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MBS RECAP: We've Only Just Begun (to See ECB QE Volatility...

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Continue Riding ECB Wave

MBS Day Ahead: Bond Markets Set up Technical Defenses After ECB...

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Thread the QE Needle, but What's...

MBS MID-DAY: Moderate Losses, but Ample Volatility as Markets...

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Strengthening Economy Expected to "Drag" Housing Along

2015 Housing Opportunities might be Short-Lived

Existing Home Sales End Year on Higher Note

Non-Performing Loan News; CFPB vs. Wells & Chase Has Everyone...

Six Economists Reach Similar Conclusions on 2015 Housing Outlook

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Rates Back Near Long-Term Lows; Stronger Economy to Drag Housing Up in 2015, but Opportunities Could be Short-Lived; ECB QE Market Volatility

Published: 1/23/2015

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MBS RECAP: US Bond Markets Run the Table and Make it Look Easy

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by Matthew Graham on January 15 2015, 5:20 PM

When global financial markets are convulsing with uncertainty and anticipation, where can you find a safe, liquid place to park your money? One of the best, and most frequently repeated answers to that question today was: US Treasuries. 5yr Notes were...
MBS MID-DAY: Swiss Surprise Leads to Snowball Rally For Bonds

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by Matthew Graham on January 15 2015, 12:39 PM

The following is an excerpt from of an update that appeared this morning on MBS Live. Members will have already seen it. All About the Franc, 'Bout the Franc, Not Data If there's one reason that bond markets are in positive territory today, it's...
MBS Day Ahead: Nostalgia not Without Painful Memories for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on January 15 2015, 7:33 AM

Yesterday was the most exciting day in bond markets in a long time. 10yr yields made it into the 1.7's, which had an altogether different feel than the 1.8's. Reason being: we hit 1.8's quickly and effectively in October, so revisiting them...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Close at Best Levels in 20 Months Despite Late Weakness

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by Matthew Graham on January 14 2015, 5:05 PM

10yr yields spent some time in the 1.7's today and Fannie 3.0s traded over 103. Those are two things that seemed outside the realm of possibility this time last year, but thanks to Europe's impressive ability to continue screwing things up, here...
MBS MID-DAY: Very Simple, Very Awesome Day for Bond Markets So Far

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by Matthew Graham on January 14 2015, 12:47 PM

It's a very simple, very awesome day so far for bond markets. The European Court of Justice news was great for peripheral nations (Italy, Spain, Portugal, Ireland, Greece), but still beneficial for core bond markets (mainly Germany). Treasuries followed...
MBS Day Ahead: Important European Events; Retail Sales; and Congrats to the Mortgage Industry

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by Matthew Graham on January 14 2015, 7:33 AM

By the time you read this, markets will already have had a chance to begin digesting the important preliminary assessment from the European Court of Justice ( ECJ ) on the European Central Bank's ( ECB ) old bond buying program, the OMT . Long story...
MBS RECAP: Active Day for Bond Markets; Happy Ending Despite Poor Auction

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by Matthew Graham on January 13 2015, 5:03 PM

MBS and Treasuries both spent time trading on either side of unchanged today. The swings between the days highs and lows were bigger than normal , and the tenor of the day was never lopsided in favor of bulls or bears. Case in point, 10yr yields are heading...
MBS MID-DAY: Corrective Bounce Leaves Bonds Slightly Weaker

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by Matthew Graham on January 13 2015, 12:11 PM

With the 10yr auction coming up in about an hour, yields find themselves slightly higher than yesterday's latest levels. Their first move overnight was to a new 19-month low of 1.864 . That served as a cue for many bond traders to book profits on...
MBS Day Ahead: Bond Market Keeping Options Open; One More Data-Free Day

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by Matthew Graham on January 13 2015, 7:31 AM

Yesterday morning, we discussed the technical outlook for bond markets in the context of "open options." In other words, the technical studies were not as strong as they can sometimes be, but neither were they confirming any sort of negativity...
MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Hold Early Gains through Close

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by Matthew Graham on January 12 2015, 5:14 PM

Treasuries were initially a bit weaker in the overnight session, but along with German Bunds, found their footing around 7am. MBS and Treasuries crossed into positive territory shortly after the 8am open and never looked back . The first leg of the rally...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Holding Modest Gains, Fueled by Weakness Elsewhere

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by Matthew Graham on January 12 2015, 12:26 PM

Stocks, oil, Euros, and other assets that bespeak growth and risk are weaker today while bond markets are stronger. The opposite was initially the case overnight (except in the case of oil), but as domestic trading picked up for the day, bond markets...
MBS Week Ahead: Balanced Risks for Bonds, Early Auctions, Moderate Data, Eyes on Europe

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by Matthew Graham on January 12 2015, 7:35 AM

In terms of the technical trends as of last week, domestic bond markets became more balanced by the end of the week. Before that, they were certainly at more risk of weakness after bouncing at long-term low yields on Tuesday. Friday's strength kept...
MBS RECAP: Europe Reinvigorates Risk-Off Rally for Bond Markets

