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MBS RECAP: Bonds Bounce Back From Mid-Day Swoon

MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Back Near Unchanged Levels after Stronger...

MBS Day Ahead: Last Day of Tame Data Before Things Get Serious...

MBS RECAP: Some Weakness and a Few Reprices, but Mostly Holding...

MBS MID-DAY: Hold Ground, Moderately Weaker, but Outperforming...

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Mortgage Rates Slightly Lower; Volatility Ahead; Seasonally-Adjusted Home Prices Down in May

Published: 7/29/2014

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MBS RECAP: Gains Remain Intact Through Afternoon; Narrow Range Overall

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by Matthew Graham on July 22 2014, 4:56 PM

Bond markets didn't put on much of a show today, but what little there was managed to be enjoyable . Credit that to the fact that trading levels made it back into positive territory twice and held steady through the close. Overnight weakness was a...
MBS MID-DAY: Mixed Signals From Econ Data Leave Bonds Just Slightly Weaker

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by Matthew Graham on July 22 2014, 12:22 PM

MBS began the session at a disadvantage after overnight trading pushed bond yields and stock prices higher. At 8:30am, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data was a bit softer than expected. With the increasingly real conversation about raising rates at the...
MBS Day Ahead: More on The Calendar Today, but Will it Matter?

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by Matthew Graham on July 22 2014, 7:39 AM

2014 has been an interesting year for bond markets. In fact, in terms of its ability to continually confound market expectations, it's been one of the most interesting years of the recovery. This is not because there's been any large and unexpected...
MBS RECAP: With Nothing Better to do, Bonds Follow Stocks and Headlines

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2014, 5:36 PM

If you haven't heard already (say, like 7 or 8 times from us--both before and after the fact), today's calendar was fairly light for bond markets. In terms of scheduled economic data, there was nothing significant. The slow nature of the day was...
MBS MID-DAY: With Little Else to Watch, Rates Follow Stocks Lower

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2014, 11:35 AM

With no major economic data on the calendar, and no game-changing headlines to react to, bond markets have been content to follow stocks so far this morning. Stocks are weaker and bonds are stronger. There's not much more to it than that. This dynamic...
MBS Week Ahead: Limited Data This Week, but Several Housing-Related Reports; Following Week is BIG

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by Matthew Graham on July 21 2014, 7:33 AM

In many ways, the current week will serve as a prelude to the following week, which is exceptionally packed with big-ticket events . From Wednesday to Friday (next week), we'll get the first look at Q2 GDP, ADP Employment, the last Treasury auction...
MBS RECAP: As Initial Headline Shock Fades, Bonds Level-Off

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2014, 4:02 PM

The amount of geopolitical turmoil in the world today is not materially better than yesterday, but without new surprises to fuel safe-haven demand, bond markets found no reason to extend the rally . That said, if the rally was somehow overdone or made...
MBS MID-DAY: Giving Back Some Gains; Mostly Uneventful; Some Reprice Risk

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2014, 12:13 PM

Sometimes the 2nd day of a big geopolitical move will spiral into a volatile blaze of glory. Other times, it's like today. Bond markets are calmly marching to slightly weaker levels. The same narrow trend has been intact all morning. It began PERFECTLY...
MBS Day Ahead: Basically Just Waiting on Geopolitical Risk; Dangerous Game for Bonds

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by Matthew Graham on July 18 2014, 7:31 AM

Although economic data had some small role to play in yesterday's strong bond market rally, the day was really all about geopolitical risk. If we've learned anything about geopolitical risk as a market mover, it's to not rely on it as a long term guidance...
MBS RECAP: Market Monotony Broken By Geopolitical Events; Big Rally For Bonds

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2014, 5:04 PM

Today offered a triple or possibly quadruple-whammy for bond markets, almost exclusively in the form of overseas events. The weakest among these was the notion that yesterday's announcement of new sanctions against Russia was a profound market mover...
MBS MID-DAY: Bond Markets Romp to Best Levels Amid Risk-Off Trade

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2014, 11:33 AM

Despite a much stronger-than-expected Philly Fed report, bond markets didn't lose much ground after 10am. Earlier in the morning, weaker Housing Starts data helped strengthen an overnight rally. The original strength is thought to be a factor of increasing...
MBS Day Ahead: Busiest Day of Econ Data as Bonds Try for Underdog Victory

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by Matthew Graham on July 17 2014, 7:41 AM

In a sense, bond markets came into the week as an underdog . They'd rallied the entire previous week to the lowest levels in over a month. And by Friday, that rally momentum was being shed in just such a way that suggested a correction was possible...
MBS RECAP: Uneventful Day Leaves Bond Markets Fairly Flat; MBS Underperform

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by Matthew Graham on July 16 2014, 4:42 PM

As the last few trades of the day trickle in, MBS are set to close almost perfectly in line with yesterday's closing levels. Even before that, there hasn't been much movement to speak of. The hand-off from European trading was slightly negative...
MBS MID-DAY: Mostly Sideways After Inconsequential Data and Yellen's Round 2

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by Matthew Graham on July 16 2014, 12:12 PM

Ah round 2! After a relatively civil and infinitely more relevant chat with the Senate Banking Committee, Fed Chair Yellen is now enduring what can only be described as a nauseating barrage of political grandstanding. Making things all the more frustrating...
MBS Day Ahead: Another Yellen Testimony and Second Tier Economic Data

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by Matthew Graham on July 16 2014, 7:42 AM

When it comes to the Fed Chair's semi-annual congressional testimonies, the first of the two (in this case, yesterday's Senate Banking Committee) tends to get most of the market-moving potential out of the way. That's not necessarily because...

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