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MBS Day Ahead: Clear Reaction to Presidential Debate, But There's...

MBS RECAP: Treasury Consolidation Runs Out of Room, But MBS Keep...

MBS Day Ahead: Presidential Debate Could Offer Hints at Bonds'...

MBS RECAP: Jobs Week. Now Can We Break The Range?

MBS Week Ahead: Jobs Week. Now Can We Break The Range?

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Consumer Level Inflation Weak. MBS Continue To Improve

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by Matthew Graham on November 17 2010, 8:59 AM

Both CPI and Housing starts this morning. Market reaction, if there even is one, has been favorable so far this AM. The slight undertone of resignation here because this AM's trading could just as easily be considered an extension of yesterday's...
ADP: Services Sector Adds 79,000 Jobs. Goods Producers Finally Expand Hiring

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by AQ on December 01 2010, 8:48 AM

All that buying we witnessed yesterday, in VERY high volume, was erased overnight. The yield curve is significantly steeper this morning and "rate sheet influential" MBS prices are once again retesting the outer limits of the recent range. ...
MBS Screens Stay Green. Defensive Posture Assumed

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2010, 11:50 AM

Somebody call Spiderman! You know that thing he does when people are falling out of buildings and what not? With the wrists and the web shooting and the saving and the hey hey? Yeah, we're gonna need that. Well, at least anyone with floaters who was...
MBS OPEN: Looking A Lot Like Yesterday's Open

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2009, 8:21 AM

Yesterday's Recap - Volume moderately higher than 30 day average - Subdued supply + flattening yield curve = Happy MBS - 5.0's back in "the zone" - steady buying led by Fed and Money Managers The AM So Far... - Testing suggested support...
MBS ALERT: Bona Fide Sell Off

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by Matthew Graham on January 29 2009, 3:03 PM

Even in the 5 minutes from last post, down further still. 4.0's down to 99-07 4.5's to 100-19 5.0's to 101-20 Previous repricers may reprice AGAIN, and those who haven't have more cause.
Beige Book: Segmented Recovery Inches Ahead. Housing Market Depressed

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2010, 2:51 PM

A depressed housing market, burgeoning retail and tourism statistics, price sensitivity, and producer price pressures are among the things noted in the Fed's latest beige book, released today. In addition, a brief update on the market... After this...
MBS Rally Stalls Again. Reprices for Worse Reported

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2010, 11:15 AM

Positive progress has stalled and "rate sheet influential" MBS coupon prices are falling again. REPRICES FOR THE WORSE HAVE BEEN REPORTED...
Benchmarks Break Support. MBS Prices Fall Further. Reprices Possible

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 11:27 AM

Rates starting rising after 830am data and they haven't really stopped rising since then. If you are floating, beware, lenders may reprice for the worse. ...
HR 3044: To Impose 18-month Moratorium on HVCC (!!!!!!!!)

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by AQ on June 26 2009, 11:05 PM

H.R. 3044 : To impose an 18-month moratorium on the Home Valuation Code of Conduct ...from NAMB McLean, VA - June 26, 2009 - Last night, Representatives Childers (D-MS) and Miller (R-CA) introduced legislation calling for an 18 month moratorium on the...
MBS LUNCH: Official Auction Results and Analysis

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by Matthew Graham on July 08 2009, 1:10 PM

The net result for both treasuries and MBS is a huge positive. BE AWARE, that treasuries will get the spotlight today, and potentially even through the end of the week. You might find yourself asking: "where are all the MBS gains considering how...
JOBS DATA: NFP +39K, Private Payrolls +50K, UE Rate at 9.8%, Hourly Earnings +$0.01

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by AQ on December 03 2010, 8:30 AM

The November Employment Situation Report has been released. Contrary to the October report, November data was extremely disappointing . ...
Bond Market Gets Weaker After Auction. Multiple Reprices Reported

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by Matthew Graham on December 07 2010, 3:05 PM

The weak 3yr note auction at 1pm did little to help an already negative bias in the bond market. Ok, so it did the opposit of 'help.' It's not that the 3yr auction was alarming in and of itself, but in the context of recent auctions, today's...
MBS ALERT: More Reprices Coming. Stocks and Bonds Selling

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by Matthew Graham on December 15 2010, 3:01 PM

Whether your a stock or a bond, you've been selling off hard in the past few minutes. 10 year yields have skyrocketed right past 3.5 and currently sit at 3.55. MBS 4.0's are down to an epic 97-07 and they can effectively kiss their "current...
FOMC Statement Essentially Unchanged. QEII Goes on as Planned

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 2:15 PM

The FOMC Statement has been released. As expected there was no change in the Fed's tone or outlook. The December statement is essentially the same as the November statement with exception to a couple of slight tweaks in the opening paragraph that provide...
MBS ALERT: Strong 7yr Auction Leads MBS Prices Higher

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by AQ on June 25 2009, 1:18 PM

Treasury has just finished auctioning $27billion 7 year notes... This issue priced at 3.329% with 13.17% of the bids accepted at high yield (3.329%). Indirect bidders were once again a huge support taking a much higher than expected 67% of the issuance...

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Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Still Sideways to Slightly Lower

The average mortgage lender continues to offer top tier conventional 30yr fixed rates in the "high 2% to low 3%" neighborhood. Exactly where any given...
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MBS RECAP: Treasuries, MBS Back on Same Page After...

Treasuries, MBS Back on Same Page After 2 Weeks On Different Paths MBS prices were generally losing ground, albeit at a modest pace, over the past two...
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Stellar Housing Data; Rates Inching Lower

Mortgage Rate Update Considering this week's generally positive drift in rates, we shouldn't expect lenders to get less busy any time soon. In recent weeks...
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Forbearances Ending at a Faster Pace

Black Knight said its weekly forbearance survey found the number of mortgages in active forbearance decreasing at an accelerated rate. Those mortgages...
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Bear with me while I'm forced to crank up the power on my analytical microscope in order to find anything interesting to say about one of the least...
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70% of Freddie's Portfolio Suggests Refis Aren't...

Freddie Mac reported this week that its total mortgage portfolio increased at an annualized rate of 27.7 percent in August compared to a 20.0 percent gain...
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In its 2 nd quarter Foreclosure Prevention and Refinance Report the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) says it has helped almost 4.7 million distressed...
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TGIF! Do Fridays mean as much as they did up until mid-March? Yes! Well, maybe. How about some non-mortgage stuff? There is, after all, life outside of...
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MBS RECAP: MBS Outperform; Bonds Stay Defiantly Sideways...

MBS Outperform; Bonds Stay Defiantly Sideways Overall The stock market tried a few different moves on the bond market today and while correlation is still...
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New Home Sales Crush Forecasts, Soaring to 14-Year...

Once again new home sales exceeded expectations, this time by a lot. Sales of newly built homes rose 4.8 percent in August, to a seasonally adjusted annual...
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MBS Day Ahead: Where Would We Be Without Stocks?

It's no secret that the bond market has been sideways for a month and a half by even the strictest definitions, and broadly sideways since first settling...
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Serious Delinquencies Grow, but Fewer Overall Missed...

As the COVID-19 crisis dragged into its sixth month in August the total number of mortgage delinquencies continued to ebb, but the rate of decline appears...
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I need to make a dart board for the wall behind me for Zoom calls that has “rates up” and “rates down” and “rates the same”...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 2.98%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.61%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.35%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-04 (-0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-17 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 110-14 (0-00)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -4.81%
|
Refinance Index -6.51%
|
Purchase Index -1.87%

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