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MBS RECAP: Next Week Should be More Interesting

MBS Day Ahead: Data Casts Vote on Recent Trend Shift

MBS RECAP: Bonds Begin Heading For The Exits, Hoping to Avoid...

MBS Day Ahead: Auction Cycle Ends; Bonds Still Have a Shot

MBS RECAP: Bonds Bounce Back After Fed/Auction Combo

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Wages and Inflation; The Fed and Mortgage Rates

Mortgage Rates Improve as Lenders Catch up With Yesterday's...

Freddie Mac Pulls a 180 in Housing Outlook

Watt Says FHL Home Bank Activity Tops $1 Trillion

PHH v. CFPB - Recording of the Arguments, a Webinar About Yesterday's...

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Consumer Level Inflation Weak. MBS Continue To Improve

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by Matthew Graham on November 17 2010, 8:59 AM

Both CPI and Housing starts this morning. Market reaction, if there even is one, has been favorable so far this AM. The slight undertone of resignation here because this AM's trading could just as easily be considered an extension of yesterday's...
ADP: Services Sector Adds 79,000 Jobs. Goods Producers Finally Expand Hiring

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by AQ on December 01 2010, 8:48 AM

All that buying we witnessed yesterday, in VERY high volume, was erased overnight. The yield curve is significantly steeper this morning and "rate sheet influential" MBS prices are once again retesting the outer limits of the recent range. ...
MBS Screens Stay Green. Defensive Posture Assumed

Comments (79)

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by Matthew Graham on December 03 2010, 11:50 AM

Somebody call Spiderman! You know that thing he does when people are falling out of buildings and what not? With the wrists and the web shooting and the saving and the hey hey? Yeah, we're gonna need that. Well, at least anyone with floaters who was...
MBS OPEN: Looking A Lot Like Yesterday's Open

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2009, 8:21 AM

Yesterday's Recap - Volume moderately higher than 30 day average - Subdued supply + flattening yield curve = Happy MBS - 5.0's back in "the zone" - steady buying led by Fed and Money Managers The AM So Far... - Testing suggested support...
MBS ALERT: Bona Fide Sell Off

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by Matthew Graham on January 29 2009, 3:03 PM

Even in the 5 minutes from last post, down further still. 4.0's down to 99-07 4.5's to 100-19 5.0's to 101-20 Previous repricers may reprice AGAIN, and those who haven't have more cause.
Beige Book: Segmented Recovery Inches Ahead. Housing Market Depressed

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by Matthew Graham on December 02 2010, 2:51 PM

A depressed housing market, burgeoning retail and tourism statistics, price sensitivity, and producer price pressures are among the things noted in the Fed's latest beige book, released today. In addition, a brief update on the market... After this...
MBS Rally Stalls Again. Reprices for Worse Reported

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by Matthew Graham on November 16 2010, 11:15 AM

Positive progress has stalled and "rate sheet influential" MBS coupon prices are falling again. REPRICES FOR THE WORSE HAVE BEEN REPORTED...
Benchmarks Break Support. MBS Prices Fall Further. Reprices Possible

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 11:27 AM

Rates starting rising after 830am data and they haven't really stopped rising since then. If you are floating, beware, lenders may reprice for the worse. ...
HR 3044: To Impose 18-month Moratorium on HVCC (!!!!!!!!)

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by AQ on June 26 2009, 11:05 PM

H.R. 3044 : To impose an 18-month moratorium on the Home Valuation Code of Conduct ...from NAMB McLean, VA - June 26, 2009 - Last night, Representatives Childers (D-MS) and Miller (R-CA) introduced legislation calling for an 18 month moratorium on the...
MBS LUNCH: Official Auction Results and Analysis

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by Matthew Graham on July 08 2009, 1:10 PM

The net result for both treasuries and MBS is a huge positive. BE AWARE, that treasuries will get the spotlight today, and potentially even through the end of the week. You might find yourself asking: "where are all the MBS gains considering how...
JOBS DATA: NFP +39K, Private Payrolls +50K, UE Rate at 9.8%, Hourly Earnings +$0.01

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by AQ on December 03 2010, 8:30 AM

The November Employment Situation Report has been released. Contrary to the October report, November data was extremely disappointing . ...
Bond Market Gets Weaker After Auction. Multiple Reprices Reported

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by Matthew Graham on December 07 2010, 3:05 PM

The weak 3yr note auction at 1pm did little to help an already negative bias in the bond market. Ok, so it did the opposit of 'help.' It's not that the 3yr auction was alarming in and of itself, but in the context of recent auctions, today's...
MBS ALERT: More Reprices Coming. Stocks and Bonds Selling

