Some magical combination of new QE tradeflows and Greek drama (surprisingly enough) has driven German Bund yields well into new all-time lows today.  In one school of thought, this is exactly what we've been waiting for in terms of domestic bond markets as it finally marks a decisive move out of the narrow range established in February.

In other words, a potential long-term bounce in European bond yields is/was one of the things potentially causing anxiety for US bond markets recently.  Today's rally eliminates that big bounce potential, or at least resets the clock on "days spent without making a new low."  (The more those days rack up, the more anxiety can build.)  As such, US 10yr yields have continued backing down from their run at recent highs, and MBS have similarly retraced a majority of last week's losses.

There are two key factors behind the European move.  Most obvious is the fact that new QE purchases have been going better than markets anticipated, with the ECB readily buying even the bonds with negative yields (assuming they aren't under -0.2).  The other factor is a flare-up in Greek drama, with the Finance Minister saying Germany should have known Greece would never pay back its debt, and the Defense Minister threatening Western Europe with immigration and 'jihadists.' 


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-08 : +0-11
FNMA 3.5
104-13 : +0-08
FNMA 4.0
106-19 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.6920 : -0.0040
10 YR
2.1385 : -0.0535
30 YR
2.7350 : -0.0610
Pricing as of 3/10/15 12:51PMEST

Morning Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
9:46AM  :  Europe Finally Doing What's Needed to 'Save' US Bond Markets

Live Chat Featured Comments
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Gus Floropoulos  :  "MBS Live is a must for mortgage professionals."
Jason Anker  :  "I just started using on my ipad, A+"
Jason Harris  :  "This service is heads and shoulders above comp MG....just felt like saying....the mobile functionality is the bomb"
Matthew Graham  :  "or that the Defense Minister threatened Germany with immigration and jihadists "
Matthew Graham  :  "Germany may be more mad that Varoufakis said they should have known Greece wouldn't repay its debt"
Victor Burek  :  "Germany made Greece mad calling the Troika the Troika instead of the institutions"
Matthew Graham  :  "some really entertaining stuff overnight"
Matthew Graham  :  "Greek drama too perhaps"
Gus Floropoulos  :  "any specific reason or tied to QE"
John Tassios  :  "wow, bund is dropping like a rock. It will go negative. ECB QE wil buy longer ended Bunds since shorter dated are negative already. "
Matthew Graham  :  "new all time low in Bunds. .262"
John Tassios  :  "Euro 1.07 vs $$"