The stock lever is VERY well-connected recently.  That means, at any given moment, if equities are moving higher, bond yields tend to be doing the same (and vice versa).  Each side has taken its turn as the lead dog at times, but certainly, it's bonds that are more keen to follow when stocks are on the precipice of a major technical cliff.

The cliff in question rests on the recent lows for equities markets.  Using the S&P as an example, today's losses bring it back in line with the late August lows seen during the China-inspired selling spree.  A significant break below that would be the most negative move stocks have made since the Financial Crisis. 

That's the sort of thing that bond markets don't want to "miss out" on.  By that, I mean that bonds know they'll be soaking up at least some of the cash that results from such a widespread liquidation in equities.   As such, it's not surprise to find bond yields at their lowest levels since late August as stocks stand on the edge of their own late August lows. 

Refreshingly, bonds have been more resilient than they need to be.  Even as stocks have put in a "higher low" between their 10am and 1pm bounces, bond yields have clearly made a "lower low" over the same time.  An absence of corporate debt issuance and an influx of pension fund buying (it's that time of year/month) are helping.  Overseas buying is also said to be helping as it's the end of Japan's fiscal half-year.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-08 : +0-09
FNMA 3.5
104-08 : +0-07
FNMA 4.0
106-20 : +0-05
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6490 : -0.0230
10 YR
2.0600 : -0.0380
30 YR
2.8550 : -0.0210
Pricing as of 9/29/15 1:36PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
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10:06AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Once Again, NYSE Open Juices Bond Rally

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Mike Anderson  :  "Would be nice if they'd tell us where things have tightened in AU instead of making us figure it out the hard way."
Kevin Danforth  :  "Last few years FHA has been trying to find ways to funnel more business back to the agencies or private money. I fear the new handbook is just the start of a longer term trend to further reduce their market share "
Sung Kim  :  "source of funds for DP is now an explicit field that must be entered correctly"
Ted Rood  :  "wouldn't doubt that gift of equity is a risk factor, as are non-arms length transactions in general"
Mike Anderson  :  "I have one deal that went from approve/eligible to refer based on change of source of down from "gift" to "gift of equity". Had to throw two months reserves at it to get the approval back. "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US JOBS HARD-TO-GET INDEX 24.3 IN SEPT VS AUG REVISED 21.7 (PREVIOUS 21.9) - CONFERENCE BOARD"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- US SEPTEMBER CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX 103.0 (CONSENSUS 96.1) VS AUGUST REVISED 101.3 (PREVIOUS 101.5) - CONFERENCE BOARD"
Jeff Anderson  :  "Underestimating risks related to emerging market corp debt. Sounds like good times are on the way."
Matthew Graham  :  "Just another way to tell the Fed that a rate hike dooms us all "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- IMF-MONITORING OF VULNERABLE AND SYSTEMICALLY IMPORTANT EMERGING MARKET FIRMS CRUCIAL"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- IMF-AS ADVANCED ECONOMIES NORMALISE MONETARY POLICIES, EMERGING MKTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR RISE IN CORPORATE FAILURES"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- IMF-MARKETS MAY HAVE BEEN UNDERESTIMATING RISKS RELATED TO EMERGING MARKET CORPORATE DEBT"
Christopher Stevens  :  "As far as the aggregate goes we always disclose 12 months taxes and homeowners insurance. We do not breakdown the aggregate on the GFE/LE. That will be done on the CD"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - US JULY 20-METRO AREA HOME PRICES +5.0 PCT (CONSENSUS 5.1 PCT) FROM YEAR AGO VS +5.0 PCT IN JUNE -- S&P/CASE-SHILLER"
Matt Hodges  :  "Our discussion about why the new LE fails (but the CD does account) to account for the Aggregate Adjustment is detailed here. I'm not satisfied by the CFPB's reasoning, but read it here. http://www.consumerfinance.gov/eregulations/sxs/1026-37-g-3/2013-28210?from_version=2015-01321"