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MBS RECAP: Bonds Extend Gains in Super Quiet Conditions

MBS Day Ahead: Low Volume and Light Liquidity Expected. Here's...

MBS RECAP: Markets Had ECB Almost Perfectly Pegged

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Hoping Draghi Keeps Things Green

MBS RECAP: Eerily Quiet Ahead of Central Bank Announcements

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State-Level Changes Across the Board; Housing and Rates

Mortgage Rates Hold 3-Week Lows After Central Bank Announcements

Single Security Praised by Urban Institute

Vendor and Lender News/Updates; Academy Buys First Mortgage and...

Ellie Mae Reports Few Changes in Loan Characteristics

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Consumer Level Inflation Weak. MBS Continue To Improve

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by Matthew Graham on November 17 2010, 8:59 AM

Both CPI and Housing starts this morning. Market reaction, if there even is one, has been favorable so far this AM. The slight undertone of resignation here because this AM's trading could just as easily be considered an extension of yesterday's...
ADP: Services Sector Adds 79,000 Jobs. Goods Producers Finally Expand Hiring

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by AQ on December 01 2010, 8:48 AM

All that buying we witnessed yesterday, in VERY high volume, was erased overnight. The yield curve is significantly steeper this morning and "rate sheet influential" MBS prices are once again retesting the outer limits of the recent range. ...
MBS Screens Stay Green. Defensive Posture Assumed

Comments (79)

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2010, 11:50 AM

Somebody call Spiderman! You know that thing he does when people are falling out of buildings and what not? With the wrists and the web shooting and the saving and the hey hey? Yeah, we're gonna need that. Well, at least anyone with floaters who was...
MBS OPEN: Looking A Lot Like Yesterday's Open

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2009, 8:21 AM

Yesterday's Recap - Volume moderately higher than 30 day average - Subdued supply + flattening yield curve = Happy MBS - 5.0's back in "the zone" - steady buying led by Fed and Money Managers The AM So Far... - Testing suggested support...
MBS ALERT: Bona Fide Sell Off

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by Matthew Graham on January 29 2009, 3:03 PM

Even in the 5 minutes from last post, down further still. 4.0's down to 99-07 4.5's to 100-19 5.0's to 101-20 Previous repricers may reprice AGAIN, and those who haven't have more cause.
Beige Book: Segmented Recovery Inches Ahead. Housing Market Depressed

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2010, 2:51 PM

A depressed housing market, burgeoning retail and tourism statistics, price sensitivity, and producer price pressures are among the things noted in the Fed's latest beige book, released today. In addition, a brief update on the market... After this...
MBS Rally Stalls Again. Reprices for Worse Reported

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2010, 11:15 AM

Positive progress has stalled and "rate sheet influential" MBS coupon prices are falling again. REPRICES FOR THE WORSE HAVE BEEN REPORTED...
Benchmarks Break Support. MBS Prices Fall Further. Reprices Possible

Comments (63)

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 11:27 AM

Rates starting rising after 830am data and they haven't really stopped rising since then. If you are floating, beware, lenders may reprice for the worse. ...
HR 3044: To Impose 18-month Moratorium on HVCC (!!!!!!!!)

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by AQ on June 26 2009, 11:05 PM

H.R. 3044 : To impose an 18-month moratorium on the Home Valuation Code of Conduct ...from NAMB McLean, VA - June 26, 2009 - Last night, Representatives Childers (D-MS) and Miller (R-CA) introduced legislation calling for an 18 month moratorium on the...
MBS LUNCH: Official Auction Results and Analysis

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by Matthew Graham on July 08 2009, 1:10 PM

The net result for both treasuries and MBS is a huge positive. BE AWARE, that treasuries will get the spotlight today, and potentially even through the end of the week. You might find yourself asking: "where are all the MBS gains considering how...
JOBS DATA: NFP +39K, Private Payrolls +50K, UE Rate at 9.8%, Hourly Earnings +$0.01

Comments (62)

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by AQ on December 03 2010, 8:30 AM

The November Employment Situation Report has been released. Contrary to the October report, November data was extremely disappointing . ...
Bond Market Gets Weaker After Auction. Multiple Reprices Reported

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by Matthew Graham on December 07 2010, 3:05 PM

The weak 3yr note auction at 1pm did little to help an already negative bias in the bond market. Ok, so it did the opposit of 'help.' It's not that the 3yr auction was alarming in and of itself, but in the context of recent auctions, today's...
MBS ALERT: More Reprices Coming. Stocks and Bonds Selling

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by Matthew Graham on December 15 2010, 3:01 PM

