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Light News Day, MBS Doing Fine (so far)

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2008, 12:40 PM

There are no scheduled economic reports set to release today that will effect mortgage rates, so traders will spend the day watching stocks and reacting to news headlines. Currently, MBS is about 4/32nds off its highs for the morning which puts us at...
We're Goin Ballistic Mav! Go Get 'Em!

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2008, 6:12 PM

Sorry, I thought today called for a Top Gun quote considering the MBS market just turned positive on the day. 5.5 is up 3/32nds and 6.0 is up 2/32nds! This is a big improvement considering the 5.5 note was at 99-06 at its lowest today and now it is at...
Don't be fooled by that 10 year treasury

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2008, 4:54 PM

I make it a point on certain days to let you know when the treasuries are moving in concert with MBS, which gives you the ability to have instantaneous access to MBS pricing, for all intents and purposes. Conversely, I need to let you know that today...
Sorry To Report....

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2008, 2:39 PM

MBS are down. If your lender has already issued rates this morning, a reprice for the worse may be potential. If you don't have rates yet, they won't be looking very good when they arrive. We're down 9/32nds on the 5.5% coupon. This will probably already...
No Scheduled Releases

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2008, 11:28 AM

MBS are holding steady at the moment with no change over yesterday's pricing (from the end of the day, which ended up fairly well). Currently the 5.5% coupon MBS is at 99-21 /22. Market movers today will be stocks and any potential headline risk. We are...
MBS decidedly upbeat

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2008, 7:57 PM

Though we are not seeing much movement in treasuries, MBS continue to move higher, widening the gap.
Moving To Float

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2008, 7:17 PM

Rising MBS now. Floating OK again...
dropping

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2008, 4:54 PM

we've fallen below our range floor today, down about 6/32nds on the day. potential reprices for the worse.
Holding Steady

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2008, 4:24 PM

Just an update... MBS are holding their ground "range-bound" not moving above 99-22 on the high end and 99-18 on the low end. So for now, we are holding steady on the day. The 10 year treasury continues to track well on the day, so continue to use that...
The "kicking while down" has subsided... At least for now...

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by Matthew Graham on April 17 2008, 1:37 PM

Relevant Data For This Morning: Jobless Claims: Consensus : 375k. Actual 372k Thought just a hair better than expected, the expectations were for weakness to begin with, so this essentially confirms analysts predictions of a labor market that will continue...
Cliff Diving

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2008, 3:43 PM

Reprices for the worse highly likely
CPI Tame, Housing Lame, MBS Same

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by Matthew Graham on April 16 2008, 1:57 PM

MBS are just a few ticks off being unchanged for the day after a nice rally this morning on the inflation data and weak housing numbers. The CPI (consumer price index, a key measure of inflation), came in bang on with expectations at .3% and .2% excluding...
Keep Those Water Wings On...

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2008, 4:29 PM

Floating looks like the good bet for the rest of the day. The Dow has turned negative. MBS have recouped almost half of their losses and are holding steady to slightly improving. The 5.5 coupon is currently at 100-18.
Dead Cat Bounce...

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2008, 1:08 PM

Ah, the dead cat bounce! The term doesn't exactly apply to our situation this morning (as it's more of a long term analogy), but who doesn't like morbid analogies on a Tuesday morning?! Usually, we are using the term to refer to an unexpected rally in...
Beware of Cliff!

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by Matthew Graham on April 15 2008, 12:35 PM

Unless you have a lender with 24 hour lock ability, we've pretty much already gone off the cliff. But if you can lock, lock now. I'll explain why in the next post.

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