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MBS RECAP: Bonds Remain on the Ropes Ahead of Big-Ticket Events

MBS MID-DAY: Quiet Morning So Far; Corporate Bonds Still in Control...

MBS Day Ahead: Absence of Data Leaves Focus on Technicals and...

MBS RECAP: What is Actavis and How Did it Ruin Our Day?

MBS MID-DAY: In Hindsight, Morning's Big Sell-Off is Simple

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CoreLogic sees Continued "Strong and Progressive Uptick...

Vacancies up, Rents Moderate, but 2015 still Looks Solid for...

LO Comp Plan Survey; Recent Secondary Market Developments, Including...

Mortgage Rates Back up to 3.875 Percent

FHFA Sets Rules for Bulk Loan Sales

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Strong and Progressive Uptick in Home Prices; Rates Remain under Pressure; More Volatility Ahead; Vacancies up, Rents Down, but 2015 Still Looks Solid

Published: 3/3/2015

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MBS RECAP: Possibly a Record Day For Positive Reprices

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2015, 5:30 PM

If today wasn't a record in terms of positive reprice reports from MBS Live users, it was right up there. 44 have come through as yet, and it's not unheard of for reprices to hit even later. Their combined affect has been strong, but not epic...
MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Let Guard Down After no Yellen Bombshells

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2015, 1:18 PM

There are a lot of moving parts to today's movement, and most of them working in synergy to benefit bond markets. The day began with Greece getting their list of reforms submitted to the Eurogroup overnight. This made for a moderate amount of weakness...
MBS Day Ahead: Parent Teacher Conference with Yellen; Greece Turns in Homework

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by Matthew Graham on February 24 2015, 7:33 AM

The Fed Chair's semi-annual congressional testimonies are always a hoot. That's where we get to see a delightful mix of politicians read what some might describe as 'questions' for Janet Yellen. Poor Janet... So few of these politicians...
MBS RECAP: Treasuries Outperform as Greek Limbo Continues; Yellen Tomorrow

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by Matthew Graham on February 23 2015, 5:15 PM

Perhaps the headlines did too good of a job of selling Friday's Greek news as something more definitive than it was. After all, most headlines were some iteration of "Greece reaches agreement to extend bailout." In actuality , Greece reached...
MBS MID-DAY: Slow, Logical, Positive Day for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on February 23 2015, 12:58 PM

Despite Friday's volatile move into weaker territory, recent bond market trading decisions have been surprisingly logical. Arguably, we saw Friday afternoon's weakness because Friday morning was much stronger. In short, markets moved to the skeptical...
MBS Day Ahead: Action-Packed Week: More Greece, Then Yellen and Data

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by Matthew Graham on February 23 2015, 7:33 AM

The current week begins with what may amount to some simple housekeeping for the Eurozone as Greece submits the list of reforms it's been working on over the weekend as a part of Friday's bailout extension agreement. It could turn out to be something...
MBS RECAP: A Mere 1 Tick Change Today... Sure Didn't Feel Like It!

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2015, 5:58 PM

I will have to be careful with how emphatically I convey today's volatility to friends and family. Anyone who doesn't follow markets as closely would only be seeing essentially unchanged MBS and Treasury levels day-over-day. They would be well...
MBS MID-DAY: Greek Drama Proves Highly Entertaining Today, and Bond-Positive to Boot!

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2015, 12:21 PM

Did you catch the Day Ahead? It turned out to be pretty timely . Here it is if you need it: MBS Day Ahead: Europe no Longer Fears Dominoes; Up to Greece to Fold Since then, Greece has folded and unfolded several times, and hilariously at that! First up...
MBS Day Ahead: Europe no Longer Fears Dominoes; Up to Greece to Fold

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by Matthew Graham on February 20 2015, 7:32 AM

Things began to change in the Eurozone in 2013. That was when Cyprus and Italy were providing mild aftershocks following the bigger drama in 2010-2012. Italy certainly had it's fair share of drama during that time, but if any Eurozone state takes...
MBS RECAP: Trading Day Reminds us It's All About Europe

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2015, 6:16 PM

When you get an instantaneous 7bp rally in 10yr yields following an FOMC communication, only to immediately bounce on the preexisting trendline and continue in the same direction as before, you know that bonds aren't paying the normal level of attention...
MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Trading another "Inside Day," This Time with Nagging Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2015, 1:24 PM

An 'inside day' refers to today's trading range happening completely INSIDE yesterday's trading range. The resulting lower-highs and higher lows bespeak a decrease in the overall level of conviction. It's not for nothing that we've...
MBS Day Ahead: Was FOMC Enough to Change Our Fate?

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by Matthew Graham on February 19 2015, 7:34 AM

No, yesterday's FOMC Minutes weren't enough to change the fate of bond markets in and of themselves. They weren't even enough to get bond markets back to last week's levels. In the chart below, the current week begins right as 10yr yields...
MBS RECAP: Medium-Sized Dent in Yesterday's Weakness After FOMC Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2015, 6:18 PM

It was a nice, simple day as far as market watching was concerned. The overnight session was straightforward, with initial weakness driven by Eurozone headlines and data followed by some opportunistic buying after 10yr yields made it all the way up to...
POST-FOMC UPDATE: Bond Markets Breathe Sigh of Relief After Dovish Minutes

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2015, 3:07 PM

This afternoon's release of the Minutes from the most recent FOMC meeting make sense. They're filled with exactly the sort of stuff markets expected to see in late January when the statement came out. The only issue was that the statement itself was read...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Treading Water Ahead of Fed

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by Matthew Graham on February 18 2015, 12:36 PM

What a quiet day it's been so far! Today's noncommittal sideways grind is the polar opposite of yesterday's steam-roller. This wasn't necessarily destined to be the case based on overnight action though. The 6am hour was particularly worrisome...

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In our highly interconnected financial world, what happens in Europe, Greece, and Germany greatly affects our own bond and MBS markets . There has been...
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Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.85%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.15%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.83%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 108-16 (-0-04)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 110-27 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 112-10 (-0-01)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -13.19%
|
Refinance Index -15.99%
|
Purchase Index -7.08%

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