It'll be hard to miss today's news as it related to equities markets.  Even the non-financial news will be talking about today's 588 point drop in the Dow (3.57%) or 77.68 (3.94%) drop in the much more relevant S&P.  Even these pale in comparison to things like the Shanghai stock index, which fell 9.35%.  As such, it's no surprise that most talking heads continue to chalk recent market volatility up to China.

To be sure, the drama is global though.  Europe, especially Germany, is an even closer trading partner with China.  Germany's stock exchange was down 4.7% today, after bouncing back from losses of more than twice as deep. 

And that's the story of the day: the bounce.  When the sell-off began, market participants couldn't yet be sure if it was going to spiral into something even worse.  That fear is out there, and has been a relatively constant concern since China unveiled their surprise currency devaluation scheme.  Even then, the generally lackluster growth around the world (in spite of multiple versions of QE and various forms of easy policy) is its own cause for concern. 

Tensions are high over the prospects of such a rout.  When it looks like it might be happening, domestic bond markets move into the necessary position, whatever that may look like at the time.  in October 2014, it looked like a 10yr yield briefly around 1.90.  Today, it looked like a 10yr yield briefly around 1.90.  Hmmmm.

Once stocks had sold enough to find buyers, bonds moved back out of the fire drill position.  In fact, they moved right back to their previous trends, both in Treasuries and MBS.

2015-8-24 dashboard


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-09 : +0-06
FNMA 3.5
104-07 : +0-04
FNMA 4.0
106-18 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.5800 : -0.0410
10 YR
2.0120 : -0.0332
30 YR
2.7330 : -0.0031
Pricing as of 8/24/15 5:34PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
11:40AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Negative Reprices Increasingly Likely
10:11AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Believe it or Not: There is Already Negative Reprice Risk
9:36AM  :  Risk Falls In To a Burning Ring of Fire

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Hugh W. Page  :  "I still think we'll get a hike before the end of the year. But, the subsequent pace of any hikes after that will be very slow and measured and we probably won't see principal re-investments curtailed in any way until even 2017 possibly. "
Compliance is Watching Me  :  "if he was in for at least 6 years, you are good to go. If not, you will have to go to the National Archives to request a copy of the DD-214"
Compliance is Watching Me  :  "GM, you can send in the DD-256A to VA to verify eligibility. It just means he was in the reserves"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- BARCLAYS NOW SEES U.S. FED RAISING INTEREST RATES IN MARCH 2016 FROM SEPT 2015 ON RECENT FINANCIAL MARKET VOLATILITY"
Guy McAtee  :  "Anyone know how a Reserve member from the 60's can get a DD214? All he has is DD256A. It seems he may not be eligible for VA financing?"
Jeff Anderson  :  "On the 5 day chart if you look at the trend from 8/19 it looks like we held right where we should at 2.0355ish, if we're looking for a bright side."