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MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Generally Flat for Past 3 Days; NFP Tomorrow

MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Hold Ground in Volatile Trading as Europe...

MBS Day Ahead: ECB Detailing QE Today; NFP Tomorrow; Plenty for...

MBS RECAP: Bonds Opt to Hold Ground After Morning Data Volatility...

MBS MID-DAY: NFP Anxiety Keeping Bond Markets Defensive

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Single Fannie/Freddie Security Details Coming Soon - FHFA

Mortgage Rates Flat for 2nd Day; Jobs Report Looms Large

Mortgage Credit Availability Boosted by Jumbos and 97LTV

Basel III Update; Training and Events; M&A Continues; Lending...

Mortgage Rates Pause Ahead of Big Events

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Published: 3/5/2015

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MBS RECAP: Late Day Grexit Head-Fake Delivers only Modest Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2015, 5:29 PM

The last few highlighted comments at the bottom of this page tell the story of the late-day headlines. The first one caught markets' attention: RTRS- EU, GREECE COME TO AGREEMENT IN PRINCIPLE, MEETINGS TO CONTINUE-CNBC And a few minutes later, the...
MBS MID-DAY: Treasuries Under Pressure Ahead of Auction; MBS Somewhat Affected

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2015, 12:34 PM

Today has turned out to be a total dud so far in terms of actionable information for traders. Although there's still technically time, we've seen absolutely nothing of interest come out of today's Eurogroup meeting. And that's not to say...
MBS Day Ahead: Important 48 hours for Europe; US Bond Markets Thinking About Support

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by Matthew Graham on February 11 2015, 7:32 AM

Europe is a tangled mess of politics and bureaucracy that puts anything else to shame. Why do I say this? First, because it's true. Second, and more importantly, I need to preemptively cover myself in case any of the following isn't accurate....
MBS RECAP: Bonds Stay on the Ropes Ahead of European Meetings and Auctions

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by Matthew Graham on February 10 2015, 5:30 PM

Bond markets got the 3yr Treasury auction out of the way today. While it was noticeably positive for Treasuries, it was the least potent of the 3 in terms of market movement potential. 10's and 30's are yet to come in the next two days. Along...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Little-Changed, Listening to Greece's Prank Phone Calls

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by Matthew Graham on February 10 2015, 12:22 PM

If I didn't know any better (and I might not), I'd guess that someone from Greece is calling up news organizations and pretending to be an EU official, claiming that the two sides are close to reaching a compromise deal. Whether it was a Greek...
MBS Day Ahead: Recent Pain for US Bond Market May Just be Price of Admission

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by Matthew Graham on February 10 2015, 7:37 AM

Remember 2008 though the middle of 2011, or the 2nd half of 2013? Me neither, but I went back and read a few of my old posts and think I have a pretty good idea of what happened. One of the key differences between that time frame and everything since...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Lose Ground After Head-Fake Toward Modest Gains

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by Matthew Graham on February 09 2015, 7:16 PM

After Friday's aggressive sell-off, bond markets managed only a modest bounce back before acquiescing to even weaker levels by the close. There were no data or headline events to motivate any salient runs in either direction today. This remained true...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Trying to Hold Near Friday's Weakest Levels

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by Matthew Graham on February 09 2015, 12:56 PM

The most interesting news overnight was the reaffirmation from Greek leaders that the country is done with austerity, no matter the cost. At this point, European trading levels are suggesting two things that didn't used to go together: a Greek Eurozone...
MBS Week Ahead: Light Domestic Calendar Leaves Focus on Eurozone as Greece Doubles Down

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by Matthew Graham on February 09 2015, 7:34 AM

In many ways, the current tussle between Greece and its creditors is reminiscent of past iterations. There's some bluffing, posturing, lying, feigned ignorance, and outlandish goals that both sides know will never be achieved. Past iterations have...
MBS RECAP: February Continues to be the Un-January; Jobs Report Pushes the Pace

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2015, 6:13 PM

In a real sense, today's bond market weakness was nothing more than a continuation of February's existing trend on steroids. Multiple asset classes had been moving away from risk into the end of January and have quickly been reversing those positions...
MBS MID-DAY: Ugly Morning For Bond Markets; Strong Jobs Numbers Add to Pain

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2015, 2:07 PM

This morning's MUCH -stronger than expected NFP hit bond markets while they were already on the back foot in terms of the February trend. It followed another "higher low" in German Bunds, which is one of the main co-indicators of Treasury...
MBS Day Ahead: Here's Why NFP Means Absolutely Nothing Past the Next Few Hours

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by Matthew Graham on February 06 2015, 7:05 AM

Oh man... I'm about to say some crazy stuff . If I could go back in time one year and tell myself "hey, past self, in a year you're going to write an article and make a crazy chart claiming that NFP doesn't matter any more," I might...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Play it Safe Ahead of NFP; Mortgages Outperform

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by Matthew Graham on February 05 2015, 5:57 PM

Last night, Treasuries attempted to play it safe ahead of the European session by rallying sharply on news they figured would have a big positive effect during the overnight session. They were partly right as Europe did open much stronger, but the weakness...
MBS Day Ahead: Bond Markets Filter Through Actual Significance of Yesterday's ECB News

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by Matthew Graham on February 05 2015, 7:32 AM

If you're just getting caught up, here's the long and the short of yesterday's news from the ECB in relation to Greece-inspired Euro-drama. The recently elected (Jan 26th) ruling party in Greece has been mostly holding true to their platform...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Brought Back to Positive Territory by Oil and Greek Drama

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by Matthew Graham on February 04 2015, 4:39 PM

Unlike yesterday, which had a decent start and crappy conclusion, today's trading session began with bond markets at their weakest levels in more than 2 weeks, but ended with a strong move back into positive territory. Better yet , the motivation...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.85%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.15%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.82%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-19 (0-00)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-29 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 112-10 (-0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 0.10%
|
Refinance Index 0.46%
|
Purchase Index -0.24%

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