sales data reinforces the recent pattern: demand is steady at best, but not accelerating. Inventory remains elevated, keeping months’ supply near multi-year highs. While prices have softened meaningfully versus last year (reflecting lower square footage more than actual price declines), elevated housing costs continue to limit the benefit to buyers.
Housing News
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The latest New Home Sales report showed little change in July, with sales holding very close to June’s pace. The seasonally-adjusted annual sales rate came in at 652,000. This marks a -0.6% dip from June’s revised 656,000, and leaves sales -8.2% low... (read more)
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Housing News
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Both the FHFA and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller indices published updated home-price data this week. The takeaway remains the same: prices are rising year-over-year, but at an increasingly slow rate. Case Shiller--the more volatile index--is at ... (read more)
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Mortgage Rate Watch
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It continues to be the case that day-to-day changes in average mortgage rates are very small. Today was no exception in that regard. Nonetheless, today represents a technical "record low" for 2025 with average rates edging just slightly lower than th... (read more)
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MBS Commentary
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Not that this week's economic calendar is especially robust, but Wednesday's offerings are especially light. There are no monthly economic reports on tap and no major events. The only potential market mover on the calendar is the 1pm auction of... (read more)
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Rob Chrisman
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I was today years old when I realized that the shovel was literally a groundbreaking invention. The best ads and marketing focus on rates and products, right? Wrong. From Florida, Todd P. reminds me of a powerful, memorable lending ad that doesn’t ev... (read more)
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