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MBS RECAP: Strong Move in Treasuries But MBS Underperform (Significantly...

MBS Week Ahead: Bonds Already Challenging Technical Boundaries...

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MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Should Give Their Next Technical Signal...

MBS RECAP: Bonds Push Back Against AM Weakness, But Risks Remain

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Loans Still Taking 2 Months to Close as Refi Demand Stays Strong

MLO, Ops Jobs; Broker, VOE, Servicing, MI Tools; Imminent Training...

How Long Can The Good Times Last For Housing and Rates?

Existing Home Sales Reach Highest Levels Since 2006

Upbeat 2021 Econ Forecast From Fannie Mae

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Loans Still Taking 2 Months to Close as Refi Demand Stays Strong; Rates Only Slightly Lower Despite Bond Market Rally

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Monday 7/7/08 ... Leveling off and Ginnie keeps rockin'

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 5:05 PM

Fannie and Freddie MBS are closer now. Despite the lowest stock prices in over 10 years, both FNMA and FHLMC have rebounded, and reprices for the better are potential. GNMA MBS are actually nicely improved day over day. You are looking for .125 to .25...
Monday 7/7/08 ... Fannie!

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 4:35 PM

Looks as if the Fannie Mae stock sell-off is behind all the hullabaloo. It's a bit interesting because their sell off has actually helped Fannie MBS prices by about 4/32nds. The real story is that Freddie Mac MBS are faring another 5/32nds or so better...
Monday 7/7/08 ... Major rebound, but don't watch Treasuries

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 4:30 PM

More analysis and explanation to follow, but we have a major treasury rally underway and MBS have rebounded a little as well. Probably not enough to see reprices yet, but stay tuned. If you haven't locked yet and your lender priced at least .375 worse...
Monday 7/7/08 ... Down Some More

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 2:00 PM

Slipping now to 12/32nds off on the day at 100-02.
Monday 7/7/08 ... Let's Get Started Early!

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 1:36 PM

Started downwards that is. It's unlikely that you have rate sheets already, but if you do, expect a reprice for the worse. the 6.0 coupon is down 9/32nds to 100-05
Monday 7/7/08 ... At A Glance

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by Matthew Graham on July 07 2008, 12:59 PM

At A Glance: No scheduled data today, plus light data for the rest of the week Stocks set to open in positive territory MBS not doing well over the weekend or this morning currently down 3 ticks DoD QUICK LOCK GUIDE: FLOAT. With limited data, it could...
Thursday 7/3/08 ... Graph

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2008, 3:04 PM

Many lenders probably hedged for this already, but we are sliding, if your lender didn't release prices at least .25 worse than yesterday, risks favor locking. If they priced at least .25 weakness into rates already, it's a tougher call.
Thursday 7/2/08 ... Disappointing...

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2008, 2:03 PM

The Numbers: 6.0% FNMA is down 1 / 32nds at 100-19 5.5% FNMA is down 1/32nds at 98-01 Both of these are just slightly lower than yesterday's levels The News: Employment situation 62k jobs lost, almost exactly as expected unemployment rate stands even...
Thursday 7/3/08 ... ISM down to 48.0 Lower than expected 51.0

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2008, 2:01 PM

more to follow.
Thursday 7/3/08 ... Still Waiting For The Magic..

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2008, 1:32 PM

Another update for you before we get to the main content for the day... The MBS market has picked up perhaps a tick or two since earlier this morning. Although jobless claims were over 400k, the level NFP number is buoying stocks still. Don't count out...
Thursday 7/3/08 ... An Evenly Matched Battle (or so they think)

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by Matthew Graham on July 03 2008, 12:57 PM

At A Glance: MBS and UST's fight epic battle with stock futures NFP almost dead on with expectations, bonds weren't happy, but now fighting back Action's heavy, 6.0's unchanged DoD. (2 ticks better from "going out" levels") Jobless Claims High! Over 400k...
Wednesday 07/02/08 ... Session-Ending Recap

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 9:08 PM

Risk Aversion and Position taking abound. The "leash" we spoke about earlier and actually ended up being a hot topic of conversation among insiders today. Some of the Mega-Dealers as well as analysts at several of the data firms either commented on, or...
Wednesday 7/2/08 ... Sorry to be back so soon...

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 5:31 PM

The negative trend has continued and we have pushed back into the lows of the day plus added a tick on top of that. Reprices for the worse are potential depending on whether or not your lender hedged conservatively this morning.
Wednesday 7/2/08 ... New Lows

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 5:16 PM

For the first time today, MBS has touched a new low at 100-19. It bounced back about 30 seconds later, but the tenor is generally "difficult." You *probably* won't see reprices for the worse yet, so if you can hold on, tomorrow may be a better day, but...
Wednesday 7/2/08 ... Staying Sideways

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by Matthew Graham on July 02 2008, 4:10 PM

Nothing to report yet as MBS have not moved. UST's have "kept walking" into a tick or two slightly more positive territory, but MBS is proving itself to be a true dog and is pulling as hard as it can towards that "plate of bacon" referenced in the morning...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 2.78%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.29%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.29%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-16 (-0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-16 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 111-08 (-0-00)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 1.06%
|
Refinance Index 1.40%
|
Purchase Index 1.81%

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