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MBS RECAP: Strong Move in Treasuries But MBS Underperform (Significantly...

MBS Week Ahead: Bonds Already Challenging Technical Boundaries...

MBS RECAP: Calm Week Ends on an Even Calmer Note

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Should Give Their Next Technical Signal...

MBS RECAP: Bonds Push Back Against AM Weakness, But Risks Remain

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Loans Still Taking 2 Months to Close as Refi Demand Stays Strong

MLO, Ops Jobs; Broker, VOE, Servicing, MI Tools; Imminent Training...

How Long Can The Good Times Last For Housing and Rates?

Existing Home Sales Reach Highest Levels Since 2006

Upbeat 2021 Econ Forecast From Fannie Mae

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Loans Still Taking 2 Months to Close as Refi Demand Stays Strong; Rates Only Slightly Lower Despite Bond Market Rally

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Wednesday 8/27 - Let Me Take You Down (in yield, that is)

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by Matthew Graham on August 27 2008, 2:22 PM

currently up a plus in 6.0's at 100-26. MBS ninjas report some of the positive price action we are seeing today is the result of low volume, making today's gains potentially not as exciting as they otherwise would be. Still, I wouldn't go so far as to...
Wednesday 8/27 - As One Might NOT Expect

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by Matthew Graham on August 27 2008, 12:41 PM

We normally would not expect to see MBS hold steady when Durable Goods comes in at 1.3 versus a negative 0.4 expectation, but that is what is happening. The bond markets' "pause" on what we'd normally assume would be a sharper sell-off is gaining confirmation...
Wednesday 8/27 - As one might expect...

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by Matthew Graham on August 27 2008, 12:33 PM

MBS and Treasuries have taken a bit of a beating following the durable goods reading. Rather than shooting straight for the basement, MBS have paused at 100-24, a scant 2/32nds worse than yesterday. By comparison, the 10 year treasury is down 12/32nds...
Wednesday 8/27 - At A Glance

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by Matthew Graham on August 27 2008, 12:30 PM

Durable Goods up sharply, stay tuned Fed's Lockhart thinks inflation peaked in July
Wednesday 8/27 - Another Order Of Business

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by Matthew Graham on August 27 2008, 7:56 AM

Remember that whole OIL thing? Yeah, yeah, yeah.... We know that oil does not equal inflation, but the interconnectedness is incontrovertible. That debate aside, the markets certainly discounted much of the suggested impact of the CPI and PPI due to falling...
FDIC report

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 6:19 PM

This came out earlier than expected and the reassuring news for MBS market is that no major banks about whom the "buzz" had previously been negative are on the list.
Fed Minutes Salient Points

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 6:03 PM

Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 Continued downside growth Inflation to moderate, but concerned about inflation risks FOMC don’t see interest rate as particularly accommodative Commercial real estate and business...
Tuesday 8/26 - Still Steady

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 5:33 PM

Pre FOMC minutes, we're still holding steady, but are seeing treasuries catch up a bit. Currently, we're up 3-4 ticks on 6.0 at 100-23 to 100-24. So Obviously still floating, but be ready to lock in case "something" happens. What that would be, I have...
Tuesday 8/26 ... more numbers and reactions

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 2:20 PM

Consumer Confidence rose to 56.9 in August, the highest in three months and a five-point jump from 51.9 in July. The direction of the Conference Board, who publishes the index was quoted as saying: "consumer confidence readings suggest that the economy...
New home sales and Consumer Confidence In

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 2:12 PM

No Drastic reactions yet, more to follow...
Tuesday 8/26 ... CASE SHILLER PRICE DROPS ... 15.9% YrOverYr

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 1:00 PM

In line with median estimates.
Tuesday 8/26 - Fed's Fisher: Inflation Still Major Concern

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 12:31 PM

Inflation Hawks Squawk early this AM with Richard Fisher, Dallas Fed President, saying economy will grow at a "snail's pace," however he is carrying the torch for the hawks showing there is still a division of opinion in the Fed as he values price stability...
Tuesday 8/26 ... Approaching Yesterday's Floor

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by Matthew Graham on August 26 2008, 12:08 PM

Once we crested the 100-17/100-18 level yesterday, we held it for the whole day. Currently, we are at 100-19 and have fallen from 100-24 at the open. If we cross the line at 100-17, it would be a lock indication for anyone who doesn't want to take a change...
FNMA 6.0 Price Action Today (Monday 8/25)

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by Matthew Graham on August 25 2008, 9:56 PM
Monday 8/25 - Grinding Higher After Close

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by Matthew Graham on August 25 2008, 8:27 PM

In the 3pm-5pm hours, MBS have packed on a few ticks here, a few ticks there, bringing the 6.0 today to 100-22+. Ginnies are a few ticks better in 6.0's, so expect that FHA pricing to stay extremely competitive. Today was calm for a low volume day. Lots...

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MBS Commentary

MBS Week Ahead: Bonds Already Challenging Technical...

Another week, another chance to see if bonds will continue to avoid confrontation with the boundaries of the recent range. 1.075% emerged as the floor...
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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 2.78%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.29%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.29%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-16 (-0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-16 (0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 111-08 (-0-00)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 1.06%
|
Refinance Index 1.40%
|
Purchase Index 1.81%

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