Whether your a stock or a bond, you've been selling off hard in the past few minutes. 10 year yields have skyrocketed right past 3.5 and currently sit at 3.55. MBS 4.0's are down to an epic 97-07 and they can effectively kiss their "current...
FOMC Statement Essentially Unchanged. QEII Goes on as Planned

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 2:15 PM

The FOMC Statement has been released. As expected there was no change in the Fed's tone or outlook. The December statement is essentially the same as the November statement with exception to a couple of slight tweaks in the opening paragraph that provide...
MBS ALERT: Strong 7yr Auction Leads MBS Prices Higher

Comments (59)

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by AQ on June 25 2009, 1:18 PM

Treasury has just finished auctioning $27billion 7 year notes... This issue priced at 3.329% with 13.17% of the bids accepted at high yield (3.329%). Indirect bidders were once again a huge support taking a much higher than expected 67% of the issuance...

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MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Markets Had ECB Almost Perfectly Pegged

Talk about your anticlimactic conclusions! It's not that the European Central Bank (ECB) was likely to make any meaningful changes in its policy stance...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Hold 3-Week Lows After Central Bank...

Mortgage rates held relatively steady today, keeping them in line with the lowest levels in more than 3 weeks. There was relatively little market movement...
MND NewsWire

Single Security Praised by Urban Institute

The single agency security toward which the GSEs, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), have been...
Pipeline Press

Vendor and Lender News/Updates; Academy Buys First...

This morning we’ve had the usual Thursday initial jobless claims economic release. At the other end of the teeter totter, here’s an amazing...
MND NewsWire

Ellie Mae Reports Few Changes in Loan Characteristics

Refinancing held its ground in June, with that share of the mortgage market remaining at 32 percent. While that is a significant decline from the 47 percent...
MND NewsWire

Low Rates Stoke Second Month of Prepayment Gains

Black Knight Financial Services said on Thursday that continued low interest rates fostered another increase in prepayments . The national prepayment rate...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Hoping Draghi Keeps Things Green...

Mario Draghi is the President of the European Central Bank (ECB). That's the EU's version of the Fed. Like the Fed in the past, the ECB is still...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Eerily Quiet Ahead of Central Bank Announcements

Much has been made of tomorrow's European Central Bank (ECB) Announcement, mainly because of its proximity to ECB President Draghi's comments on...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates at 3-Week Lows

Mortgage rates moved lower today, despite slightly weaker underlying bond markets. This has been an ongoing phenomenon in recent days. Bonds improve, implying...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Trust The Technicals?

This commentary will begin it's life as the "day ahead" entry for July 19th, 2017, but it may as well be a "knowledge base" entry...
Pipeline Press

Upcoming Events; Disaster Updates; Yield Curve Flattening

In a broad generalization, when people have money to invest they usually think about stocks, bonds, or real estate. (Yes, I know there are other assets...
MND NewsWire

Housing Starts/Permits Convincingly End Recent Slump

Housing permits and starts both reversed their respective two-month slides in June, and both did so convincingly , far outpacing analysts' expectations...
MND NewsWire

Mortgage Apps Bounce Back After Holiday Losses

Mortgage application volume bounced back during the week ended July 14, following a sharp downturn a week earlier. That week had been shortened by the...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Best Day For Bonds Since Late June

If there is one thematic event at the heart of the past 4 weeks, it was a series of comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi back...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Moderately Lower

Mortgage rates fell today, but continue lagging behind the movements seen in underlying bond markets. Part of that has to do with the timing of bond market...
MND NewsWire

Foreign Homebuyers Surge into U.S. Market

Our neighbors to the north seem to think the grass is pretty green on this side of the fence. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) says that...
MND NewsWire

Price Concerns Constrain Builder Confidence

Home builder confidence continues backing down from its post-crisis peak earlier this year, although the National Association of Realtors (NAHB) calls...
Pipeline Press

Current Lending Environment; FHA, VA News; HELOC Resets...

How much would you pay to keep your job, or find a new one? Political analysts forecast that two wealthy contenders for the 2018 Illinois governor spot...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Thinking About a "Lead-Off"...

It remains the case that Thursday is the focal point of the week, with European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi set to tell reporters how far...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Higher Despite Friendly Market Movement

Mortgage rates are largely dictated by movements in bond markets--specifically mortgage-backed securities (MBS). When bonds improve, prices rise and investors...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 4.00%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.29%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.29%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-11 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-10 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 110-21 (0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -7.42%
|
Refinance Index -12.98%
|
Purchase Index -2.53%

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