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by Matthew Graham on January 09 2015, 5:16 PM

European stocks tanked today. The move was underway within minutes of the morning's payrolls data which initially looked like it might give domestic stocks a boost and hurt bond markets. But domestic markets quickly acquiesced to the much larger move...
MBS MID-DAY: Bonds Stay Green After NFP, Fed-Speak, Greek Polls, Stocks, and France

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by Matthew Graham on January 09 2015, 1:26 PM

It's been a surprisingly busy morning for financial markets, and very little of that has to do with NFP. Bonds were slightly stronger overnight and after a small, but volatile reaction to NFP managed to hold inside yesterday's weaker levels. In...
MBS Day Ahead: Hoping The Orderly Correction Can at Least Remain Orderly

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by Matthew Graham on January 09 2015, 7:44 AM

Markets don't always read from a script. Beyond that, there just aren't many past examples of moves like the one at the beginning of 2015, but so far, the bounce back from Tuesday's low rates has offered essentially no surprises. If anything...

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MND NewsWire

Existing Home Sales End Year on Higher Note

Existing home sales yo-yoed again in December. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said total sales of existing homes, including single family...
Pipeline Press

Non-Performing Loan News; CFPB vs. Wells & Chase...

I am in Portland, Oregon today, but I flew, of course, commercial. In things to note, in Davos, Switzerland, where the famous finance folks are, 1,700...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Bond Markets Set up Technical Defenses...

It would be nice if yesterday's European Central Bank announcement had come with an instruction manual that let markets know how to react and at what...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Bond Markets Thread the QE Needle, but What's...

10yr yields rocketed from 1.94 to 1.81 after this morning's ECB QE announcement and then leveled off right in between (that's 1.875 for those of...
MND NewsWire

Six Economists Reach Similar Conclusions on 2015 Housing...

Optimism about the housing market has been a "misplaced notion" for the last seven years according to Wells Fargo Senior Economist Mark Vitner, But 2015...
MND NewsWire

Wells Kickback Scheme Involved More Than 100 LOs, Garnered...

Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase along with a former Wells Fargo employee and his wife are the subjects of consent orders filed by the Maryland Attorney...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Hold Perfectly Steady Despite Massive...

Mortgage rates didn't budge today. That's impressive considering the amount of volatility in financial markets leading up to and following the European...
MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Moderate Losses, but Ample Volatility...

By the time this morning's ECB QE announcement hit, there was little doubt about it's existence. Bond markets spent the overnight session continuing...
Pipeline Press

Rating Agency Settles; M&A on Fire; Agency News;...

Youth might be wasted on the youth, but maybe not education. MBA Education today announced the launch of Mortgage Banking Bound , a program designed to...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Big Day No Matter What, Including Hilarious...

Today is one of those special days for financial markets where we finally come to an event with so much hype that it's a big deal no matter how it...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Rates Consolidate as Markets Prepare for Big News

Mortgage rates moved moderately higher on average today. Recently high volatility in financial markets continues driving stratified pricing strategies...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Frustrating Sell-Off for Bond Markets. ...

This may be the first time in the history of the MBS Commentary that Canada has made an appearance as a relevant market mover--let alone a headline appearance...
MBS Commentary

MBS MID-DAY: Snowball Selling After Busy Morning of...

Unexpected headlines have given markets plenty to digest this morning. German bond markets began pushing yields higher right from the start of the overnight...
MND NewsWire

Residential Construction Tepid in December but Gained...

December's numbers for residential construction were mixed when compared to November, but all were better than the monthly figures the previous December...
Pipeline Press

MI Update; Eminent Domain Info; MBA Wants You to Write...

A new JPMorgan Chase report indicates that summer jobs for young adults have significantly declined . Less than half of young people (46%) who applied...
MND NewsWire

Rates Continue to Stoke Refinancing Surge

Applications for mortgage refinancing scored a second straight week of solid growth during the period ended January 16, with the Mortgage Bankers Associations...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Would ECB QE be Good or Bad for Rates...

This question has come up a lot recently, so let's discuss it. What follows will be my take on it, and I have no idea if it will be the right take...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Mixed to Begin Volatile Week

Mortgage rates were truly mixed today, with some lenders improving while others moved higher. More than a few were unchanged or close to it. All this despite...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Meager Gains Intact Following Afternoon...

Anxiety and anticipation are in full supply as markets approach Thursday's exceptionally important ECB news. Last Friday, this anxiety took the form...
MND NewsWire

Supreme Court to Review Fair Housing Interpretation

The Supreme Court will hear oral arguments on Wednesday that may drastically change the way in which the 1968 Fair Housing Act has been interpreted. In...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 3.65%
|
15 Yr FRM 3.03%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.63%

MBS Prices:

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps 4.93%
|
Refinance Index 0.90%
|
FHFA Home Price Index 0.67%

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