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MBS RECAP: We've Only Just Begun (to See ECB QE Volatility...

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Continue Riding ECB Wave

MBS Day Ahead: Bond Markets Set up Technical Defenses After ECB...

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Thread the QE Needle, but What's...

MBS MID-DAY: Moderate Losses, but Ample Volatility as Markets...

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Strengthening Economy Expected to "Drag" Housing Along

2015 Housing Opportunities might be Short-Lived

Existing Home Sales End Year on Higher Note

Non-Performing Loan News; CFPB vs. Wells & Chase Has Everyone...

Six Economists Reach Similar Conclusions on 2015 Housing Outlook

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Rates Back Near Long-Term Lows; Stronger Economy to Drag Housing Up in 2015, but Opportunities Could be Short-Lived; ECB QE Market Volatility

Published: 1/23/2015

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MBS MID-DAY: Heading Out At Best Levels; This Might be a Recap

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by Matthew Graham on December 31 2014, 12:38 PM

In the same vein as December 26th, this Mid-Day report might end up standing as the Recap due to the stability of the day's range and the mere 90 minutes left before the early close. Bond markets were steady-to-slightly-stronger overnight and market...
MBS Day Ahead: Not Another Crappy 'Year-in-Review'

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by Matthew Graham on December 31 2014, 7:33 AM

The only thing more tedious than of my technical explanations are those journalistic elements that you just KNOW are coming. Let me explain. Imagine a thief steals a bunch of watches, is unable to sell them, and subsequently returns them. In that case...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Fade Toward Unchanged Levels After Stronger Start

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by Matthew Graham on December 30 2014, 4:53 PM

Unlike most Tuesday's, today actually saw a decreased level of participation in bond markets. Presumably this is due to yesterday offering more relevant inspiration (Greek election failure) and the impending New Year holiday. On that note, keep in...
MBS MID-DAY: Last Week's Sell-Off Now Fully Erased

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by Matthew Graham on December 30 2014, 12:26 PM

Trading conditions continue to be slow during these holiday weeks. This greases the skids for bigger movements regardless of motivation. Last Wednesday saw significant weakness, and while it was most easily chalked up to the strong GDP reading, we already...
MBS Day Ahead: Ghosts of Grexit Past a Blessing for Rates in the US?

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by Matthew Graham on December 30 2014, 7:33 AM

'Grexit' was an overused term--mostly in 2012--that referred (shockingly) to a "Greek exit" from the Eurozone. I hate overused fad jargon just as much as the next person, but even I gave in. In fact, it was more like 'in for a dime...
MBS RECAP: Still in Holiday Mode, Bond Markets Improve on European Drama

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by Matthew Graham on December 29 2014, 4:37 PM

Nothing happened this afternoon to add any information or market momentum already in place this morning. The morning events were covered in greater detail HERE . The bottom line is that US bond markets followed European bond markets into stronger territory...
MBS MID-DAY: Rally Pulls Back After Fuel Dries up

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by Matthew Graham on December 29 2014, 2:03 PM

It's been a pretty simple trading session. Overall, participation remains much lower than normal, but has picked up from Friday's levels (which were the lowest of 2014). Much of the increased activity was a factor of an even busier trading day...
MBS Week Ahead: Holiday-Shortened Week and Year-End Trading Potential

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by Matthew Graham on December 29 2014, 7:27 AM

The end of the month, quarter, or year brings additional trading considerations and we have all three this week. Some measure of "year-end" trading will have already taken place, but the question is how much. With that in mind, the first significant...
MBS MID-DAY: Slowest Session of the Year; This Might be a Recap

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by Matthew Graham on December 26 2014, 7:36 PM

As foreseen, foretold, and prophesied, today's trading session was the slowest of the year for bond markets. It wasn't even close either. 10yr Futures contacts were still under 80k by noon, which is roughly a tenth of what we'd see during...
MBS Day Ahead: Lowered Expectations for the Most Official of Unofficial Market Closures

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by Matthew Graham on December 26 2014, 8:23 AM

The day after Christmas falls on a Friday this year. Incidentally, that's today, and that fact puts us in a position to even more firmly declare it an unofficial holiday . Despite the prevalent role of algorithmic trading in some sectors, markets...
MBS RECAP: Token Improvement After Auction; Early Close

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by Matthew Graham on December 24 2014, 1:58 PM

NOTE: Bond markets close at 2pm Eastern today and normal trading hours resume on Friday. There was not much to write home about in today's session, especially considering the short amount of time that's passed between now and the mid-day update...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Continue Pouting Ahead of 7yr Auction

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by Matthew Graham on December 24 2014, 11:20 AM

The last potentially notable event on today's calendar is the 7yr Treasury Auction coming up at 11:30am. 7yr auctions aren't typically something markets care much about, and today's is only really worth mentioning on a relative basis--that...
MBS Day Ahead: Some Solace from the Season; Wheel Keeps on Spinning

