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MBS RECAP: Technically an Early Close, but Buyers Never Showed...

MBS MID-DAY: Negative Reprices in the AM: Breakfast of Champions

The Day Ahead: Do or Die Time for MBS

MBS RECAP: Attempting To Consolidate After Wednesday's Sell...

MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Green, MBS Red

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MBS RECAP: Boldly Going Right Back Where We Came From

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May 10 2013, 4:09 PM

1.90 technical level in 10yr yields offered no supportive ceiling and we're right through to 1.92's now. Fannie 2.0s are now down as much as they were on NFP day-- 21 ticks lower ON TOP OF the roll, making for a full point drop to 103-01. Simply...
MBS MID-DAY: Massive Sell-Off Shaves Half a Point From MBS

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2013, 12:49 PM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Sorry to be getting the recap out to you later than normal, but updates and alerts for the MBS Live community are first and foremost, and on days like today, there were a lot to do (some are in the list below, and...
The Day Ahead: Entering The Danger Zone

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2013, 7:41 AM

At the risk of disappointing some the audience, let's skip the Top Gun shtick and focus on the danger zone that bond markets have been approaching this week. First of all--and as is frequently the case, despite this being "MBS" commentary--all three charts...
MBS RECAP: A Lot Less Dramatic Than It Looked

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May 09 2013, 4:09 PM

Trading is largely "done" for the day in the MBS world with the last few ticks of downside acting as sort of a quick epilogue to the 3pm close. But even if prices remain here, some lenders may reprice negatively. Fannie 3.0s are at their lows...
MBS MID-DAY: Stronger to Start, Weaker After Claims; Waiting For Auction

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May 09 2013, 11:09 AM

MCLEAN, VA--(Marketwired - May 9, 2013) - Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey(R) (PMMS®), showing average fixed mortgage rates reversing their recent trend and moving higher for the first time in...
The Day Ahead: First and Only Meaningful Econ Data this Week, Auctions Conclude, MBS Roll

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by Matthew Graham on May 09 2013, 7:46 AM

For the first time this week , we'll get economic data in the morning that actually stands a chance to move markets. In fact, the only 2 reports of the week (strictly speaking about "scheduled economic data") that even stand a chance of mattering are...
MBS RECAP: Stronger Into Auction, Weaker Out

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May 08 2013, 4:09 PM

Treasuries are backing up from their 12:30pm low yield levels with the 1pm auction being the major catalyst. We wouldn't characterize the movement as anything more than "incidental" as Treasuries are already past their official close for the day at 3pm...
MBS MID-DAY: Healthy Improvements Leveling Off Ahead of Auction

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2013, 11:58 AM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Take note of the timestamp in the table below as things have changed somewhat from 11:09am EST. Bond markets put in good gains at the outset this morning after weakening somewhat overnight. Looking at the whole week...
The Day Ahead: Waiting for the Next Line to be Delivered

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2013, 6:37 AM

If bond market trading were a movie script , we're at that point just after "the girl" yells at "the guy." In the romantic comedies with the happy endings, this would be the "darkest before the dawn" moment--perhaps cutting away to a montage of "the guy...
MBS RECAP: Super Flat, Super Flat, It's Super Flatness

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May 07 2013, 4:59 PM

MBS Live : MBS Afternoon Market Summary You may have to imagine the title of today's MBS RECAP set to the tune of "Super Freak." Indeed, the trading day was freakishly flat as far as MBS were concerned with Fannie 3.0s holding inside a record-tying 2...
MBS MID-DAY: Similar Start, More Contained Despite Extra Data

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May 07 2013, 11:06 AM

With Japan and the UK back in the office after yesterday's holiday absences, overnight volume was healthier. The Asian hours were moderately constructive for Treasuries, with yields dropping as low as 1.747. Incidentally, there were numerous bounces...
The Day Ahead: Data Slightly Less Absent; Auction Cycle Begins

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by Matthew Graham on May 07 2013, 7:37 AM

Monday stood a chance to be eventful, if for no other reason than it was the first day back after Friday's mega NFP sell-off. It turned out to be extra calm , but still managed to offer clues about what might be going on . Such clues could continue to...
MBS RECAP: Weaker Into Afternoon, But Close To Friday's Levels

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May 06 2013, 4:06 PM

"Overall, only small numbers of domestic respondents reported changes in either standards or demand for any type of residential real estate lending during the previous three months, with the exception of a significant net fraction of banks that indicated...
MBS MID-DAY: Ongoing Grind Near Friday's Lows

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May 06 2013, 11:06 AM

When sell-offs like Friday's happen--the kind that are big enough in terms of movement and volume to cause concerns about a broader shift--it can have negative implications for MBS. This has to do with the underlying rate environment running an increased...
The Week Ahead: Friday's Sell-Off was Intense. Now What?

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by Matthew Graham on May 06 2013, 7:21 AM

Apart from a round of Treasury auctions , the week ahead is exceptionally silent, with Thursday's initial Jobless Claims data being the only quasi-significant piece of domestic economic data. That's not to say that nothing will happen in terms of trading...

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