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How Sweet It Is!

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2008, 9:01 PM

Closing time for MBS and we continued our hot streak right up until the bell, ending on the highs of the day with the 5.5% coupon at 100-31, just a scant 1/32nd from the glorious 101-00 level. So even though you may be getting reprices for the better...
Still Rockin' and Rollin'

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2008, 6:44 PM

We're skyrocketing right now towards 101-00 on the 5.5% coupon. Do not lock. Even if profit-takers in the MBS market decide to start selling off, we've come up so far that we still will not reprice for the worse on the day. If the gains hold these levels...
Don't Forget Your Second Wind...

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2008, 2:57 PM

MBS have found their second wind after taking a bit of a beating this morning. Well, the losses this morning were more likely an extension of those from yesterday as the data has been more or less on our side this morning. The Consumer sentiment reading...
Before The News

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by Matthew Graham on March 28 2008, 12:04 PM

The MBS market is adding to losses that came yesterday afternoon with the 5.5% coupon down 5/32nds so far. Yesterday was frustrating for bears and bulls as inflation and "loss" concerns ruled the day. Money left the market in both stocks and bonds partly...
Up and Down Again

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2008, 6:29 PM

After we tanked earlier we're back up a bit to noon's levels. Floating is safe again for now. Ah, but as I typed that last sentence the market is tanking again, straight off a cliff. Price change for the worse highly likely.
Dropping rapidly

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2008, 4:19 PM

We've come off 4/32nds in price quite rapidly in the last 10 minutes. If your rates are out already this morning, some lenders may reprice for the worse.
Economy and Jobless Claims Hold Steady - MBS Unhappy

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2008, 1:10 PM

The relevant data this morning: GDP = 0.6%, dead even with analysts' expectations. Although this is a very poor growth rate, the fact that it is in line with analysts' predictions means the weakness of the reading had already been "priced in" to trading...
Price Changes (details to follow)

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by Matthew Graham on March 27 2008, 1:06 PM

MBS Price Data Price Change FNMA 5.0 98-15 /16 -0-11 FNMA 5.5 100-15 /15 -0-10 FNMA 6.0 102-03 /04 -0-05 FNMA 6.5 103-11 /13 -0-03
Languishing near unchanged

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 5:41 PM

MBS can't seem to pick up enough steam to get back up the hill. More conservative lenders may reprice an eighth or so for the worse. That's about a 50/50 shot, maybe less. If you're convinced of poor economic data tomorrow, floating still makes sense...
Coming back now

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 5:10 PM

The cliff had a shallow floor and we're still positive on the day 4/32nds. If you didn't see your reprice yet, floating again is likely an acceptable risk.
off a cliff...

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 4:52 PM

strong potential for a negative reprice unless we turn a corner right away.
a bit more pronounced now

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 4:39 PM

another 3/32nds hit in the last 5 minutes. I hate to do so, but locking now may avoid a potential reprice today, even ahead of potentially improving rates tomorrow.
Just a head's up

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 4:27 PM

We've pared about 4/32nds from our highs of the morning. Normally wouldn't even be worth mentioning, but since the highs coincided with the time frame that many lenders priced this morning, some of the more conservative types may sneak in a .125 YSP price...
Durable Goods Orders Fall, MBS Advances

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 1:12 PM

Relevant Data For Today: Durable Goods, which were expected to rally by 0.7% actually lost 1.7%. This is significantly weaker than expected and another feather in the cap of the big, bad, recession wolf. Too bad for the economy yes, but generally speaking...
Morning Pricing

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by Matthew Graham on March 26 2008, 1:03 PM

MBS Price Data Price Change FNMA 5.0 99-01 / 01 +0-08 FNMA 5.5 100-29 /30 +0-07 FNMA 6.0 102-10 /11 +0-04 FNMA 6.5 103-15 /15 +0-02

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