What Would Happen if the Fed Stopped Buying MBS?; Is Triad History?; Wells Snags a New SVP
The average person is curious about what their neighbor, or co-worker,
earns. And in this age of transparency, where nothing is private and there is a
camera monitoring most traffic intersections, compensation at Freddie and
Fannie is "an open kimono." Not only that, but the industry is
abuzz about how the FHFA's Ed DeMarco's days are numbered - who can concentrate in that kind of
environment? Here is a report on what various EVP, SVP, and director positions
earn in the agencies. (Given an
uncertain future or the recent high turnover, no jokes, please, about "LTI"
comp - long term incentives.)
Aging folks remember the Carpenter's song, "We've only just begun..."
Well, that might be appropriate for the Dodd Frank legislation, since we
will be dealing with its aftermath for the rest of our lives.
In Vienna, Virginia, VirPack, a premier provider of document
management and eDelivery solutions, is experiencing growth in all areas of its
business. VirPack is searching for both a national sales manager and a
client relationship manager. For nearly 15 years, VirPack (www.virpack.com)
has offered "industry leading, best in class document management and
eDelivery solutions" for retail, wholesale and correspondent lending
channels via its Enterprise Center platform, which delivers to virtually every
major investor. Its business is solely focused on paperless solutions for the
mortgage industry and all members of the VirPack team share in a passion for
paperless which translates to streamlined processes and increased revenue for
its clients. Ideally candidates will be from the area, but relocation packages
are available for strong personnel. If you are interested, or would like more
information, please contact Wayland Pond at wayland.pond@virpack .com - all inquiries
will be confidential.
One person that won't be applying will be Bob Ryan, who served as a top
housing adviser in the Obama administration and is now heading to a senior
mortgage-banking position at Wells Fargo. Mr. Ryan is currently a senior
advisor to Shaun Donovan, the secretary for Housing and Urban Development. He
joined HUD in 2009 as the first ever chief risk officer at the Federal Housing
Administration and served briefly last year as the agency's acting FHA
commissioner. He previously spent 26 years at Freddie Mac. He will become a
senior vice president within the capital markets group at Wells Fargo Home
Mortgage, where he will coordinate strategy with industry trade groups and
consult with policy makers on a range of housing-finance issues. More
Switching to underwriting, "Rob, someone told me that VA loans may
exceed the published county maximum provided that the sum of the down
payment/equity entitlement is at least 25% of the sales price or appraised
value. Is that true?" Well, I'd ask your underwriter, or the VA, but I
believe that the down payment requirement is 25% of the DIFFERENCE between
the VA county loan limits and the sales price - not 25% of the Sales Price or
AV. This makes down payment requirement much less than conventional
loan."
Yesterday the commentary had a link to a news story on reverse
mortgages, pointing out five flaws in the program. It was meant to show
what the public sees and reads. I did receive, however, several notes
commenting on the one-sidedness of the article, one coming from Neil S. who
wrote, "I enjoy your commentary a great deal and was disappointed to see that
you sent a link to possibly one of the worst and most incomplete articles on
reverse mortgages ever written giving many industry professionals the wrong
idea about a program that has helped thousands of seniors remain in their homes
for many years beyond what would have been possible without this option. I
would encourage you to read what a Wharton emeritus finance professor had to
say in response to a recent NY Times article slam piece and follow up with a
link to your readers."
Neil goes on, "In the article you referenced, the writer claims: 1. Fees
are often high. Not true, many low cost options available in today's
market. In some cases fees are lower than on comparable forward
mortgages, even true no cost options are available. 2. High Interest Rate
- Higher than what? Our Libor product is today 2.5% fully indexed rate
and provides a guaranteed line of credit that grows over time which cannot be
cancelled. Fixed rates are in the mid 4s. Would you consider this
is high for a loan with no specified term, no income or credit qualifications
and no monthly payment? 3. Heirs Might Not get the house - reverse is
non-recourse, your heirs are not responsible to pay off the debt beyond what
the house would sell for. Zero money comes out of the estate regardless
of how large it is. If you have a conventional loan and you die that
loan also must be paid back before the heirs get any net proceeds. You
can be upside down with any kind of loan can't you? 4. You have to repay
the loan when you move out - not exactly true, you don't have to 'start
repaying' the loan is the author indicates when you move out. In most
cases when the borrower moves out the house is sold. This is normally the
case anyway... How long do people normally hold on to vacant houses? If
you end up in a nursing home, they will require that the house be sold as
well... in this case the heirs also may not get the house. 5. You are
still responsible for home costs - Being responsible to upkeep your home is a
reason not to take a loan? Are there loans available where the lender
pays for upkeep? Who pays for upkeep if the house is free and clear and
is that a reason not to own a house?" thanks Neil!
