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From MBS Commentary
MBS RECAP: Bonds Tank in PM Trading After Oracle Goes Big
MBS Day Ahead: Stock/Bond Divergence: Is Someone Lying?
MBS RECAP: Bonds Hold Very Much Inside Yesterday's Range
MBS Day Ahead: Identifying Normal Pull-Back vs an Actual Reversal...
MBS RECAP: Best Kind of Day for Bonds: Steady and Much Stronger
Other Top Headlines
Freddie's Mortgage Market Indicator Inches Toward Stability
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New Products; Free Training; FHLBs Enlist in MPF for Ginnies
Refi Demand Won't Reflect Rate Drop Until Next Week
Cash-Outs Not Yet "Worrisome"
High flying home prices
Santelli: The UK elixir
May pending home sales...
Boomers' Big Impact on Housing; Pending Sales Ebb; Rates Hold 3-Year Lows, But...
You're right, MG, this is a big deal. Maybe not fall of 2008...
Now that qualified buyers are actually qualified buyers and fraud...
There are always bubbles but predicting them is no easy feat...
Nice posted AQ. Very informative!
Really, how many loan officers pull credit and run a scenario...
Yeah, or folks were trading on the block sales of Eurodollar...
Actually, the TNX spiked in overseas markets and on the opening...
Mortgage rates seem to be tracking about an 18-day moving average...
Have MLO license interpretations for prior felonies been challenged /re-defined less...
Do we qualify this year
How do I find the historical data for prices on Agency MBS?
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MBS Day Ahead: "The Breakout," Day 2
on June 10 2016, 9:18 AM
10yr yields officially closed below 2016's range boundary yesterday Today beginning in even stronger territory Looking at other markets, this only stands to reason As long as you're not looking at stocks Bond markets are high on life, and life...
MBS RECAP: Treasuries Outperform as Bonds Hold Impressive Ground
on June 09 2016, 5:28 PM
MBS ended 1 tick lower, but apart from yesterday, it tied the best closing levels in more than a year 10yr yields ended at 1.682, 2.2bps lower European yields hit new all-time lows Overseas accounts helped early and bonds faded from there No major impact...
MBS Day Ahead: What a Difference a Day Makes
on June 09 2016, 9:28 AM
European bond buying failed to provide a big boost yesterday Bonds instead getting a boost today, right out of the gate, but not exclusively from Europe The fact that it's happening even before the end of the auction cycle suggests positive underlying...
MBS RECAP: Best Levels in 2 Months, But Little Fanfare
on June 08 2016, 5:12 PM
10yr yields hit 1.697 today, matching last Friday's best levels--the lowest since April 7th Less than 2bps of movement all day though! Fannie 3.0s rose an eighth to 102-31 European corporate bond buying did nothing much 10yr auction was well-received...
MBS Day Ahead: Europe's Corporate Bond Program Echoes 2015's QE Roll-Out
on June 08 2016, 8:40 AM
The last time the European Central Bank officially embarked on a big bond buying campaign, we were a few months into 2015 and US rates had already bottomed out for the year. Bond traders are well acquainted with "buying the rumor" and "selling...
MBS RECAP: All Time Lows in European Rates; Token Gains in The US
on June 07 2016, 5:25 PM
10yr German Bunds hit 0.048 today Tomorrow marks inception of Europe's corporate bond buying program US bond markets rallied during European hours Tomorrow is anyone's game Bond markets were flat to start the overnight session. Even European bonds...
MBS Day Ahead: Revisiting Longer Term Trends as We Wait For Next Move
on June 07 2016, 9:42 AM
Bonds have maintained long-term consolidation trend almost all year We have yet to see a meaningful attempt to break out But such an attempt must come within next 2 months--probably sooner When it does, it's no guarantee of the eventual direction...
MBS RECAP: Limited Movement; Absent Conviction
on June 06 2016, 5:17 PM
Bonds slightly weaker for no overt reasons Yellen speech hotly anticipated and quickly overlooked Taken together with Friday's gains, today meant nothing The best way to think about today is that it left bond markets where they probably would have...
MBS Week Ahead: Light Data Ahead of Fed Week; Yellen's Chance to Address Jobs Report
on June 06 2016, 9:36 AM
Very light economic calendar this week Fed Announcement next week Yellen speaks later today (jobs data will invariably come up) bond yields already near range boundary, but this time with momentum only just beginning to turn There are two measures of...
MBS RECAP: Jobs Report Matters After All!
on June 03 2016, 4:35 PM
Jobs reports generally don't move markets any more But they do when they're this far from the forecast NFP came in at 38k vs 164k This adds to confirmation that Fed cannot hike in June Rates adjust accordingly Let's recap the last several...
MBS Day Ahead: NFP Doesn't Matter in The Bigger Picture
on June 03 2016, 8:17 AM
Strong, stable payroll growth is old news. Yet another NFP reading north of 150k or another 5%-ish unemployment reading are just a few more bricks in fairly meaningless wall . After all, that wall has failed to produce meaningful inflation in the same...
