To be clear, markets reacted to tariff headlines yesterday evening when the news was that a court decision would block certain tariffs. But even before today's most relevant tariff headlines, markets had correctly sniffed out the outcome. In short, tariffs are back in effect pending further review by the court and even then, traders expect the administration to find ways around any attempted block. Bottom line, there was no reaction to today's headlines by the time they came out because markets traded the likelihood overnight. Tepid econ data and a well-received 7yr Treasury auction added mildly to the gains.
-
- Jobless Claims
- 240k vs 230k f'cast, 226k prev
- GDP revision (q1)
- -0.2 vs -0.3 f'cast
- Corporate Profits
- -3.6 vs 5.9 f'cast
- Final Sales
- -2.9 vs -2.5 f'cast
- Consumer Spending
- 1.2 vs 1.8 f'cast
- Jobless Claims
Slightly stronger after data. MBS are up 1 tick (.03) and 10yr yields are down just under 1 bp at 4.469.
flat at stronger levels ahead of auction. MBS up 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr down almost 5bps at 4.43
Drifting out sideways near strongest levels. MBS up 6 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 4.8bps at 4.432