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UPDATE ................................ 1:13 PST , 2/13/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2008, 9:18 PM

More reprices for the worse likely on the way.
UPDATE ................................ 11:53 PST , 2/13/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2008, 7:52 PM

If you have a deal that you were considering locking today, now may be the safe time as mortgage backed securities just broke through a technical floor of 100 and 22/32nds on the 5.5% coupon. What this means is that the price on the 5.5% coupon has been...
WEDNESDAY MORNING .......................................2/13/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 13 2008, 4:35 PM

Retail Sales figures came in higher than expected today at .3% improvement. Expectations were for a .3% decrease. This signal of potential economic strength is helping stocks to stay on the positive side today and is a very slight thorn in the side of...
BONDS BATTLING BACK ................................2/12/08 11:56 AM PST

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by Matthew Graham on February 12 2008, 7:49 PM

Bonds have recaptured a significant portion of their losses with the 5.0% coupon only down 8/32nds day over day and the 5.5% coupon only down 6/32nds day over day Look for price improvements this afternoon over this mornings rates. We may not get back...
TUESDAY MORNING .............................................. 2/12/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 12 2008, 3:50 PM

FNMA 5.5% MBS = 14/32nds down day over day 5.0% MBS = 19/32nds down day over day. This spells a bad day for rates. Float/lock: see last two paragraphs below in the full analysis -------------------------------- The stock market is booming currently and...
BONDS DECLINING ................................. 9:55AM PST

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2008, 5:55 PM

MBS's have lost about 6/32nds off their highs of the day. There is risk of a mid day price change for the worse if this weakness continues.
MONDAY MORNING ......................... 2/11/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2008, 4:10 PM

There are no significant economic reports scheduled for release today. In general market news, AIG announced a larger than expected write down which is one of the factors leading to generally tepid stocks this morning. The Dow is currently down about...
THE MORNING AFTER ......................................2/8/08

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by Matthew Graham on February 08 2008, 4:26 PM

If you were a mortgage broker or mortgage consumer yesterday, you couldn't help but notice what was one of the worst sell off we've seen in months. Rates worsened by about .5 discount points. Despite bond-friendly economic data, analysts attributed the...
Additional Reprices for the worse

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by Matthew Graham on February 07 2008, 6:23 PM

It is highly likely as of 10AM Pacific time that we will be seeing more reprices for the worse, very soon. the 5.5 coupon is down 9/32ds and 5.0 coupon down 16/32nds
Down Now ..................7:18 AM PST

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by Matthew Graham on February 07 2008, 3:18 PM

Stocks are bouncing back after opening low and mortgage bonds are selling with the 5.0 now down 6/32nds and the 5.5 down 2/32nds. This will probably increase rates by .125% of a discount point. Stay tuned.
Flat after market opens ................................2/7/08 6:45 AM

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by Matthew Graham on February 07 2008, 1:45 PM

The Jobless Claims fell 22,000 to 356,000. This was not as much of a decrease as analysts were expecting, so although the number is decreased, it's actually bad news for the economy and good news for mortgage rates. MBS's are currently holding unchanged...
SHARP drop off

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2008, 7:47 PM

Prices will not make it back today it appears. No improvements likely at this point. Potential for price changes for the worse based on recent bond numbers. In this up and down afternoon, it would appear locking is the safest bet.
UP TO THE MINUTE UPDATE ............................................. 11:00 am PST

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2008, 7:04 PM

Bond Prices are trending back up slightly. We haven't broken even yet, but are about 3/32nds away from doing so. This means that any lenders that repriced for the worse today may come back into the market, but only if this positive trend continues through...
UP TO THE MINUTE UPDATE ............................................. 8:30 AM PST

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2008, 4:31 PM

Bond Prices have dropped off sharply in the last few minutes. If your lenders released rates early this morning, they may reprice for the worse very soon. Other lenders that have waited to release rates will likely have this drop off included in rate...
A VERY QUIET MORNING .........................................2/6/2008

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2008, 3:03 PM

The most significant piece of economic data released this morning was the productivity and costs report. Productivity came in at 1.8%, higher than the estimate of .5%. Labor Costs came in at 2.1%, lower than the estimate of 3.0%. This report is always...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.89%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.60%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.92%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 104-27 (0-04)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 106-09 (0-04)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 106-30 (0-10)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -0.12%
|
Refinance Index -1.23%
|
Purchase Index 1.13%

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