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by Matthew Graham on December 15 2010, 3:01 PM

Whether your a stock or a bond, you've been selling off hard in the past few minutes. 10 year yields have skyrocketed right past 3.5 and currently sit at 3.55. MBS 4.0's are down to an epic 97-07 and they can effectively kiss their "current...
FOMC Statement Essentially Unchanged. QEII Goes on as Planned

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by AQ on December 14 2010, 2:15 PM

The FOMC Statement has been released. As expected there was no change in the Fed's tone or outlook. The December statement is essentially the same as the November statement with exception to a couple of slight tweaks in the opening paragraph that provide...
MBS ALERT: Strong 7yr Auction Leads MBS Prices Higher

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by AQ on June 25 2009, 1:18 PM

Treasury has just finished auctioning $27billion 7 year notes... This issue priced at 3.329% with 13.17% of the bids accepted at high yield (3.329%). Indirect bidders were once again a huge support taking a much higher than expected 67% of the issuance...

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Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Improve as Lenders Catch up With Yesterday's...

Mortgage rates fell today despite relatively uneventful movement in underlying bond markets (which drive day to day changes in rates). The net improvement...
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Freddie Mac Pulls a 180 in Housing Outlook

Rather than taking a step back this year, home sales now seem ready to best their 2016 numbers. Freddie Mac's economists admit that, up until this month...
MND NewsWire

Watt Says FHL Home Bank Activity Tops $1 Trillion

It often gets lost in the shuffle, but the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is not just the regulator and conservator of the government sponsored...
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MBS Day Ahead: Auction Cycle Ends; Bonds Still Have...

Tuesday of this week was a bit alarming for bond markets as it introduced the possibility that yields were opting for upward momentum after bottoming out...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Bonds Bounce Back After Fed/Auction Combo

Bonds began the day in inconsequentially stronger territory and soon moved to the worst levels in a week leading up to the 5yr Treasury auction. The auction's...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Upward Mortgage Rate Momentum Pauses After Fed

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher this morning, beginning the day at the highest levels in roughly 2 weeks. Afternoon events helped underlying bond...
MND NewsWire

Existing Home Sales Decline Slightly; Inventory Issues...

Existing homes declined in April, falling back by 2.3 percent in April when compared to March 2017 levels. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR...
MND NewsWire

Price Gains Decelerate But Remain Over 6 Percent Annually...

The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) is reporting another significantly high set of results for its Housing Price Index (HPI). The current values...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Apex of Bond Supply and Fed Minutes...

Today's main event from a "street cred" standpoint will be the 2pm release of the Minutes from the last Fed meeting . This is a detailed...
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New Home Sales; Title Company Cuts Fees; Guild's...

Trends in New Home Sales "Pending" Home Sales, "Existing" Home Sales, and "New" Home Sales - take your pick. They all show something slightly different...
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Calendar Colludes; Delinquencies Spike by Most in Nine...

While Black Knight Financial Services maintains it was a function of seasonality, mortgage delinquencies increased in April by the largest percentage in...
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Refi Apps Rebound, Helping Offset Purchase Pull-Back

Refinancing shored up the Mortgage Bankers Association's Market Composite Index during the week ended May 19. While purchase mortgages slowed , the Composite...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Supply and Headlines Weigh on Bonds

Much like the week before last, we're seeing an abundance of new "supply" hitting the bond market. This comes both in the form of the scheduled...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Remain Under Pressure

Mortgage rates began the day in decent shape with the average lender roughly unchanged versus yesterday. As the day progressed, bond markets (which dictate...
MND NewsWire

HUD Budget Drops by $16 Billion, FHA, GNMA Appear Unscathed

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) released its proposed 2018 budget on Tuesday, saying it will continue to provide rental assistance...
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There are Tons of Newly Built Homes – Just the Wrong...

Ask anyone house hunting this spring, and they'll tell you there are far too few homes for sale. But, really, it's the price tags of the homes for sale...
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New Home Sales Contract Sharply in April

Sales of newly constructed homes lost momentum in April, reversing three straight months of gains. The Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Stalled Despite Stocks. What...

Although yields have risen modestly over the past 3 trading session, they've done so from the best levels in more than 7 months. If we take a few steps...
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HMDA Training; Misc. Updates on Policies, Documentation...

I do my best to group updates to create a narrative that is more "user friendly" than to just throw news out there. But some updates don't fit into convenient...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 4.02%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.28%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.30%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-21 (0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-29 (0-02)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 111-06 (-0-05)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 4.36%
|
Refinance Index 10.47%
|
Purchase Index -0.82%

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