30YR Fixed Rate
6.75%
+0.02%
15YR Fixed Rate
5.98%
+0.01%
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.64
-0.20
10 Year Treasury
4.347
+0.067
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With 10yr yields breaking the 1.075% technical floor on Monday, the bond market added evidence to the case for a move back to 1.0%.  Today's early gains make the evidence nearly overwhelming with yields less than half a basis point away at times.  With the Fed coming up this afternoon, it would only take a mildly stronger reaction to break the 1.0% floor .  What happens after a break below 1.0% though?  The prevailing trend implies heavier resistance around 0.97-0.98%. Specifically, the lower boundary of the "trend channel" (yellow lines below) runs through .98 today.  It would require another fairly decent bond rally to get there, but it's not outside the realm of possibility. Such a move could be a blessing or a curse.  If the trend keeps doing what it's been doing since August, a move to .97/.98 suggests a stronger possibility of another bounce, or at least another slow grind higher like the trading seen in Q4. The Fed announcement comes out at 2pm and Powell's press conference begins at 2:30pm.  As far as the Fed's current stance is concerned, we're more likely to see/hear market movers in the press conference, if at all.  Markets want reassurance (again!) that the Fed isn't even talking about tapering its asset purchases yet.
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January 27, 2021
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MBS Commentary
MBS Live Day Ahead: Friendly Bond Bounce Continues as 10s Target 1.0%
With 10yr yields breaking the 1.075% technical floor on Monday, the bond market added evidence to the case for a move back to 1.0%.  Today's early gains make the evidence nearly overwhelming with yields less than half a basis point away at times... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Encompass, Training, Credit Risk Jobs; Pricing, Sales, Reno Products; Training on Securitization and Other Upcoming Events
Just a couple more weeks until my uncle sends me a text asking if I’ve seen these funny photos of Bernie Sanders , of which there are no shortage. There is, however, a shortage of houses out there for the 70+ million Millennials to buy, even if... (read more)
Housing News
Loans Still Taking 2 Months to Close as Refi Demand Stays Strong
The interest rates on 30-year fixed rate mortgages originated in December reached an all-time low in ICE Mortgage Technology's (formerly Ellie Mae's) records, an average of 2.93 percent and a 4-basis point decline from the November rate. The company,... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage Rates Down Only Slightly Despite Bond Market Rally
What's a bond market rally and why should mortgage rates care? There are all kinds of bonds. US Treasuries would be the quintessential example, but there are also bonds specific to the mortgage market. These are what groups of loans ultimately become... (read more)
Housing News
November Home Prices Climbed at Highest Rate in Six Years
The annual increases in U.S. home prices is nearing dizzying levels. The November data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) crossed into double digits for the second consecutive month while the months numbers from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shi... (read more)
Housing News
Existing Home Sales Reach Highest Levels Since 2006
Existing home sales resumed an upward trajectory in December. After drifting lower by 2.5 percent in November, breaking a five-month streak of gains , the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said sales in the last month of the year rose 0.7 p... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.75% +0.02%
Rate Change Points
Mortgage News Daily
30 Yr. Fixed 6.75% +0.02 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.98% +0.01 0.00
30 Yr. FHA 6.27% +0.02 0.00
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.85% +0.01 0.00
7/6 SOFR ARM 6.32% -0.01 0.00
30 Yr. VA 6.29% +0.03 0.00
Updates Daily - Last Update: 7/3
15 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.98% +0.01%
Rate Change Points
Freddie Mac
30 Yr. Fixed 6.67% -0.10 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.80% -0.09 0.00
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 7/3
Rate Change Points
Mortgage Bankers Assoc.
30 Yr. Fixed 6.79% -0.09 0.62
15 Yr. Fixed 6.06% -0.05 0.67
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.78% -0.10 0.40
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/26
MBS / Treasuries
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.64 -0.20
Price / Yield Change
MBS
UMBS 5.5 99.64 -0.20
UMBS 6.0 101.43 -0.13
GNMA 5.5 99.86 -0.11
GNMA 6.0 101.34 -0.06
Pricing as of: 7/6 6:14AM EST
10 Year US Treasury
4.3467 +0.0669
Price / Yield Change
US Treasury
2 YR Treasury 3.883 +0.095
5 YR Treasury 3.937 +0.070
7 YR Treasury 4.125 +0.068
10 YR Treasury 4.347 +0.067
30 YR Treasury 4.863 +0.055
Pricing as of: 7/6 6:14AM EST
Latest Video
Fed Chair Powell on whether he's concerned about a housing bubble
Fed Chair Jerome Powell on whether the central bank can avoid a taper tantr...
Federal Reserve leaves interest rates unchanged
The Bond Report - 9am - January 27, 2021
Around the Web
NPR
Down But Not Out: Pandemic Likely Dealt Blow To Economy But There's Room For Hope
CNBC
Federal Reserve leaves interest rates and asset purchases unchanged, sees growth slowing
CNBC
Fed Chairman Powell will try to soothe markets, but that may not work
news.google.com
Fed set to release monetary policy decision
CNBC
Nearly one third of U.S. homes are at high risk of natural disaster, a new study says
CNBC
Treasury yields dip slightly ahead of speech from Fed Chair Powell
Yahoo News
US durable goods orders show modest 0.2% December gain
Calculated Risk Blog
Wednesday: FOMC Statement
CNBC
Fed will need to reassure the market it's not thinking about dialing back its support
Calculated Risk Blog
BLS: December Unemployment rates down in 19 States, Higher in 12 States
Calculated Risk Blog
Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in November
NAHB Eye on Housing
COVID-19 Continues to Impact Home Purchasing Plans
CNBC
White House signals it could agree to more narrowly targeted stimulus checks
© 2025  Mortgage News Daily, LLC. | 19701 Bethel Church Rd. | Cornelius, NC 28031
Interest rates displayed are national averages and for informational purposes only. Actual rates from lenders may vary based on several factors including, but not limited to, credit worthiness, ability to replay, credit score, down payment, loan term, etc.
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Today's Mortgage Rates  |  Mortgage Calculators
7/3/2025
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.75%
+0.02%
0.00
MBS & Treasury Prices
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.64
-0.20
10 Year US Treasury
99.222
-0.537
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