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MBS ticking up

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by Matthew Graham on March 10 2008, 3:47 PM

Move to cautious float...
Monday: Started Strong, Now Back To Even

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by Matthew Graham on March 10 2008, 2:35 PM

MBS opened higher this morning (higher in price, lower in rate) and have since pared those gains. Contributing factors are 1. Friday's excellent demand for MBS, which drove prices up, and is enticing some investors to sell their MBS holdings due to the...
Trend Channel Looks Good

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 6:58 PM

I know this site is badly in need of graphics, but you'll have to use your imagination for this one. I watch a running live line graph MBS prices all day. So imagine a similar curve that you might see on a stock market graph. By taking 4 points on the...
Bit of resistance...

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 6:18 PM

We're not selling off rapidly by any means. You might consider continuing to float until further notice. But again the general trend is down in the last hour, so conservative play is to lock, but floating might pay off later in the day.
Sell Off?

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 6:11 PM

Looks like we might be sliding down into a bit of a sell off? Locking is becoming more prudent by the minute. Stay tuned...
prices falling bit

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 5:57 PM

5.5% coupon about 10 ticks lower in the last 10 minutes. You may not need to lock just yet, but be aware of the downswing. Certain lenders have not even repriced the initial improvements into rates yet. But have lock sheets at the ready if you do decide...
Nice Big Reversal

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 4:06 PM

Quite the drastic up-tick just now as 5.5's and 6.0's have climbed nearly ten ticks in 5 minutes. We're back to float float float. But to stay tuned and ready to lock!
Ticking Down

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 3:34 PM

We've Pared some gains currently and have slid 4 ticks on both the 5.5 and the 6.0. Have those lock sheets at the ready today. I'm assuming most lenders will wait for a portion of this volatility to die down before releasing rates though. But if you are...
Holding Gains So Far

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 1:51 PM

The 5.5% coupon is holding around 19-20/32nds improved on the day and the 6% coupon about 8 ticks less. We're not seeing a catastrophic race among traders to buy mortgage bonds, but at least they are not pouring gas on them and setting fire to them as...
Get out your water wings!

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 1:32 PM

Dismal Jobs! February Payrolls down 63,000 MUCH worse than expected, PLUS, for the first time in months, we break the trend and get a downward revision on January of -22,000. Enjoy the float...
Any Minute Now

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 1:30 PM

MBS's ticking higher... Today could be our day...
Morning Preview .............. 7:51 AM EST

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by Matthew Graham on March 07 2008, 12:51 PM

Today's the day for a bounce back on MBS prices. That's more of a hope than a promise. We have the always impactful employment situation on tap for today (coming up in about half an hour), and consumer credit at 2pm. Here are the estimates for the day...
Wow! Look at the 10 Year Note!

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2008, 10:03 PM

I can see it now... Mortgage offices all over the country were watching the 10 year bond improve today thinking rates were fine. Did you pay attention to the blog? Wow! Look at that MBS deteriorate! We're down 20-25/32nds at the close today. Floating...
prices tanking

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2008, 7:29 PM

well below the trend line now. lock...
prices falling

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by Matthew Graham on March 06 2008, 7:03 PM

Prices are ticking down right now. Lock if you're cautious.

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.28%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.74%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.33%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-31 (0-10)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-22 (0-03)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 111-18 (0-05)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -2.51%
|
Refinance Index -5.12%
|
Purchase Index -100.00%

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