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Now may be the time...

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2008, 4:52 PM

We've leveled off on our price improvements this morning and have actually slid about 3/32nds. We may or may not get additional reprices today. If you like what you see now, it's safest to lock it in. If you want to float it out a little longer, be prepared...
Full Analysis

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2008, 2:22 PM

In news, Housing starts were stronger overall led by multi-family starts while single family starts fell by 1.7%. This report is not a major impact to the MBS market. The report of concern today is the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey...
Onward MBS Soldiers!

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2008, 2:15 PM

Now the fun begins as not only did lenders not pass on the full benefit of the rally by the end of yesterday, but we are improved again this morning owing to late breaking weak consumer confidence numbers. The 5.5% coupon has climbed to 100-22 in the...
Don't be Tempted!

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 9:21 PM

The improvements lasted all day and even into closing. We gained almost a full point today and lenders definitely have not given us that much yet. So hold out for tomorrow morning. Even if data is bad, rates should hold the same. It's worth the risk....
Down To Business

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 3:05 PM

Here's the News That's Moving Markets Today: 1. Empire State MFG Survey This report was much higher than expected last month, and we had hoped that would be an outlier as opposed to a sign of economic recovery. Today we were vindicated. The consensus...
Long Post Still Coming

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 2:38 PM

Just wanted to keep you updated. the 5.5% is holding over 100-01. Economic data was week. Full report to follow.
Breathe Easy Friends...

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2008, 1:47 PM

Today is our day. Details to follow...
graph to support previous comment

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 8:04 PM

As you can see, we were in that trench from about 10AM to 130PM when we fell out. We are back in now, and indeed pushing the upper limits with the 5.5% at 99-27. Needless to say, a wild day. Tomorrow could be even wilder.
Back in the Channel Again

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 7:51 PM

Wow, what a day. We're back above 99-24, so reprices for the better are now potential, but many lenders may play it conservatively until tomorrow.
Coming Down Now...

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 5:54 PM

Repice for the worse potential.
stabilizing

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 5:32 PM

MBS on the 5.5 is trading in a stable trench between 99-24 and 99-27. This stability may lead some lenders to reprice for the better if they were a bit conservative this morning. However, action remains volatile. Other lenders may actually reprice for...
Falling....

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 3:53 PM

down about 3/32nds in the last 20 minutes. yet more reprices for the worse becoming potential.
Dang Lawnmower!

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 2:37 PM

You know the feeling? You keep pulling the cord on the lawnmower and can't get it started? (Yeah, so what? I mow my own lawn. There, the secret's out). Well, that's the same feeling the MBS market has this morning. Floating is getting risky if your lender...
Inflation Data Better Than Expected, Markets Like It

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2008, 1:23 PM

We have quite a bit going on today... Of course the star of the party is April's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, one of the most closely watched gauges of inflation. Headline inflation rose at .2%, consensus was for .3%. Core inflation, factoring out...
Here We Go Again,

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by Matthew Graham on May 13 2008, 6:11 PM

We're down 15/32nds on the 5.5% coupon now. More potential reprices for the worse.

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