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MBS RECAP: Slightly Resilient, if Exceptionally Calm Day for...

MBS MID-DAY: Calm Morning For Bonds; CFPB's Double-edged...

MBS Day Ahead: Quiet Week For Bond Markets to Ponder Post-NFP...

MBS RECAP: Only Two Interesting Minutes of the Day

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Hit Hard by Stronger Jobs; Holding...

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Mortgage Rates Pause Near 2-Month Highs

Housing Recovery Continuing, but not yet Robust -Fannie Survey

Housing Scorecard Focuses on Principal Reduction Program

Latest on Fannie & Freddie; Stearns Takes #1 Wholesale Spot;...

Worst Week for Mortgage Rates since August 2013

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Mortgage Rates Pause Near 2-Month Highs; 5/3rd Exiting Wholesale; Fannie Housing Survey; Housing Scorecard Examines Principal Reductions

Published: 3/10/2014

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MBS RECAP: Outperforming Treasuries; Heading Out at Best Levels

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2014, 4:26 PM

Bond markets overall have seen a fair share of ups and downs today, albeit in a narrow range. But where Treasuries took 2 steps back, MBS usually only took 1. Where Treasuries took a step forward, MBS usually took 2. Thus we find ourselves near the end...
MBS MID-DAY: Uneventful Morning for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2014, 12:18 PM

Although Treasury yields have been moving in the same direction as stock prices, the magnitude is completely different. Whereas the S&P is up an impressive 20 points to new all-time highs, Treasury yields are merely on the edge of their weakest levels...
MBS Week Ahead: Some of This Week's Events Might Actually Matter

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2014, 8:00 AM

Frustration and confusion are ongoing themes for bond markets at the moment. The most visible antagonist in that regard is the "weather effect," whereby a harsher than average winter may or may not be affecting economic metrics enough to render...
MBS RECAP: Much Stronger Into PM Hours; Same Old Range

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2014, 4:22 PM

Bond markets were weaker in the morning hours today as corporate rate-lock selling and other tradeflow considerations left sellers in control heading into the domestic session. The weakness had run its course before 9am and shorts (those betting on rates...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Back to Unchanged Levels

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2014, 12:13 PM

Bond markets opened and spent the first hour of the day in weaker territory, but began to recover even before the Existing Home Sales data. That recovery continued after the weaker-than-expected data, though not necessarily because of it. Given the fact...
MBS Day Ahead: Another Potentially Weak Report for Markets to Disregard

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by Matthew Graham on February 21 2014, 7:45 AM

It continues to be a frustrating time for bond markets--prevented, as they are from rallying very much on strong data, but with few other reasons to sell-off abruptly. All of the above hinges on the now incessantly discussed "weather issues."...
MBS RECAP: No Help For Bonds From Weaker Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2014, 4:27 PM

Despite a solid day of volume and fairly noticeable mid-day bout of weakness, not much truly "happened" for bond markets today. There was plenty of reason to suspect that the Philly Fed data would come in weaker than expected (why forecasters...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Weaker Despite Soft Econ Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2014, 12:13 PM

While yields still aren't back to last week's highs, they've taken a few more steps in that direction. Today's damage was mostly done after the Philly Fed data. These were my thoughts on it in this morning's 'day ahead,': The...
MBS Day Ahead: Busiest Day of Economic Data; Bonds Still in the Game

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2014, 7:45 AM

Bond markets weakened yesterday, with most of the losses following the FOMC Minutes, though troubles mounted in mid-morning hours. That said, trading levels merely returned to Tuesday's weakest levels, and those weren't especially troublesome in the context...
MBS RECAP: Much Weaker After FOMC Minutes; Moderate Move in the Big Picture

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2014, 5:08 PM

The insidious thing about today's market movement--at least from the standpoint of MBS devotees--is that we began in moderately stronger territory and ended in moderately weaker territory, all inside a fairly narrow range in the bigger picture. This...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Disregard Data, Hold Steady Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2014, 12:19 PM

Treasuries and MBS are both near their weakest levels of the day, but remain in slightly better shape than yesterday's latest levels. The strongest part of the day came just before the cash open in stocks. MBS were up just over a quarter of a point...
MBS Day Ahead: More Housing Data, More Weather Effect? FOMC Minutes Too

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2014, 7:00 AM

Whither MBS go increasingly depends on whether data withers from winter weather. I'm so sorry about that sentence. In more modern words, the more the harsher-than-normal winter is used as a scapegoat for bad economic data, the less that economic data...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Defend Moderate Gains; MBS Underperform

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2014, 4:30 PM

MBS weren't quite able to keep up with the Snowball rally in Treasuries today, but the gap lessened into the afternoon. Chalk this up to an abundance of Treasury-specific motivations in the morning hours, including ebbs and flows related to corporate...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Improve on Overnight Gains; MBS Lagging Treasuries

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2014, 12:01 PM

Treasuries were slightly stronger in the overnight session with 10yr yields falling just over a bp. They've moved another 2-3bps lower as the morning progressed with most of the movement seen between data releases (as opposed to the few minutes immediately...
MBS Week Ahead: Housing Data and FOMC Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2014, 7:00 AM

Bond markets begin the holiday-shortened still waiting for a reason to do anything but merely continue in the same mildly negative trend. Said trend has carried rates moderately higher after an even bigger move lower throughout January. These two trends...

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