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MBS RECAP: Apocalyptic Catalogue of Reprice Alerts

MBS SPECIAL ALERT: Bernanke Confirms Stabled Stallion

Differences Between Past and Current FOMC Statements

MBS MID-DAY: Yesterday's Gains Erased Ahead of Fed

The Day Ahead: Fed's Script Already Out. Will They Stick...

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Thursday 9/18 ... Overdue Graph

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 2:40 PM

We wanted to give you an idea of just how volatile and deviant the curve has been today. In fact, we just ticked up to an impressive 100-28. The teal line is 5.5 MB. Yellow line is a ten year treasury
Thursday 9/18 .... Can you guess?...

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 2:14 PM

After breaking through support, mbs have bounced back and are currently at 100.22. We'll be back to update as necessary.
Thursday 9/18 ... DANGEROUS TERRITORY

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 1:35 PM

just ticked down to 100-15+. It would be a bad bad thing to go any lower without rallying. We'll keep you posted.
Thursday 9/18 ...Volatility

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 1:14 PM

Imagine That... Volatility..." We're back down to our floor of support at 100-18. Stocks have rallied and even treasuries have sold off in the last 5 minutes.
Thursday 9/18 ... Off the lows

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 12:57 PM

Back up off the lows a bit: 5.5's have made it back to 100-23, though this won't prevent some lenders from repricing for the worse, it may change the amount by which they reprice. All of that assumes we can hold these gains for a bit. We'll...
Thursday 9/18 ... More Losses

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 12:18 PM

We're at our magical floor of 100-16 to 100-18, on the high side right now. this is down 13 ticks on the day. at this point, even more conservative lenders will reprice
9/18 Thursday... Back down to 100-23

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 12:02 PM

skittish lenders may ding you for an eighth. Float club still in session if you have some time to wait.
Thursday 9/18 ... MBS tick up slightly, though wider to curve

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 11:31 AM

5.5's currently at 100-27, and a few ticks wider to treasuries. The Dow has given back most of it's morning's gains. Stay tuned...
Thursday 9/18 ... News In.

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 10:02 AM

Philly Fed Survey up 3.8 from -12.7 last month. Leading indicators was down slightly more than expected at -.5% versus -.2% One of the components in the LEI, prices paid, was slightly lower than expected, which is positive news for inflation. The first...
Thursday 9/18 ... At least it's more familiar...

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 9:52 AM

I think we all can agree that it was a strange and unfamiliar sight to be greeted with news of tightening spreads this morning. Looks like treasuries have taken care of that for us. Phew.... Thank goodness... That was a little too sudden (/sarcasm). Choppy...
Thursday 9/18 ... Stocks Off To The Races.... MBS No-Likey

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 9:33 AM

3 minutes after the open here, we're seeing 3-4 ticks of pressure on MBS. 5.5's are down to 100-21+.
Thursday 9/18 ... Fed Takes Unprecedented Global Liquidity Measures

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by Matthew Graham on September 18 2008, 9:04 AM

Full Story Here . MBS have opened in a very choppy 6 tick trading range. Sadly, we're on the lower end of that range now with Fannie Mae 5.5's at 100-24, which is 6 ticks down from yesterday's "going out" levels. The Fed's injection...
Breaking News

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by Matthew Graham on September 17 2008, 4:43 PM

Lloyds / HBOS merger confirmed. AND Wachovia and Morgan Stanley reportedly considering merger
WAMU puts itself up for auction

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by Matthew Graham on September 17 2008, 4:26 PM

Story here...
Wednesday 9/17 ... More movement after the close

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by Matthew Graham on September 17 2008, 3:31 PM

Yesterday we lost a lot after the close, today the opposite. We're up to 101-02 in 5.5's currently as stocks sell off in earnest. Tighter to UST's as well. Today was just ridiculous. Absolutely no bid for MBS. They can't give these things...

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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 4.14%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.36%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.25%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 106-14 (-0-13)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 108-01 (-0-10)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 108-20 (-0-11)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -3.25%
|
Refinance Index -3.43%
|
Purchase Index -3.04%

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