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MBS Pricing
  Settlement Price Change
MBS
30YR FNMA 3.0   0-00 0-00
30YR FNMA 3.5   0-00 0-00
30YR FNMA 4.0   0-00 0-00
30YR FNMA 4.5   0-00 0-00
30YR FNMA 5.0   0-00 0-00
30YR GNMA 3.0   0-00 0-00
30YR GNMA 3.5   0-00 0-00
30YR GNMA 4.0   0-00 0-00
30YR GNMA 4.5   0-00 0-00
30YR GNMA 5.0   0-00 0-00
30YR FHLMC 3.0   0-00 0-00
30YR FHLMC 3.5   0-00 0-00
30YR FHLMC 4.0   0-00 0-00
30YR FHLMC 4.5   0-00 0-00
30YR FHLMC 5.0   0-00 0-00
  Price Change Yield Change
Treasury
2 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
3 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
5 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
7 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
10 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
30 YR 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Change the chart by clicking any security in the list.

MBS Live Updates
  • 2/21
    MBS Return to Lows In Late Day, Light-Liquidity Conditions
    Despite earlier reprices for the worse, MBS had been able to hold sideways to slightly improved levels in concert with Treasuries starting around 1:30pm. But lower coupons, have once again broken to new lows with Fannie 3.5's down to 102-31 currently. This increases the risk of reprices for the worse among lenders who didn't get on board earlier and possibly even an additional reprice from those who did.
  • 2/21
    Boston Fed sought cut in discount rate in Jan
    (Reuters) - The Boston Federal Reserve unsuccessfully wanted in January to trim the rate the Federal Reserve charges banks for emergency loans, in part to align the so-called discount rate with the rate the Fed charges foreign central banks for dollar swaps.

    Forecasts for modest growth ahead, continuing weakness in housing markets and high unemployment were also among reasons why the directors of the regional Fed bank sought a cut to 0.5 percent from the current level of 0.75 percent, according to minutes of meetings released on Tuesday by the Fed.

    The Fed cut its principal policy rate, the fed funds rate, to near zero in December 2008.

    While Boston sought a decrease the Kansas City Fed wanted to raise the discount rate to 1 percent, in part to restore the 1 percentage point spread between the fed funds rate and the discount rate that prevailed before the financial crisis that began in 2007.
  • 2/21
    FHFA Sends Congress Strategic Plan for Conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
    Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Acting Director Edward J. DeMarco today sent to Congress a strategic plan for the next phase of the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises). The plan builds on the Acting Director’s February 2010 letter to Congress on the conservatorships and sets forth objectives and steps FHFA is taking or will take to meet FHFA’s obligations as conservator. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were placed into conservatorships Sept. 6, 2008 and have since received more than $180 billion in taxpayer support. FHFA identifies three strategic goals for the next phase of the conservatorships:

    -Build: Build a new infrastructure for the secondary mortgage market;
    -Contract: Gradually contract the Enterprises’ dominant presence in the marketplace while simplifying and shrinking their operations; and
    -Maintain: Maintain foreclosure prevention activities and credit availability for new and refinanced mortgages.
  • 2/21
    MBS Hit New Lows. Negative Reprice Risk Increasing
    Whether or not you'll see a reprice for the worse here depends largely on the lender in question, but with Fannie 3.5's falling to 103-02--their lows of the day--it's an increasing risk.

    10yr yields have moved out of their sideways trend and broken higher, now up to 2.07%. Even so, some lenders will have priced late enough or conservatively enough to not be at much of a risk to reprice, while the traditionally faster-to-act crowd could be fairly close at currently price levels.
  • 2/21
    MBS Live Service Notice: Day Over Day Price Change
    Please be aware that day-over-day pricing is currently displaying incorrectly due to a trade that was reported yesterday while markets were closed.

    This does not effect Treasuries, nor does it affect the accuracy of the currently reported pricing. The error is that the day-over-day change column for MBS will appear to be roughly 9/32nds higher than it should be. Using Fannie Mae 3.5 coupons for instance, Friday’s latest tick was at 103-10, but day-over-day changes are being calculated using 103-01.

    We are working to resolve the issue.
  • 2/21
    Relatively Heavy Volume Moving Bond Market Relatively Sideways
    Trading so far this morning is doing its best to appease two considerations. On the one hand, there's the fact that "something" happened with respect to the Greek bailout vote. On the other hand, "something" has happened with respect to Greek bailout votes in the past, yet we ended up back in the same can-kicking position. Markets are indeed skeptical about any sort of "solution" that comes from EU bailouts/negotiations/summits/meetings and now, conference calls! That much is evident in the support seen around 2.04 in 10yr yields.

    But the sideways grind is accompanied by heavy volume today, which brings us to what's really on the table: a chance to hold our ground, or a change to shift higher in yield (lower in terms of MBS Prices) past some significant pivot points. 10yr yields, while not higher than 2/09, are still on the verge of breaking out of their long term trend-channel, which passes through 2.034 today. (Of course, they're currently higher than that, but it would take more than an intraday break to confirm). Current levels between 2.04 and 2.05 are also right on the the 50% retrace between the highs and the lows since August 2011. Just slightly higher it the 100 day moving average, which 10's haven't broken during the same time, but have tested on several occasions.