MBS RECAP: Strong Morning and Flat Afternoon; Thanks Europe?
on June 02 2016, 4:30 PM
Bonds rallied on rate-friendly press conference from European Central Bank Gains subsided as Europe closed Bounce in oil and stocks may have contributed Bonds pushing stronger side of recent mini-range There's the big-picture range of 2016 (the consolidative...
MBS Day Ahead: Potential Momentum Shift Requires Confirmation
on June 02 2016, 8:19 AM
ADP data rescheduled for today ECB Press Conference on tap Not much else by way of data Slow trickle of gains makes for potential momentum shift But we'd need to make more gains after NFP tomorrow to confirm It's no mystery that we've been...
MBS RECAP: Strong Start, Weak Finish
on June 01 2016, 4:44 PM
Bond markets stronger overnight New 2-week lows in 10yr yields, but weaker bounce after ISM Biggest issue with ISM was Prices Paid (63.5 vs 59.8), but headline didn't help either (51.3 vs 50.4) 10yr yields were as low as 1.804 this morning as traders...
MBS Day Ahead: More of the Same For Bonds, But For How Long?
on June 01 2016, 8:20 AM
Yesterday was tense at moments, with several attempts made to break the range Not only did the range hold, but we quickly moved back to the other side On one hand, that's encouraging. On another, it means bonds have yet to commit As Wednesday begins...
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New Products; Free Training; FHLBs Enlist in MPF for...
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MBS Day Ahead: Stock/Bond Divergence: Is Someone Lying...
<insert something about "Brexit" and "Uncertainty" here> <insert a few random bullet points about stuff that doesn't matter...
Refi Demand Won't Reflect Rate Drop Until Next...
Mortgage application activity was down across the board during the week ended June 24. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports that its Market Composite...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Hold Very Much Inside Yesterday's...
Bond markets grudgingly gave up some gains, but only relative to previous close Relative to yesterday's average trading levels, today was flat No impact...
Cash-Outs Not Yet "Worrisome"
Freddie Mac says that the trend toward increasing levels of cash out refinancing paused during the first quarter of 2016. The share of refinancing in which...
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage Rates Lower Despite Bond Market Weakness
Mortgage rates fell modestly today despite some weakness in underlying bond markets. Typically, when bond yields (which move inversely with bond prices...
Home Prices Climb as Brexit, Fall Elections Loom
Both S&P/Case-Shiller and Black Knight Financial Services report that home prices continued to rise in April. Their numbers, while covering different...
Investor Disaster and Appraisal Updates; Do Election...
How could it have been 30 years since everyone was watching “Top Gun” in the theaters? Yes, time flies, and before you know it, well, you’re...
MBS Day Ahead: Identifying Normal Pull-Back vs an Actual...
Bond rallies don't last forever 2 ways for rates to move higher: temporary, nominal corrections, and full-scale reversals Here's one easy way to...
MBS RECAP: Best Kind of Day for Bonds: Steady and Much...
Brexit fallout continues. That's really all we got Fortunately, that's a huge positive for bond markets 10yr yields dropped more than 10bps Fannie...
Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage Rates Continue to New 3-Year Lows
Mortgage rates move lower again today following last week's Brexit headlines (the U.K.'s vote to leave the European Union). Indeed it's hard to turn on...
Could Homeownership Be Headed For 50 Percent?
Will the homeownership rate fall below 50 percent? Not a question most housing industry stakeholders want to think about, but some analysts are speculating...
Ginnie Issuance Passes Freddie; TILA Dollar Amounts;...
Everyone is talking about the future of the European Union. Tad Dahlke sends, “Brexit to be followed by Grexit, Departugal, Italeave, Fruckoff, Czechout...
MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Asserting Claim to Last Week's...
Oftentimes, a massive surge to long-term lows is met with a quick snap back to the safety of the previous range. So far, the current massive surge is not...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Keep Reasonable Amount of Brexit Mega...
10yr yields were as low as 1.406 overnight, but moved up to the mid 1.5's by the close MBS were up nearly 7/8ths of a point at their best, but will...
Mortgage Rate Watch
Single Best Day For Mortgage Rates in More Than a Year
Mortgage rates plummeted today following the surprise victory of the referendum for the U.K. leaving the European Union (aka "Brexit"). This joins the...
CFPB Targets Servicer Technology in Updated Exam Procedures
After two years of supervision and examinations of mortgage servicers by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) the agency has criticized the...
NY Servicers Dealt Blow; Ocwen's $30 Million Settlement;...
At Happy Hour tonight, besides talking about refis, you can throw this one out: the number of homes worth $1 million has doubled in the last 4 years ....
MBS Day Ahead: Brave New World, Part 2: Brexit Milestone...
For a variety of reasons and for more than a year, the MBS Live community and I have periodically revisited the general topic of a "brave new world." This...
BRRRREXIT!! Rates Plummet Toward All-Time Lows
FOLLOW THE LATEST BREXIT UPDATES on MBS LIVE with FREE TRIAL CODE: BREXIT So what are we seeing? At this point, most major media outlets are "calling it...
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30 Yr FRM 3.43%
15 Yr FRM 2.76%
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.51%
30YR FNMA 4.5 109-03
30YR FNMA 5.0 111-01
30YR FNMA 5.5 112-11
Recent Housing Data:
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