Mortgage rates have risen rather abruptly from their long term lows 2 weeks ago and are now at the highest levels in more than a month. Fortunately, the average lender is still easily able to quote rates in the high 3% range, which is still a significant savings for anyone who bought or refi'd in 2018 and even the first part of 2019. That's great and all, but what have rates done for us lately? More importantly, what are rates going to do in the future? Unlike forecasting the weather, the more of an expert someone is in the mortgage world, their ability to predict the direction of rates doesn't meaningfully diverge from the layperson's best guess. What we do know is that tomorrow's Fed announcement is a big potential source of volatility, but NOT for the reasons most laypersons may assume!

September 18, 2019 Download our Mobile App: Download our Mobile App: 30 Yr. Fixed 6.28% -0.01%   6.11% 7.26% 15 Yr. Fixed 5.65% +0.05%   5.54% 6.59% 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.25% +0.00%   6.25% 7.45% Compare Mortgage Rates from Local Lenders for Sep 18, 2019 No, The Fed Rate Cut Won't Affect Mortgage Rates Tue, Sep 17, 2019 5:02PM Mortgage rates have risen rather abruptly from their long term lows 2 weeks ago and are now at the highest levels in more than a month. Fortunately, the average lender is still easily able to quote rates in the high 3% range, which is still a significant savings for anyone who bought or refi'd in 2018 and even the first part of 2019. That's great and all, but what have rates done for us lately? More importantly, what are rates going to do in the future? Unlike forecasting the weather, the more of an expert someone is in the mortgage world, their ability to predict the direction of rates doesn'... (read more) Mortgage News Daily Rate Change Points 30 Yr. Fixed 6.28% -0.01 0.00 15 Yr. Fixed 5.65% +0.05 0.00 30 Yr. FHA 5.94% -0.01 0.00 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.25% 0.00 0.00 7/6 SOFR ARM 5.62% +0.03 0.00 30 Yr. VA 5.95% -0.02 0.00 Updates Daily - Last Update: 9/8 Freddie Mac Rate Change Points 30 Yr. Fixed 6.50% -0.06 0.00 15 Yr. Fixed 5.60% -0.09 0.00 Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/4 Mortgage Bankers Assoc. 30 Yr. Fixed 6.64% -0.05 0.59 15 Yr. Fixed 5.84% -0.19 0.84 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.58% -0.09 0.39 Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/3 UMBS 30YR 5.5 101.26 +0.13   97.47 101.61 UMBS 30YR 6.0 102.53 +0.05   99.66 102.53 10 YR Treasury 4.048 -0.039   3.621 4.780 MBS Live Day Ahead: Today's Fed Announcement is More Complicated Than Normal Wed, Sep 18, 2019 9:09AM In the day just passed, the bond market managed to add a 2nd day to a friendly correction--a small counterattack against the much larger corrective sell-off that dominated last week's trading (and yes... that weakness was, itself, a counterattack against a MUCH larger downtrend in rates throughout 2019).  There were no meaningful reactions to economic d... (read more) MBS Price Change UMBS 5.0 99.74 +0.27 UMBS 5.5 101.28 +0.16 UMBS 6.0 102.53 +0.05 GNMA 5.0 100.09 +0.27 GNMA 5.5 101.22 +0.09 GNMA 6.0 102.16 +0.02 Pricing as of: 9/8 4:52PM EST US Treasury Yield Change 2 YR Treasury 3.495 -0.023 5 YR Treasury 3.567 -0.022 7 YR Treasury 3.771 -0.030 10 YR Treasury 4.042 -0.045 30 YR Treasury 4.687 -0.083 Pricing as of: 9/8 4:52PM EST Other News Housing Permits and Starts Hit Highest Levels in a Year Wed, Sep 18, 2019 10:23AM August turns out to have been among the year's strongest periods for residential construction. While analysts had expected builders to shake off some of the lethargy that has dogged the industry for most of the year, increasing at least the rate of housing starts. However results exceeded expectations across the board and the rates of permitting and starts w... (read more) Higher Mortgage Rates Didn't Deter Purchase Loan Activity Wed, Sep 18, 2019 8:10AM There was a jump in purchase mortgage applications during the week ended September 14 even as interest rates moved higher. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of applications volume, ticked down 0.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis, as the increase in its Purchase Index offset a significant decline in refin... (read more) MBA Says New Home Sales Increased for August Tue, Sep 17, 2019 11:20AM The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is anticipating an increase in new home sales in August. The organization's Builder Application Survey found the volume of applications to finance the purchase of newly construction homes was 33 percent higher than in August 2018 although there was a downtick of 0.2 percent month-over-month. The numbers do not include a... (read more) Digital, Sales, Broker Products; Mortgage Compliance, Risk, and Fraud Q&A Tue, Sep 17, 2019 8:53AM As yet another example of a mortgage conference eating into a weekend, leading attendees to travel on a Friday or Saturday, the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Regulatory Compliance Conference starts this Sunday. But the scheduling doesn’t detract from the important message: “Now more than ever, the regulatory environment calls for the best ... (read more) Latest Video January new home sales drop nearly 7% Bank of America CEO: Loan demand showing consistent growth UK parliament votes on options to delay Brexit January new home sales fall short of expectations, down 6.9 percent Around the Web consumerfinancemonitor.com CFPB addresses RESPA issue in its first no-action letter under the revised final policy CNBC Powell says it's possible the Fed will have to resume balance-sheet growth Reuters Trump on Fed: 'No 'guts,' no sense, no vision!' 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