30YR Fixed Rate
6.73%
+0.06%
15YR Fixed Rate
5.97%
+0.06%
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.94
+0.10
10 Year Treasury
4.259
-0.021
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Bonds Circle The Wagons Ahead of High Risk NFP The consensus for tomorrow's NFP (nonfarm payrolls, the principal component of the big jobs report) is 110k--not much of a downgrade from last month's 139k.  The bond market has recently been trading as if it expects to see an even lower number--a fact that's not too surprising given the preponderance of other data that suggests a weaker labor market in June. The latest in that list was today's ADP employment report which completely whiffed (-35k vs 95k f'cast). Bonds initially rallied on that news, but didn't maintain the gains, possibly due to all of the preemptive rallying already in place over the past 2 weeks, and possibly because ADP is notorious for paradoxically diverging from NFP on any given month despite broad long-term correlation. Today's weakness was minimal in the bigger picture and could just as easily be viewed as part of a 2-day process of circling the wagons (pausing and modestly correcting a prevailing trend on the eve of high-consequence data). Econ Data / Events ADP Employment -33k vs 95k f'cast, 29k prev Market Movement Recap 08:27 AM slightly weaker overnight  but erasing losses after ADP data--at least in the shorter end of the yield curve.  MBS now unchanged.  10yr up 4bps at 4.279, but 2yr is down 1.7bps. 09:15 AM Back down to weaker levels.  MBS down 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr up 5.3bps at 4.292 12:46 PM Holding at 5 ticks (.16) weaker in MBS.  10yr now up 6.4bps at 4.303 03:10 PM Off the weakest levels in Treasuries with 10yr now up only 4.8bps at 4.288.  MBS down an eighth.
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July 2, 2025
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MBS Commentary
Bonds Circle The Wagons Ahead of High Risk NFP
Bonds Circle The Wagons Ahead of High Risk NFP The consensus for tomorrow's NFP (nonfarm payrolls, the principal component of the big jobs report) is 110k--not much of a downgrade from last month's 139k. ... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
Rates Finally Rise Ahead of Jobs Report
Mortgage rates have generally been falling since May 21st and have done nothing but move lower for more than 2 weeks.  That winning streak finally came to an end today with the average lender moving up 0.06% for a top tier 30yr fixed quote. Whi... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
Processing, Lead-Gen Tools; HELOCs, 2nds, Non-Agency Products; Maryland's DSCR Controversy
“Pro Tip: Here’s a friendly 4th of July reminder that absolutely no one is going to watch the videos of the fireworks you record on your phone.” You can bet anyone flying some place is watching the flight delays due to staffing and weather. You can b... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.73% +0.06%
Rate Change Points
Mortgage News Daily
30 Yr. Fixed 6.73% +0.06 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.97% +0.06 0.00
30 Yr. FHA 6.25% +0.06 0.00
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.84% +0.04 0.00
7/6 SOFR ARM 6.33% +0.04 0.00
30 Yr. VA 6.26% +0.06 0.00
Updates Daily - Last Update: 7/2
15 Yr. Fixed Rate
5.97% +0.06%
Rate Change Points
Freddie Mac
30 Yr. Fixed 6.77% -0.04 0.00
15 Yr. Fixed 5.89% -0.07 0.00
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/26
Rate Change Points
Mortgage Bankers Assoc.
30 Yr. Fixed 6.88% +0.04 0.63
15 Yr. Fixed 6.11% -0.03 0.74
30 Yr. Jumbo 6.88% +0.07 0.60
Updates Weekly - Last Update: 6/25
MBS / Treasuries
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.94 +0.09
Price / Yield Change
MBS
UMBS 5.5 99.93 +0.09
UMBS 6.0 101.64 +0.07
GNMA 5.5 100.08 +0.11
GNMA 6.0 101.49 +0.08
Pricing as of: 7/3 8:16AM EST
10 Year US Treasury
4.2573 -0.0225
Price / Yield Change
US Treasury
2 YR Treasury 3.759 -0.029
5 YR Treasury 3.843 -0.024
7 YR Treasury 4.033 -0.023
10 YR Treasury 4.259 -0.021
30 YR Treasury 4.790 -0.019
Pricing as of: 7/3 8:16AM EST
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Interest rates displayed are national averages and for informational purposes only. Actual rates from lenders may vary based on several factors including, but not limited to, credit worthiness, ability to replay, credit score, down payment, loan term, etc.
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Today's Mortgage Rates  |  Mortgage Calculators
7/2/2025
30 Yr. Fixed Rate
6.73%
+0.06%
0.00
MBS & Treasury Prices
UMBS 30YR 5.5
99.93
+0.09
10 Year US Treasury
99.930
+0.170
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