    Long story short, testing of these technical trends + the thick volume suggests markets are essentially "deciding" how they feel about Greek bailout 2.0. MBS are holding up fairly well so far this morning, but will have to follow Treasuries to some extent if bigger shifts happen. That likely means a break below 103-00, but we'll cross that bridge when and if we come to it. For now, 103-06 means Fannie 3.5's are still holding the lower end of their long term trend channel.
  • 2/21
    Europe Seals New Greek Bailout to Avert Default
    (Reuters) - Euro zone finance ministers sealed a 130-billion-euro ($172 billion) bailout for Greece Tuesday to avert a chaotic default in March after persuading private bondholders to take greater losses and Athens to commit to deep cuts.

    After 13 hours of talks, ministers finalized measures to cut Greece's debt to 120.5 percent of gross domestic product by 2020, a fraction above the target, to secure its second rescue in less than two years and meet a bond repayment next month.

    By agreeing that the European Central Bank would distribute its profits from bond buying and private bondholders would take more losses, the ministers reduced the debt to a point that should secure funding from the International Monetary Fund and help shore up the 17-country currency bloc.

    But the austerity measures wrought from Greece are widely unpopular among the population and may hold difficulties for a country which is due to hold an election in April. Further protests could test politicians' commitment to cuts to wages, pensions and jobs.
  • 2/17
    Bearish Bias Dries Up After Hours, Still Sideways
    Just a quick update to moderate the negative reprice report from the previous alert. MBS stayed within the day's range and bounced higher following the 3pm close. 10's and MBS have improved into the "going out" hours (from 3-5pm), with Fannie 3.5's actually prodding the top of the day's range. Is it enough for positive reprices now? VERY small outside chance. Would be more possible were it not a Friday with volatile data waiting on the other end of a 3-day weekend. More important is that we're not at the same risk of negative reprices as we were previously.
  • 2/17
    Negative Reprice Reported. MBS Still Drifting Sideways
    MBS prices retraced to this morning's low range, hitting 103-06 before bouncing higher to 103-08 currently. Everything continues to operate in sideways ranges for both MBS and Treasuries, but we have seen one reprice for the worse as MBS hit their lows. We wouldn't expect most lenders to reprice at current levels, but it's a possibility for the more aggressive, quicker-to-act crowd, with the potential participants in negative reprices increasing if Fannie 3.5's dip below 103-06.
  • 2/17
    Headline-Free, Data-Free, Bond Markets Sideways to Better in Low Volume
    At the risk of jinxing the calm, slightly positive trading in bond markets, it's another classic case of a Friday Afternoon fade-to-black. 10's and MBS put in their weakest levels of the domestic session right at the open and have trended very gently in a more positive direction ever since. We'd emphasize the "gentle" bit, as the trend is arguably more sideways than positive.

    It's as if bond markets--cursed by fate to weaken defensively ahead of the 3-day weekend and next week's events--go their day's work done early, and have simply punched out. Indeed, many shouts of "2.04" have been heard since bouncing higher from 1.90's yesterday. With that having been accomplished this morning, 10yr yields seem content to just sort of drift into the weekend, barring any headline surprises between now and the close. Yes, levels are improved from this morning--2.014 at the moment for 10's and 103-11 for MBS up from 103-04--but both sides of the market seem like they're being careful not to cross back over their respective pivot points before the close.

    For MBS, that pivot is 103-10+, and for 10's, 2.01. As long as we continue to operate between those pivots and the morning's weaker levels, nothing is really going on except low volume ebbing and flowing whilst waiting for more informative events in the week ahead. As always, low volume can distort price/yield movements, so we'd asset that the jury is in on the aforementioned trading levels unless we note a significant increase in volume between now and the close.
  • 2/17
    Bond Markets Search For Support After New ECB Headlines
    Bond markets are trying to find their footing this morning after yesterday's weakness extended through the overnight session. News that the ECB may go one step further than yesterday's bond-swap deal and actually allow Greek bonds to be written down in a similar fashion to the upcoming private sector haircuts prompted the move higher in yield this morning and lower in price . 10's approached 2.04 and Fannie 3.5 MBS 103-03 before bouncing a bit in recent moments.

    The markets's focus is clearly on Europe. This morning's Consumer Price Index data was a relative non-event, as expected, and is certainly not motivating any of the current price action. Volume is following European headlines and European trading. To wit, the first pop higher about an hour before the domestic open came on the announcement that Italy's PM Monti, Greece's PM Papademos, and Angela Merkel were optimistic about a solution being reached on Monday after a 3-way conference call earlier this morning. Admittedly, that's lackluster news. The more meaningful surge in volume came shortly thereafter on the ECB news, and caused another quick 3bps rise in 10yr yields.

