Bond markets started the overnight session in better shape, already bouncing back from yesterday's weak closing levels.  Data in China and Japan helped the healing continue for bonds as global equities markets sank.  The Nikkei was particularly hard hit, though S&P futures were considerably lower as well. 

In fact, in light of the weakness in equities markets, the bond gains are not all that impressive.  The combination speaks to an overall marketplace that is doing more to price in a potential Fed rate hike in September (bad for stocks and bonds, but the latter have done more to price it in).

Traders began selling bonds and buying stocks heading into the 930am NYSE open.  After a modest move higher in yield, bonds were still in positive territory when the ISM Manufacturing data arrived.  It wasn't far enough from consensus to move markets significantly, but at 51.1 vs 52.6 forecast, at least it was friendly.

With that, MBS and Treasuries both moved away from what have been their weakest levels of the day.  They certainly haven't done anything impressive in terms of bouncing back though.  In fact, the range has been consolidating ever since, with 10yr yields trading closer and closer to 2.18.  The analogous level for Fannie 3.5 MBS has been 103-24.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-20 : +0-08
FNMA 3.5
103-26 : +0-08
FNMA 4.0
106-11 : +0-05
Treasuries
2 YR
0.7200 : -0.0190
10 YR
2.1740 : -0.0400
30 YR
2.9340 : -0.0263
Pricing as of 9/1/15 12:06PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:44AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Unfortunately, There is Already a Modest Amount of Reprice Risk
8:59AM  :  More on Overnight Weakness In Asia (It Wasn't Just China...)

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING EMPLOYMENT INDEX 51.2 IN AUG (CONSENSUS 55.0) VS 52.7 IN JULY"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING NEW ORDERS INDEX 51.7 IN AUG VS 56.5 IN JULY"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING PRICES PAID INDEX 39.0 IN AUG (CONSENSUS 42.5) VS 44.0 IN JUL"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- ISM U.S. MANUFACTURING ACTIVITY INDEX 51.1 IN AUGUST (CONSENSUS 52.6) VS 52.7 IN JULY"
Andrew Horowitz  :  "bond market waiting on the sidelines for data, need confirmation of the move, 1st piece coming out very soon"
Victor Burek  :  "that sure isn't helping"
Sung Kim  :  "so it's not because of China dumping tsy and bunds?"
John Tassios  :  "Big tug of war Sung in TSY's . risk off stock market correction vs.possibility of FED hike in 2015. Bond mkt trying to figure out which one will win out. "
Sung Kim  :  "stock lever non-existent"
John Tassios  :  "Stove MH, and appraiser must mention utilities are functional"
Matt Hodges  :  "Conventional purchase - what appliances must the kitchen have? Stove?"