MBS Live: MBS MID-DAY
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FNMA 3.5
103-19 : +0-06
FNMA 4.0
105-13 : +0-04
FNMA 4.5
106-19 : +0-02
FNMA 5.0
107-30 : +0-02
GNMA 3.5
105-06 : +0-07
GNMA 4.0
107-29 : +0-03
GNMA 4.5
108-30 : +0-00
GNMA 5.0
110-07 : -0-03
FHLMC 3.5
103-12 : +0-06
FHLMC 4.0
105-03 : +0-04
FHLMC 4.5
106-08 : +0-02
FHLMC 5.0
107-20 : +0-03
Pricing as of 11:04 AM EST
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
10:21AM  :  White Houses Fact Sheet: FHA Streamline Cost Reductions
Later today, Obama will announce the suspected grandfathering of MIP for FHA Streamlines as well as an effective erasure of UFMIP (it's going down to 0.01%).

Concomitant with the MIP reductions, the White House reiterated their previous steps to encourage more Streamline participation by removing Streamlines from the "Compare Ratio" calculation. Excerpts from the Fact Sheet follow:

"The FHA currently charges an up-front mortgage insurance premium of 1% of the borrower’s loan balance and an additional 1.15% of the balance per year. FHA is reducing the up-front premium to .01% for streamlined refinancings of loans originated prior to June 1, 2009 and cutting the annual fee for these refinancings in half, to .55%. Together these reductions could save the typical FHA borrower about a thousand dollars a year."

"Earlier this year, the Administration announced changes that will finally remove the reticence that many lenders have had to provide refinancing to additional families. The FHA uses a calculation called the “Compare Ratio” to assess lender performance and help determine whether they can continue to do business with the FHA going forward. To date streamlined refinances have been included in this calculation, and because many of the loans refinanced through the program come from higher risk years, lenders have been reluctant to offer the program to customers for fear that it would impact their score and thus their relationship with FHA. The FHA has now removed these loans from that analysis, thus removing this cause for concern for lenders and opening this program up to many more families."
9:48AM  :  FHA to Reduce MIP for Streamlined Refinancing to 0.01% for Loans Before June 2009
Reuters: FHA to Change Up-front Mortgage Insurance Premium for Streamlined Refinancing to 0.01% for Pre June 2009 Loans, 2-3 Million Borrowers Could be Eligible for Savings.
9:09AM  :  ALERT: MBS, Treasuries Rally as Stock Futures Tank.
Volume was medium high in the overnight session on rumors that Greece would extend the deadline for their private sector bond swap, currently scheduled for Thursday. Greek officials denied the rumors, but markets have been impeccably conditioned to take everything said by Euro-zone officials with a grain of salt. So despite the affirmations of the original deadline, we'd wager some level of skepticism remains in this morning's drive back to yesterday's best levels.

In fact, MBS prices have ticked higher than yesterday's highs on a few recent occasions, and 10yr yields lower than yesterday's 1.97, currently 1.9513.

There's no significant economic data this morning, but potentially significant news on tap for FHA loans. In a press conference at 1pm, Obama is expected to announce Grandfathering of .55 MIP according to this article.

Stocks have sold aggressively in pre-market trading, down over 15 points from yesterday's highs in S&P futures. MBS are up a quarter of a point at 103-21, nearing a technical resistance target at 103-23. 10's are thus far moving through their February mid-range but may contend with resistance from their trend channel in the 1.93's.
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Dmitriy S  :  "Not sue if you guys saw this but FNMA increased their fees 2/28 for PERS approvals... https://www.efanniemae.com/sf/guides/ssg/annltrs/pdf/2012/sel1202.pdf"
Eric Gousios  :  "They are also removing streamlines from the "Compare Ratio". They are enticing lender to remove min fico's. If that happens, there are loans to be had."
Jason York  :  "i would now say that is precisely why they chose that date"
Jason York  :  "good eye EG"
Eric Gousios  :  "Why June 2009? Because that's 3 years and the UFMIP had been used up therefore they don't have to give a FHA premium refund. "
Michael Gillani  :  "The origination date caveat eliminates 99.9% of eligible streamlines!"
John Paul Mulchay  :  "I'm bent about the date restriction. I've already refinances all of those people and have a grip of 2010/2011 clients that have been holding their collective breath for this announcement. And it will not help them. "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- FHA TO CHANGE UP-FRONT MORTGAGE INSURANCE PREMIUM FOR STREAMLINED REFINANCING TO 0.01 PCT FOR PRE JUNE 2009 LOANS "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- OBAMA ADMINISTRATION TO DROP FHA REFINANCING FEES ON LOANS ORIGINATED BEFORE 6/1/09, 2-3 MILLION BORROWERS COULD BE ELIGIBLE FOR SAVINGS "
Gaius Rossini  :  "by my count, as of the jan prepayment report, there were 2,231,738"
Mike Drews  :  "I have about 5 past customers that have refused to do a streameline, but would have to imagine that this would put them over the edge."
Steven Stone  :  "i ran the counts through my database guy...theres no where near the numbers they are quoting"
Gaius Rossini  :  "We estimate that approximately 2-3 million FHA borrowers are eligible to benefit from the program with these changes. While it is always difficult to estimate participation in these programs, this will result in significant monthly savings for hundreds of thousands of families."
Gaius Rossini  :  "The FHA currently charges an up-front mortgage insurance premium of 1% of the borrower’s loan balance and an additional 1.15% of the balance per year. FHA is reducing the up-front premium to .01% for streamlined refinancings of loans originated prior to June 1, 2009 and cutting the annual fee for these refinancings in half, to .55%. Together these reductions could save the typical FHA borrower about a thousand dollars a year."
Matthew Graham  :  "just heard there was a Bloomberg headline that said "official sector won't provide funds if swap fails" re Greece's private sector swap. "
Matthew Graham  :  "S&P's set to open about 15 pts lower at the moment "
Matthew Graham  :  "TQ, if there's a clear-cut fundamental market mover in play, I haven't seen it yet. I think this mvoe could be as simple as the following: no data to trade, Greek PSI deadline = suspect, big 7yr buyback coming up in an hour, easy to tolerate 1.93's trend channel resistance in 10's, why not run the ball to that side of the court for a quick buck and hide behind tanking stock futures for justification"
Thomas Quann  :  "i know, what gives with the 10 year dropping?"
Brent Borcherding  :  "Hmmmm....Futures down fairly large"
Ira Selwin  :  "Hey one good thing for you guys. If it's announced in an Obama press conference, it helps you out. People should be calling you."
B-C  :  "VB basically everyone that gets an FHA loan now, will pay for the "discounted" mi rate for 2009 and prior borrowers"
Victor Burek  :  "plenty of them out there"
B-C  :  "if you can find FHA borrowers that been in a cave the past 3 years yes its great"
Sung Kim  :  "i am thinking this is good no matter how you cut it"
Ira Selwin  :  ""A senior administration official described Obama's proposals ""
Sung Kim  :  "sweet!!!"
Matthew Graham  :  ""Under the housing plans Obama was to announce Tuesday, FHA-insured borrowers would be able to refinance their loans at half the fee that the FHA currently charges. FHA borrowers who want to refinance now must pay a fee of 1.15 percent of their balance every year. Officials say those fees make refinancing unappealing to many borrowers. The new plan will reduce that charge to 0.55 percent.""
Matthew Graham  :  "being read as MIP grandfathering being announced today, but I'm not gleaning that personally. Help me out if you will"
B-C  :  "MG is this another, make a program that the lenders will not buy?"
Matthew Graham  :  "http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,2108387,00.html"