Here's
a note on Reg. B and disparate treatment/impact - with all
the uncertainty out there about exams and violations, it is always good to see
what others are experiencing. "I am writing now to pass on a recent experience
my bank and my department had from our FDIC Compliance Exam, with special
regard to the Reg. B. violations & disparate/treatment impact. All in all
it was a good exam, but we were cited for violations of: '1002.4(a) of
Regulation B prohibits a creditor from discriminating against an applicant in
any aspect of a credit transaction on the basis of marital status.' [330106]. the
issue relates to joint applications that involves unmarried individuals.
A creditor cannot charge the unmarried applicants for any additional cost if 2
individual credit reports are ordered versus what the cost of a joint credit
report. The difference is about $14.00 with the credit vendor my
department uses. The FDIC doesn't care one way or the other if
individual credit reports are ordered by the creditor as long as the creditor
doesn't pass along a higher cost to the applicants. Neither I nor the
bank's compliance officer had ever heard of this interpretation. I have
mentioned this to others in the mortgage industry and its news to them as well.
After I did a scrub on applications for the last 3+ years, I found a handful of
impacted files. I am mailing out refund checks this afternoon."
Farewell Triad? The mortgage insurances ranks may be losing
another.
The Fed caught the market's attention yesterday, although much of what it
announced was expected - and we are reminded that one branch of the
government is issuing securities while another branch is buying them. What's
wrong with this picture? The Federal Reserve said it will buy $45 billion a
month of Treasury securities starting in January, expanding its asset-purchase
program, and it linked the outlook for its main interest rate to unemployment
and inflation. "The committee remains concerned that, without sufficient policy
accommodation, economic growth might not be strong enough to generate sustained
improvement in labor-market conditions," the Federal Open Market Committee said
today at the conclusion of a two-day meeting in Washington. The Fed said
interest rates will stay low "at least as long" as the unemployment rate
remains above 6.5 percent and if inflation "between one and two years ahead" is
projected to be no more than 2.5 percent. The buying announced today will be
in addition to $40 billion a month of mortgage-debt purchases (don't forget
that the $40 billion is over and above prepay reinvestments). The latest
move will follow the expiration at the end of this year of Operation Twist, in
which the central bank each month has swapped about $45 billion in short-term
Treasuries for an equal amount of long-term debt. That program kept the total
size of the balance sheet unchanged, while the new purchases will expand the
Fed's holdings.
"Success consists of going from failure to failure without loss of
enthusiasm." And say what you want about government intervention in the
mortgage business, the Fed's purchasing twice the average daily production of
agency product is helping keep agency rates low, and therefore a success. But
many cannot not pay attention to the
man behind the curtain: "In many areas housing is mostly improving based
on the Fed purchasing Freddie and Fannie (and some Ginnie) MBS. What happens
when it stops?" And the Fed threw out a question to the banks recently
asking why mortgage rates haven't fallen as fast as The Fed has forced them
down.
Those are two separate questions. When the Fed stops buying securities,
the laws of supply and demand dictate that prices will drop and rates will
go up - plain and simple. Experts think that Freddie and Fannie rates would
go up at least as high as jumbo loans - probably more since many believe that the
risk on agency product is higher than some of the creampuff jumbo loans being
securitized. And rate sheet rates have not fallen as fast as MBS rates
because lenders are padding the prices, pushing margins higher, because they
don't have to lower rates to be swamped with business, because they need to
cover the higher costs of originating a loan, because investors and agencies
have higher net worth requirements, and they are putting aside money for future
liabilities. One never knows when the next class action lawsuit will come
your way! Agency MBS prices didn't like the news much, and a good portion of
rate sheets yesterday worsened. Don't ask me why - the Fed is still buying
about $4 billion a day!
The numbers are in for today, although we still have a 30-yr auction later. The
Producer Price Index for November was -.8%, November Retail Sales were +.3%, and
Initial Jobless Claims came in at 343k, a big drop from the revised 372k. The
result of these decent numbers was to nudge rates higher: the 10-yr is up to
1.71%, and MBS prices are worse .125-.250, depending on coupon.
A couple was Christmas shopping at the mall on Christmas Eve and the mall was
packed. As the wife walked through the mall she was surprised to look up and
see her husband was nowhere around. She was quite upset because they had a lot
to do.
Because she was so worried, she called him on her mobile phone to ask him where
he was.
In a calm voice, the husband said, "Honey, you remember the jewelry store
we went into about 5 years ago where you fell in love with that diamond
necklace that we could not afford and I told you that I would get it for you
one day?"
The wife choked up and started to cry and said, "Yes, I remember that
jewelry store."
He said, "Well, I'm in the bar right next to it."