Another Bad 7yr Auction Day, Even If We Can't Blame The Auction Bonds were feeling a bit defensive ahead of today's 7yr auction, and rightfully so!  7yr auction days have been rough in 2021.  The past 3 examples were rough, in large part due to auction results themselves.  Today was a bit different.  The auction was actually decent.  Bonds ended up selling off for other reasons.  More details on those in today's video... Econ Data / Events Fed MBS Buying  10am, 1130am, 1pm FHFA Home Prices 12.2 vs 12.1 prev Case Shiller Prices 11.9 vs 11.7 f'cast, 11.1 prev Consumer Confidence 121.7 vs 113.0 f'cast, 109.0 prev Market Movement Recap 08:31 AM Mostly sideways but slightly weaker overnight.  Low volume/volatility.  No standout market movers.  10yr yields starting up 1.5bps at 1.583.  UMBS 2 ticks (-0.06) weaker at 103-16 (103.5). 12:11 PM Definitely favoring weakness ahead of the 7yr auction--almost exclusively seen in Treasuries.  10yr yields are up 2.5bps at 1.593% and 2.5 UMBS are down 3 ticks (-0.09) at 103-15 (103.47). 01:05 PM Nice, average results at 7yr auction, but only after a bit of AM bond market weakness helped soften prices.  Not much movement since then with 10yr at 1.597 and MBS staying flat in a range between 1 and 3 ticks (0.03 - 0.09) weaker on the day. 02:56 PM Treasuries have weakened somewhat abruptly heading into the close with some traders citing a big corporate bond offering from Citi (why would that matter?).  There's also a technical consideration as 10yr yields moved quickly up to the 1.62% level.  Either way, MBS have avoided most, but not all of the drama with 2.5 coupons now down an eighth of a point on the day.

April 27, 2021 Download our Mobile App: Download our Mobile App: 30 Yr. Fixed 6.29% +0.01%   6.11% 7.26% 15 Yr. Fixed 5.69% +0.04%   5.54% 6.59% 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.25% +0.00%   6.25% 7.45% Compare Mortgage Rates from Local Lenders for Apr 27, 2021 Mortgage Rates Improve on 7-Week Lows Thu, Apr 22, 2021 5:06PM Mortgage rates fell to the lowest levels since March 2nd or 3rd (depending on the lender) yesterday and today they fell just a bit more. Most borrowers will see the exact same rate quotes as yesterday, but a few will have slightly lower upfront costs (or higher lender credits). Even then, the improvement isn't big, but the average day-over-day move rarely is when it comes to rates. The underlying bond market (the primary consideration for lenders in setting daily mortgage rates) was fairly stable today. In the early afternoon, headlines surrounding the proposed increase in capital gains tax ra... (read more) Mortgage News Daily Rate Change Points 30 Yr. Fixed 6.29% +0.01 0.00 15 Yr. Fixed 5.69% +0.04 0.00 30 Yr. FHA 5.98% +0.04 0.00 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.25% 0.00 0.00 7/6 SOFR ARM 5.68% +0.06 0.00 30 Yr. VA 6.00% +0.05 0.00 Updates Daily - Last Update: 9/9 Freddie Mac Rate Change Points 30 Yr. Fixed 6.50% -0.06 0.00 15 Yr. Fixed 5.60% -0.09 0.00 Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/4 Mortgage Bankers Assoc. 30 Yr. Fixed 6.64% -0.05 0.59 15 Yr. Fixed 5.84% -0.19 0.84 30 Yr. Jumbo 6.58% -0.09 0.39 Updates Weekly - Last Update: 9/3 UMBS 30YR 5.5 101.06 -0.22   97.47 101.61 UMBS 30YR 6.0 102.36 -0.18   99.66 102.50 10 YR Treasury 4.082 +0.043   3.621 4.780 MBS Live Recap: Another Bad 7yr Auction Day, Even If We Can't Blame The Auction Tue, Apr 27, 2021 3:30PM Another Bad 7yr Auction Day, Even If We Can't Blame The Auction Bonds were feeling a bit defensive ahead of today's 7yr auction, and rightfully so!  7yr auction days have been rough in 2021.  The past 3 examples were rough, in large part due to auction results themselves.  Today was a bit different.&nb... (read more) MBS Price Change UMBS 5.0 99.45 -0.32 UMBS 5.5 101.06 -0.23 UMBS 6.0 102.38 -0.16 GNMA 5.0 99.73 -0.34 GNMA 5.5 101.04 -0.15 GNMA 6.0 102.01 -0.18 Pricing as of: 9/9 5:51PM EST US Treasury Yield Change 2 YR Treasury 3.558 +0.071 5 YR Treasury 3.617 +0.055 7 YR Treasury 3.816 +0.048 10 YR Treasury 4.087 +0.048 30 YR Treasury 4.732 +0.042 Pricing as of: 9/9 5:51PM EST Other News S&P Analysts: Accelerating Home Prices Reflect Economic Recovery Tue, Apr 27, 2021 11:34AM A month after interest rates began to rise, neither the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller indices nor that from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) found any slowdown in home price appreciation. Both logged double digit annual increases , in all cases higher than those in January. The Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. cens... (read more) New Home Sales Top 1 Million, Setting Post-Recession High Fri, Apr 23, 2021 12:09PM New home sales reversed direction in March, fully recovering from the 18.2 percent nosedive those sales took in February. The Census Bureau said sales of newly constructed homes rose 20.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.021 million units. This is 66.8 percent higher than the sales 612,000 unit pace in March 2020, although that rate was impa... (read more) MBA Forecasts Record Purchase Volume This Year Fri, Apr 23, 2021 10:33AM The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) is predicting a banner year for purchase mortgage originations. The Association's chief economist and senior vice president Mike Fratantoni told attendees at MBA's Spring Conference and Expo that those originations are on track to grow 16.4 percent this year, setting a probable new record at $1.67 trillion. Refinancing ... (read more) Servicing, Sales Jobs; Processing, Broker, Price Products; Events and Training Coming Soon Mon, Apr 26, 2021 10:51AM While the market digests the acquisition of Flagstar by NY Community Bancorp by the end of 2021, and talk of more deals in the works, in previous generations a “pension” from a company was a big deal, something that could make or break a job offer. Although retirement pensions have gradually been replaced by 401(k)’s, earn-outs, or social s... (read more) Latest Video Consumer Confidence Index 121.7, beating 113 estimate CNBC Fed Survey finds strong support for stocks, not bonds The 9am Bond Report - April 27, 2021 Here's why tax flight could become a harsh reality for states that are rais... 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