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by Matthew Graham on December 24 2014, 7:16 AM

The thing about the big holiday weeks (Thanksgiving and Christmas) is that even though we can discount most of what's happening in terms of volatility, we can't ever be sure that "what's happening" won't end up being in line...
MBS RECAP: The Kind of Holiday Session we Hope to Avoid; Bond Markets Pounded

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by Matthew Graham on December 23 2014, 4:56 PM

Measures of bond market volatility spiked this morning WELL before the 8:30am GDP reading. Of course a +5.0 GDP vs a 4.3% forecast will get all kinds of credit for dragging bond yields higher, but to watch markets trade it out, that really wasn't...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Pushed Weaker by Slippery Slope of Illiquidity

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by Matthew Graham on December 23 2014, 1:00 PM

Despite an abundance of seemingly relevant economic data, volumes are merely on pace with yesterday, which was the slowest session in more than 3 months. With GDP coming in much stronger than expected, it may well seem like the data is motivating the...

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MND NewsWire

Existing Home Sales End Year on Higher Note

Existing home sales yo-yoed again in December. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said total sales of existing homes, including single family...
Pipeline Press

Non-Performing Loan News; CFPB vs. Wells & Chase...

I am in Portland, Oregon today, but I flew, of course, commercial. In things to note, in Davos, Switzerland, where the famous finance folks are, 1,700...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Bond Markets Set up Technical Defenses...

It would be nice if yesterday's European Central Bank announcement had come with an instruction manual that let markets know how to react and at what...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Thread the QE Needle, but What's...

10yr yields rocketed from 1.94 to 1.81 after this morning's ECB QE announcement and then leveled off right in between (that's 1.875 for those of...
MND NewsWire

Six Economists Reach Similar Conclusions on 2015 Housing...

Optimism about the housing market has been a "misplaced notion" for the last seven years according to Wells Fargo Senior Economist Mark Vitner, But 2015...
MND NewsWire

Wells Kickback Scheme Involved More Than 100 LOs, Garnered...

Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase along with a former Wells Fargo employee and his wife are the subjects of consent orders filed by the Maryland Attorney...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Hold Perfectly Steady Despite Massive...

Mortgage rates didn't budge today. That's impressive considering the amount of volatility in financial markets leading up to and following the European...
MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Moderate Losses, but Ample Volatility...

By the time this morning's ECB QE announcement hit, there was little doubt about it's existence. Bond markets spent the overnight session continuing...
Pipeline Press

Rating Agency Settles; M&A on Fire; Agency News;...

Youth might be wasted on the youth, but maybe not education. MBA Education today announced the launch of Mortgage Banking Bound , a program designed to...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Big Day No Matter What, Including Hilarious...

Today is one of those special days for financial markets where we finally come to an event with so much hype that it's a big deal no matter how it...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Rates Consolidate as Markets Prepare for Big News

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher on average today. Recently high volatility in financial markets continues driving stratified pricing strategies...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Frustrating Sell-Off for Bond Markets. ...

This may be the first time in the history of the MBS Commentary that Canada has made an appearance as a relevant market mover--let alone a headline appearance...
MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Snowball Selling After Busy Morning of...

Unexpected headlines have given markets plenty to digest this morning. German bond markets began pushing yields higher right from the start of the overnight...
MND NewsWire

Residential Construction Tepid in December but Gained...

December's numbers for residential construction were mixed when compared to November, but all were better than the monthly figures the previous December...
Pipeline Press

MI Update; Eminent Domain Info; MBA Wants You to Write...

A new JPMorgan Chase report indicates that summer jobs for young adults have significantly declined . Less than half of young people (46%) who applied...
MND NewsWire

Rates Continue to Stoke Refinancing Surge

Applications for mortgage refinancing scored a second straight week of solid growth during the period ended January 16, with the Mortgage Bankers Associations...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Would ECB QE be Good or Bad for Rates...

This question has come up a lot recently, so let's discuss it. What follows will be my take on it, and I have no idea if it will be the right take...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Mixed to Begin Volatile Week

Mortgage rates were truly mixed today, with some lenders improving while others moved higher. More than a few were unchanged or close to it. All this despite...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Meager Gains Intact Following Afternoon...

Anxiety and anticipation are in full supply as markets approach Thursday's exceptionally important ECB news. Last Friday, this anxiety took the form...
MND NewsWire

Supreme Court to Review Fair Housing Interpretation

The Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on Wednesday that may drastically change the way in which the 1968 Fair Housing Act has been interpreted. In...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.65%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.03%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.63%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-16 (0-04)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-14 (0-02)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 111-23 (-0-02)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 4.93%
|
Refinance Index 0.90%
|
FHFA Home Price Index 0.67%

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