    If the ECB allows Greek debt at central banks in EU states to be written down, it equates to another chunk of cash that can be considered when determining Greece's fate on Monday. It could help keep private sector haircuts in a more palatable range. In short, it just adds to the optimism that things can "get done" on Monday.

    Now... More than a few market participants are saying "fool me once...," ourselves included. But current developments still have to be respected.

    read the full article and the the charts here:
  • 2/17
    ECON: Consumer Price Index in Line With Expectations
    • RTRS- CPI +0.2 PCT (+0.2079; CONSENSUS +0.3 PCT), EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.2 PCT (+0.2183; CONS +0.2 PCT)
    • RTRS- CPI YEAR-OVER-YEAR +2.9 PCT (CONS +2.9 PCT), EXFOOD/ENERGY +2.3 PCT (CONS +2.2 PCT)
    • RTRS- UNADJUSTED CPI INDEX 226.665 (CONS 226.60) VS DEC 225.672
    • RTRS- CPI ENERGY +0.2 PCT, GASOLINE +0.9 PCT, NEW VEHICLES 0.0 PCT
    • RTRS- CPI FOOD +0.2 PCT, HOUSING +0.1 PCT, OWNERS' EQUIVALENT RENT OF PRIMARY RESIDENCE +0.2 PCT
    • RTRS- CORE CPI SEASONALLY ADJUSTED INDEX 227.684 VS DEC 227.188
    • RTRS- REAL EARNINGS ALL PRIVATE WORKERS 0.0 PCT (CONS +0.1 PCT) VS DEC +0.4 PCT (PREV +0.5 PCT)
    The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.9 percent before seasonal adjustment.

    The indexes for food, energy, and all items less food and energy all rose in January, each increasing 0.2 percent. Within the food group, the index for food away from home increased while the index for food at home was unchanged; within the energy group the gasoline index increased while the index for household energy declined.

    Within all items less food and energy, the apparel index rose sharply, and the indexes for shelter, recreation, medical care, and tobacco increased as well. The indexes for used cars and trucks and for airline fares both declined, while the new vehicles index was unchanged.

    The all items index has risen 2.9 percent over the last 12 months, a slight decrease from last month's 3.0 percent figure. The index for energy has risen 6.1 percent over the last year and the food index 4.4 percent; both figures are slight declines from last month. The index for all items less food and energy has risen 2.3 percent, its largest 12-month increase since September 2008.
  • 2/16
    Greece's Weekend Debt Swap Today's Big News
    There has been a lot of "noise" this week concerning various aspects of the Greek bailout, including a motley influx of headlines about an hour ago. The only market mover of the group is the news that the ECB is airlifting itself off the sinking ship, so to speak. Over the weekend, the ECB will swap out their Greek debt in exchange for similarly-termed debt minus the imminent guaranteed loss and implicit involvement in a private sector bond swap expected to follow Monday's approval of the bailout.

    Since the ECB bought these bonds at a discount, they'll have some cash left-over as the bonds are being swapped out at face value. That cash goes back to the various Euro zone states from whence it came. Although the party line is that EU states can do whatever they want with the cash, the tacit instruction from the ECB is "Hey you guys... Here's some cash for you to give to Greece." While simply "giving cash to Greece" may be a gross oversimplification, it's not an inaccurate one.

    The idea is that this will not only get the ECB out of dodge ahead of Private sector negotiations, but will also help lessen the haircut requirements that seem to have risen almost uncontrollably (from 50, to 60, and now 70 per cent).

    That's what's behind bond-market weakness in a nutshell, not the flowery talk of expected approvals of bailout packages. No one really cares what Euro zone officials THINK will happen with the bailout vote. This ECB swap news is something substantive that markets can sink their teeth into. So far those teeth have taken a bite out of MBS prices, along with Treasuries, but those losses seem to have found some support as markets realize that the news is more about "housekeeping" ahead of next week's events than it is some epic shift in the handling of Greece's bailout.
  • 2/16
    ECB Ready to Forego Greece Bond Profit
    (Reuters) - European Central Bank policymakers said they have no wish to book a profit on Greek sovereign bonds the ECB holds and gave a green light on Wednesday for euro zone member states to pass on the funds to Greece.

    Joerg Asmussen and Luc Coene both backed an idea floated by ECB President Mario Draghi last Thursday for the central bank to help Athens indirectly by relinquishing the bond profits - a move that could help Athens avoid a chaotic default.

    Discussion is underway about how the central bank could book those profits up front, to provide an early lump sum for Greece, rather than seeing funds dribble in over years as the bonds it holds mature.

    Asmussen told Reuters that while the ECB cannot contribute directly to a second Greek aid package, it would pass any profits from its sovereign bond purchases to central banks in euro zone states, which governments could then use for Greece.

    "If there should be a profit, we will pass it onto the national central banks, as foreseen by our statutes. Then the member states can decide to use this as a contribution to finance the Greek program," he said in an e-mail interview.
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  • Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.17%
MBS Prices:
  • 30YR FNMA 4.5 106-19 (0-05)
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.0 108-01 (0-03)
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  • 30YR FNMA 5.5 108-31 (0-02)
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