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A quiet morning sets the stage for an action-packed week.

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by Matthew Graham on April 28 2008, 8:51 AM

There is no relevant economic data scheduled for release this morning. As such, the MBS market is quiet. We are awaiting data from the fairly busy week ahead. Currently, MBS is unchanged from Friday's levels with the 5.5% coupon at 99-28. The remaining...
MBS faring better

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2008, 4:29 PM

Potential reprices for the better one the way...
Consumer Sentiment at Lowest Since 1982, MBS Respond well

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by Matthew Graham on April 25 2008, 2:07 PM

MBS would be doing very poorly indeed this morning if it were not for the Consumer Sentiment report released by university of Michigan. The number was 62.6, the weakest in 26 years and yet more evidence for an extremely weak economy with the the worst...
Doing a bit better now

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2008, 3:02 PM

Floating is still the way to go. We just crested PAR on the 5.5% coupon. That brings us up to only 9/32nds down on the day. Stay tuned for the next move!
New Home Sales Tank!

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2008, 2:14 PM

Surprise Surprise! Inventory is at 11 months. The pace of sales slowed to 526,000 annual rate. Consensus was for 580,000. This and other factors have helped shoot down the Stock plane (which never really got off the ground) and have halted the slide in...
Stronger Than Expected Economic Data Has MBS On The Run.

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by Matthew Graham on April 24 2008, 1:26 PM

Ouch! Report after report this morning all with unfavorable news for MBS. OK, so there's only two major scheduled reports today, but both of them have had a negative impact on rates this morning. In addition, we have some headlines that are likely not...
Mortgage Applications Fall, Ambac Posts Significant loss.

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by Matthew Graham on April 23 2008, 1:45 PM

The penalties offset, 2nd down and ten. The bond insurer Ambac posted worse than expected profits, losing 1.66 billion dollars. Recall the last time that bond insurers showed signs of instability was the single worst day we had for mortgage rates so far...
Here's that bounce...

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2008, 6:48 PM

in the last 20 minutes, we turned the corner and have now recaptured 5/32nds from the low point of the dive. This puts us at 4/32nds improvement on the day, which is more or less in line with where most of the lenders priced this morning.
continuing to slide

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2008, 5:56 PM

the price drop has not turned around yet and now reprices for the worse are highly likely across the board.
dropping a bit

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2008, 5:32 PM

The good news is that MBS prices rose this morning starting at about 10Am eastern. The bad news is that several lenders released pricing at the top of the curve and now the curve is falling a bit. We are down 5/32nds off the highs of the day which may...
It's quiet... Too Quiet...

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by Matthew Graham on April 22 2008, 12:57 PM

As we said, it would be a slow week for economic releases, and we are seeing evidence of that again this morning as MBS is "pretty much" unchanged day over day. Currently, we are off between 0 and 3/32nds depending on which coupon you are looking at....
price improvement for the better highly probable

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2008, 6:45 PM

mbs continue to push higher, nearing the highs of the day. we may start seeing price improvement for the better very soon from the more aggressively priced lenders
Still in Good Shape

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2008, 5:17 PM

After a few hours of indecisiveness, MBS appear to be gaining a few ticks here and there. Floating is still a safe play for today.
Light News Day, MBS Doing Fine (so far)

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by Matthew Graham on April 21 2008, 12:40 PM

There are no scheduled economic reports set to release today that will effect mortgage rates, so traders will spend the day watching stocks and reacting to news headlines. Currently, MBS is about 4/32nds off its highs for the morning which puts us at...
We're Goin Ballistic Mav! Go Get 'Em!

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by Matthew Graham on April 18 2008, 6:12 PM

Sorry, I thought today called for a Top Gun quote considering the MBS market just turned positive on the day. 5.5 is up 3/32nds and 6.0 is up 2/32nds! This is a big improvement considering the 5.5 note was at 99-06 at its lowest today and now it is at...

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