MBS Live: MBS RECAP
Open MBS Live Dashboard
FNMA 3.5
102-08 : +0-00
FNMA 4.0
104-16 : -0-01
FNMA 4.5
105-31 : -0-01
FNMA 5.0
107-20 : +0-02
GNMA 3.5
103-27 : -0-03
GNMA 4.0
106-24 : -0-05
GNMA 4.5
108-18 : -0-05
GNMA 5.0
110-11 : +0-02
FHLMC 3.5
102-03 : +0-00
FHLMC 4.0
104-11 : -0-01
FHLMC 4.5
105-17 : +0-00
FHLMC 5.0
107-02 : +0-02
Pricing as of 4:03 PM EST
Afternoon Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
3:09PM  :  ALERT: MBS Sideways and Choppy in Non-Existent Volume. Negative Reprices?
Two lenders repriced for the better on this morning's rally up to 102-16 and both have since repriced for the worse as MBS slid back down to 102-10, but that has largely been the trading level for the entire afternoon. Volume has been so low in both TSYs and MBS that it's almost a disservice to report prices at this point. The 3pm bond market close is in the rearview now and the initial disposition for the 3pm-5pm time frame seems to be benefiting bonds (albeit microscopically) instead of hurting them. Even as we write, Fannie 3.5's tick up to 102-11. Bottom line though: price action could be choppy, and if so, it's merely a factor of liquidity (or lack thereof). Reprices for the worse are not fundamentally justified in this environment, but some lenders might think so.
11:04AM  :  Treasuries, MBS Quickly Add Gains in Low Volume
Last week, all the highest hours of volume in 10yr futures contracts were near the 130-140k range. The best we've managed so far today is the current hour at just over 80k, and that stands a good chance of being the largest of the day.

Stock markets and the Euro aren't doing anything too crazy, yet 10yr yields have fallen from nearly 1.98 yesterday to 1.92. Why the divergence? Probably a combination of post-auction-cycle relief and the current Fed POMO buying in 10's. That buying ends now and selling could pick up if the Fed didn't pick up some inventory that was otherwise hoping to be sold before year end. So don't fret over a little pop higher in 10yr yields here if we get them. Very little of consequence is occurring today.
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Gaius Rossini  :  "we'll see if it includes a g-fee increase."
Gaius Rossini  :  "*U.S. LAWMAKERS SAID TO BE CLOSE TO DEAL ON PAYROLL TAX CUT"
MMNJ  :  "REPRICE: 1:38 PM - Provident Funding Worse"
Matthew Graham  :  "Cool link of the day and my hat's off to the state of MA for being cool like this: http://topmassachusettsdeals.com/modify-your-loan.html (make sure to click any link on the site)"
Michael Tadros  :  "REPRICE: 11:41 AM - Interbank Better"
Matthew Graham  :  "by far and away the biggest volume spike of the day. This is the final scene in the documentary on Bond Markets 2011. 10yr Fed buyback on what is essentially the last trading day of the year = good chance to sell. Some inventory left on shelves after POMO gets discounted in order to get the intended selling done before year end while there's still a modicum of liquidity left, so they get discounted in price (higher yield) to make the sale, and thus far, it looks like not much discounting was "
Matthew Graham  :  "and RTRS- DEALERS SUBMITTED $14.70 BLN OF TREASURIES FOR CONSIDERATION IN FED PURCHASE -NY FED"
Matthew Graham  :  "current spike = RTRS - FED BOUGHT $4.62 BILLION OF TREASURIES MATURING BETWEEN FEB 2020 AND NOV 2021 -NY FED "