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MBS MID-DAY: Negative Reprices in the AM: Breakfast of Champions

The Day Ahead: Do or Die Time for MBS

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MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Green, MBS Red

The Day Ahead: MBS in Full Melt-Down Mode. What Next?

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Government Furlough Days; H.R. 1077's Impact on QM And 3...

Mortgage Rates Carried Higher Still By Yesterday's Momentum

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DU REFI PLUS - No Media Coverage

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by AQ on March 06 2009, 1:38 PM

You can download the full 'DU Refi Plus' document in pdf format here . If you would like to link to this document, please link to http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/du-refi-plus.pdf DU Refi Plus TM BORROWERS YOU DO NOT HAVE TO GO TO YOUR SERVICER...
HR 3044: To Impose 18-month Moratorium on HVCC (!!!!!!!!)

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by AQ on June 26 2009, 11:05 PM

H.R. 3044 : To impose an 18-month moratorium on the Home Valuation Code of Conduct ...from NAMB McLean, VA - June 26, 2009 - Last night, Representatives Childers (D-MS) and Miller (R-CA) introduced legislation calling for an 18 month moratorium on the...
MBS SUPER MEGA ALERT: End Of The World As We Know It?

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by Matthew Graham on May 27 2009, 1:54 PM

Off A Cliff... Worse Reprices Of The Year On The Way... PRICES Ever been to a public pool when someone notices something floating in the water that shouldn't be? Basically, Bill Gross dropped one of the aforementioned last week with AAA credit concerns...
MND Special Report on MBS "Black Wednesday:" Among The Worst Day Of Losses.... Ever....

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by Matthew Graham on May 27 2009, 6:31 PM

Damage Report 5/27/09 The dust is finally settling and ashes finally floating away, at least for today. We are left with one of the most grotesque images to come out of the MBS marketplace in years: the visual representation of the deservedly named "Black...
MBS BREAKING NEWS: Full Text Of Press Release and Q and A from the Fed

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by Matthew Graham on December 30 2008, 4:35 PM

Press Release Release Date: December 30, 2008 For immediate release The Federal Reserve on Tuesday announced that it expects to begin operations in early January under the previously announced program to purchase mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and that...
MBS OP-ED: MAKING SENSE OF THIS MESS

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by AQ on February 05 2009, 12:55 PM

All expected positives we've promoted aside, which includes the most recent conviction regarding the "it that shall not be named". It is time to put everything in perspective. Before moving forward we recommend reading the precursors to this post. First...
Rationalizing the Spike in Mortgage Rates with No Rationality At All

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by AQ on December 15 2010, 5:04 PM

Lots of explanations out there. Not much of a consensus on the actual cause of this mess though. Everybody seems to be grinding a different axe or taking another angle....
Bond Market Officially Repeats History. Reality Restored

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by AQ on August 03 2011, 3:51 PM

We've been waiting for this moment for almost 9 months. It has finally come. Beware, there's gonna be some "horn tootin" in this commentary... From: Bond Market Repeating History. False Start Fuels Rally Here we are again. History seems to be repeating...
MBS MORNING: Explaining Yield Spreads and the Curve

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by AQ on November 05 2009, 12:26 PM

When the yield curve steepens, it implies interest rates will be higher in the future. If interest rates are expected to increase in the next 10 years, then the borrowers who are refinancing at current market interest rates will be less likely to refinance...
FOMC STATEMENT: $600 Billion QE Program

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by AQ on November 03 2010, 2:17 PM

To promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to expand its holdings of securities. The Committee will maintain its existing policy of...
Buy the Rumor Sell the News. Bond Market Resets. Pain Trade Plays Out

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by AQ on November 12 2010, 6:09 PM

There were moments of hope, but for the most part we watched helplessly as the market moved in the wrong direction. And today. Ugh. Today was the icing on the cake. It was absolutely abysmal!!! But believe it or not, what happened today in the bond market...
Preparing for the Fed's Exit from the Mortgage Market: Yield Spreads

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by AQ on March 31 2010, 1:38 PM

Mortgage market participants must now face the reality of a life without the supportive, flow balancing, volatility calming bid of the Federal Reserve. It's time to ensure everyone's knowledge base is adequately prepared to explain some of the...
MBS Test Outer Limits of Range. Reprices for Worse Possible

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by AQ on November 12 2010, 12:39 PM

Not much green on my trading screens today, unless you look at yields and volatility, those are up! Otherwise the only other thing rallying is a herd of angry fence sitters who've been patiently waiting for QEII to kick in and mortgage rates to rally...
Brighter Outlooks or Year End Volatility? Watching the Bond Market Repeat History

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by AQ on December 07 2010, 6:19 PM

The economic environment has provided plenty of compelling talking points for us to argue either angle (bullish or bearish), but year-end is not the time to be making a case for either camp. It is not a time to be reallocating strategic investments. Year...
MBS CLOSE: Perspective

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by Matthew Graham on June 08 2009, 5:41 PM

The day was not good as can be seen in the chart of the intraday price movements: This was good for a 26 tick loss in 4.5's bringing the price to 97-14. Keep in mind though that negative convexity severely saps these lower coupons, so 5.0's performed...

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