MBS Live: MBS RECAP
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FNMA 3.5
102-15 : +0-01
FNMA 4.0
104-21 : +0-00
FNMA 4.5
106-04 : +0-00
FNMA 5.0
107-28 : -0-01
GNMA 3.5
104-07 : +0-01
GNMA 4.0
107-02 : -0-01
GNMA 4.5
108-31 : -0-01
GNMA 5.0
110-17 : +0-01
FHLMC 3.5
102-10 : +0-01
FHLMC 4.0
104-15 : -0-01
FHLMC 4.5
105-21 : +0-00
FHLMC 5.0
107-09 : -0-02
Pricing as of 4:01 PM EST
Afternoon Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
3:38PM  :  Fed MBS Buybacks for 12/8/11 - 12/14/11
Fannie 30yr 3.5's .... $1.65 bln
Fannie 30yr 4.0's .... $2.0 bln
Freddie 30yr 3.5's .... $0.95 bln
Freddie 30yr 4.0's .... $1.15 bln

The rest of the buying was limited to less than $500 mln in any other sector. Ginnie 4.0's got 450, 3.5's got 350. 15yr 3.0's got $650 mln between Fannie and Freddie and a scant $100 mln in 15yr 3.5's.
11:11AM  :  ALERT: Treasuries, MBS Approach Best Levels of the Morning
A slew of generally stronger-than-expected economic data has been shunned by stocks, commodities, Treasuries, and now MBS. The economic data was a "gift" of sorts, for a few reasons. First, the mere passing of the data means that effectively all of the week's significant data and economic events are in the rearview. Thus, money from the sidelines now sees the last of their barriers dropped without major arguments to buying in fixed-income. Secondly, the bullish tone of the data dropped prices enough at first to provide entry points for those sidelined buyers as well as anyone else who wanted to stock up some inventory for the Fed buyback (just happened, Fed bought $4.9 bln in the 6yr range out of 13.7 bln offered).

Beyond that, although bullish, none of the economic data was especially so. Combine that with ongoing awfulness in the Euro (1.30-ish!) and why not keep nibbling at 10's down to 1.89 at least?

Although we're concerned with the question of "where do we go from here if not back higher in yield?" things are good for now. With Fannie 3.5's up 3 ticks on the day at 102-17, we're back in the thick of yesterday's trading--a bit too early for most lenders to consider repricing, but the possibility is creeping onto the radar for the "early" and/or "algorithmically motivated" crowd. We'd lean toward a break of 102-19 as more convincing trigger for a small, first wave of reprices.
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Jeff Anderson  :  "Bryce, M&T does a full 203k. Can be tough on conditions, but after doing a few with them it's not too bad once you get used to them."
Matthew Graham  :  "771k 10yr contracts"
Matthew Graham  :  "after 12noon gus, might as well not even have been trading"
Bryce Schetselaar  :  "Does anyone know of a lender that will do a 203k? Not just a 203k streamline?"
Gus Floropoulos  :  "how low was volume today?"
Matthew Graham  :  "somewhat of a confirmation bounce outside the recent range for 10's, and with an uptick in volume... We'll be keeping an eye on that trendline if yields rise to see if there's any more technical behavior there: http://screencast.com/t/e3FdaFs0kK1K"