There was always a reasonably high bar for today's econ data to have a big impact. When it came out right in line with expectations this morning, that ship sailed. That left the month-end trading environment as the most likely source of inspiration. While we can certainly see some evidence of month-end volatility, it played out in a narrow range. More importantly, it resolved with bonds at the strongest levels of the week, even if by only a small margin.
Econ Data / Events
-
- Core PCE monthly
- 0.1 vs 0.1 f'cast, 0.0 prev
- Core PCE Annual
- 2.5 vs 2.5 f'cast, 2.7 prev
- Wholesale Inventories
- 0.0 vs 0.4 f'cast, 0.7 prev
- Core PCE monthly
Market Movement Recap
08:40 AM
flat overnight and minimal reaction to data. MBS unchanged and 10yr up 1.5bps at 4.435
11:31 AM
Steady near unchanged levels in MBS. 10yr down 1.2bps at 4.407
03:40 PM
Best levels of the day, but minimal movement overall. MBS up an eighth and 10yr down 2.1bps at 4.399