Straightforward Data-Driven Rally

It proved to be an incredibly straightforward day for the bond market.  Trading levels were roughly unchanged in early trading. Friendly Fed comments provided a modest boost, but it was the JOLTS data that clearly set the tone. With job openings hitting the lowest levels since late 2020, traders were quick to hit the buy button. Keep in mind, this is July data whereas Friday's jobs report will be August data. Nonetheless, it was an extra measure of labor market weakness that helped confirm last month's lackluster jobs report. If Thursday's data is similarly downbeat, we could see more of a pre-NFP lead-off with yields challenging the recent range floor.

Econ Data / Events
    • Job Openings
      • 7.181m vs 7.400m f'cast, 7.357m prev
    • Job Quits
      • 3.208m vs 3.142m prev
Market Movement Recap
10:01 AM

Rallying after JOLTS data.  10yr down 2.8bps at 4.231.  MBS up 2 ticks (.06).

11:39 AM

Holding post-JOLTS gains.  MBS up 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr down 4.3bps at 4.216

04:13 PM

Heading out just off the strongest levels with MBS up an eighth and 10yr yields down 4bps at 4.22

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