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MBS RECAP: Apocalyptic Catalogue of Reprice Alerts

MBS SPECIAL ALERT: Bernanke Confirms Stabled Stallion

Differences Between Past and Current FOMC Statements

MBS MID-DAY: Yesterday's Gains Erased Ahead of Fed

The Day Ahead: Fed's Script Already Out. Will They Stick...

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Mortgage Rates Annihilated; Brief History of All-Time Lows

Origination Report Notes Improving Closing Rates and Timing

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Mortgage Applications Continue Tumbling as Rates Rise

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Mortgage Market Hit Hard by Fed Announcement; Bernanke OK with Higher Rates; Apps Tumble; Servicers Struggle With Settlement

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MBS RECAP: Decent Data, Friendly Auction, Hope Stays Alive

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May 30 2013, 4:05 PM

The NY Fed did not buy any Fannie 2.5s this past week compared to 100 million in the previous week. Fannies continued to run just under double Freddies ($6.15 bln Fannie vs $3.6 bln Freddie). Ginnie Purchases stayed at $2.45 bln--same as last week--meaning...
MBS MID-DAY: Consolidating Near Yesterday's Highs Ahead of Auction

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May 30 2013, 11:05 AM

- +0.3 vs +1.1 forecast - Highest index level in 3 years (FTHB tax credit expiration mini-boom in early 2010) Pending home sales improved slightly in April and continue to be well above a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Gains...
The Day Ahead: Friendly Data Would Make this Chart Look Great for MBS

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by Matthew Graham on May 30 2013, 7:42 AM

Jobless Claims at 8:30am will be the key release of the morning, unless GDP manages to surprise. Either way, 8:30am is the focal point and we'd expect MBS to make a decision (or confirm yesterday's decision) about the following chart shortly thereafter...
MBS to Fire-Breathing Sell-Off Dragon: 'Your Move'

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by Matthew Graham on May 29 2013, 6:33 PM

MBS Live : MBS Afternoon Market Summary There's not much to discuss this afternoon as far as organic market motivations are concerned. That's a funny way of saying that the "stuff" that would normally cause Fannie 3.0s to rally 5/8ths of a point in one...
MBS MID-DAY: Holding Ground Ahead of Treasury Auction

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May 29 2013, 11:05 AM

Treasuries were in rough shape overnight as Japanese markets pushed yields higher at the outset. After Japanese Government bonds hit two successive highs and USD/Yen hit 102.50 for the third time, US 10's moved dower from overnight highs of 2.235...
The Day Ahead: Picking Up Pieces or Making More

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by Matthew Graham on May 29 2013, 7:38 AM

Yesterday was the worst day for MBS and mortgage rates since ' Black Wednesday ,' on May 27, 2009. A lot has changed in those four years and a lot of the most significant parts of the most significant change has happened in 2013 with the month of May...
MBS RECAP: Worst Day of Losses Since Black Wednesday

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May 28 2013, 4:05 PM

The Selling Guide has been updated to include changes to the following: Miscellaneous Income and Documentation Requirements Single Entity Ownership in a Project Texas Section 50(a)(6) Mortgages – Adding 5-Year Adjustable-Rate Mortgages Calculation of...
MBS SPECIAL ALERT: Melt-Down Continues. Rate Sheets Destroyed

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2013, 3:26 PM

Although we don't typically publish "alerts" to the MBS Commentary channel (because of MBS Live ), today feels like a good day to break those rules considering the sheer level of destruction we're witnessing. The day itself isn't on the scale of 'Black...
MBS MID-DAY: A Full Point Sell-Off in First 3 Hours

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2013, 11:59 AM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary In this morning's " week ahead " post, we highlighted the previous support seen around 2.04-2.07 percent in 10yr yields and that longer-run economic fundamentals (i.e. where would we be without QE?) might logically...
The Week Ahead: Revisiting Familiar Battlegrounds, for Better or Worse

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by Matthew Graham on May 28 2013, 7:29 AM

The past 4 weeks of selling brings MBS and Treasuries back to the scene of old battlegrounds from sell-offs past. With a moderate week of economic data, a round of Treasury auctions, and 'month-end' on Friday, we have the opportunity to either relive...
MBS RECAP: Technically an Early Close, but Buyers Never Showed Up

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May 24 2013, 4:09 PM

We finally got a bounce that has materialized into something meaningful. The lows look like they starged coming in as early as 11:30, but were dragged lower still at 12:11pm. At that point, the cries of "come get me down here sellers!" from...
MBS MID-DAY: Negative Reprices in the AM: Breakfast of Champions

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by Matthew Graham on May 24 2013, 12:55 PM

MBS Live : MBS Morning Market Summary Please not the timestamp on the price table below as Fannie 3.0s are currently down 3 ticks at 101-19, but had been as low as 101-13 earlier this morning. Negative reprice alerts on MBS Live went out at 11:20am, 11...
The Day Ahead: Do or Die Time for MBS

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by Matthew Graham on May 24 2013, 7:37 AM

Welcome to a crazy day for markets, maybe. It's a quadruple witching session, meaning that futures and options for single stocks and stock indices are all expiring on the same day. It happens 4 times a year and though it's seen more than a few sideways...
MBS RECAP: Attempting To Consolidate After Wednesday's Sell-Off

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May 23 2013, 4:09 PM

Highlights: - Net Purchases $15.3 bln vs $15.1 bln previously - Allocations roughly similar with some 'up-in-coupon' exceptions. - Fannie 2.5's dropped to $100 mil from $350 mil previously - Fannie 3.5's rose to $700 mil from $450 mil...
MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Green, MBS Red

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May 23 2013, 11:09 AM

It was only a minor beat for the just-released New Home Sales report, but MBS are now down a tick on the day at 101-20. 10yr yields are up a quick 2bps since the report to 2.025 and for lenders that priced at an inopportune time near the highs of the...

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