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Wednesday 6/11/08 ..... Slow News Day and Here's that Rebound

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by Matthew Graham on June 11 2008, 1:46 PM

In A Word: As we discussed, there is usually a rebound on the way in the midst of such a sound beating. It looks like we have that rebound this morning. We'll have to see if it can last through the day. To Lock or Float? We'll be floating until further...
And We're down again

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 3:40 PM

amazing amounts of volatility this morning. we just tanked. Reprices for the worse are a near certainty.
Stablized

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 3:14 PM

As the dow has turned negative on the day, MBS are stabilizing. Reprice potential is fading...
Falling Already

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 2:27 PM

We're down about 3/32nds since first post, so some lenders that released rates early may be getting a little queasy. Reprices not probable, but potential.
Tuesday 6/10/08 ..... 50/50 bet continues to pay off...

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by Matthew Graham on June 10 2008, 1:11 PM

In A Word: It may get worse before it gets better as MBS and treasuries are both peeling off between a quarter to three eighths of a point. But relief may be in sight. To Lock or Float? Any time now, we will have the "oh crap, prices are a bit too low...
Did The 50/50 Bet Pay Off?

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2008, 10:16 PM

As we mentioned, it is nearly impossible to predict with certainty that locking in the morning on a given day is a wise choice, but we reluctantly did so today. As it happened, MBS ended near the lows of the day which should keep disgruntled LO's from...
Continuing to slide early

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2008, 2:24 PM

Heads up! We've peeled off another 3-4 ticks in the last 10 minutes. Lenders likely hedged early rate sheets, but nonetheless we may see price changes for the worse. This puts us in a precarious position because if we fall enough in the morning, lenders...
Monday 6/9/08 .......... Another Loser...

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by Matthew Graham on June 09 2008, 2:03 PM

In A Word: MBS prices are down fairly sharply this morning following stronger than expected pending home sales data. With no other data scheduled for today, stocks and headlines will set the market tenor. With the Dow up 67 points currently, it's not...
Friday 6/6/08 ........... Mixed Jobs Data, MBS barely improving

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by Matthew Graham on June 06 2008, 1:35 PM

In A Word: MBS prices are up modestly after NFP pared fewer jobs than expected, yet unemployment was higher than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will continue to improve today. To Lock or Float? We have quite a large gap to treasuries this morning...
Thursday 6/5/08 ......... Best not to read this....

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by Matthew Graham on June 05 2008, 1:54 PM

In A Word: We've lost another half point give or take. Chalk it up to better than expected jobless claims. To Lock or Float? Normally the recommendation here leaves room for your own personal risk tolerance, but today is slightly more clearcut. The curve...
Wild In Ben's Wake

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 6:58 PM

As you know, Bernanke can't even order a cheeseburger without the markets trying to draw conclusions. He just spoke at his alma mater, saying a repeat of 1970's inflation is not probable. He's notably more concerned with price stability and inflation...
The Trend is Not Your Friend

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 6:03 PM

The trend in the MBS price curve is beautifully simple today, unfortunately, it's going in the wrong direction. Some of the earlier birds have already repriced, more are likely on the way.
Continuing to react to stocks

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 4:24 PM

As stocks have peeled off their highs, we've seen a few ticks of relief in the MBS market. It's awfully touchy territory with numerous transactions coming across while we hang out near the lows. Perhaps too touchy to continue floating, but reprices for...
Rally no More.

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 3:20 PM

The rally abated and we're back to the lows of the day with the 6.0 down 4/32nds and the 5.5 down 6/32nds.
Already Changing Course

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by Matthew Graham on June 04 2008, 2:27 PM

The Price Curve on MBS has already rebounded off the lows and you are now free from the risk of reprices for the worse until further notice.

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Home Purchase Apps Highest Since January

Purchase mortgage applications rose for the 6 th straight week, driving the Mortgage Bankers Association's Market Composite Index back into positive territory...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.05%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.70%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.29%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-01 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-13 (0-03)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 110-05 (-0-02)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 2.67%
|
Refinance Index -0.23%
|
Purchase Index 8.61%

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