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MBS RECAP: Record High MBS Prices, Record Low Rates. What Next...

MBS Day Ahead: Last Week's Comeback Was Nice, But Threats...

MBS RECAP: Record-Breaking Job Gains, But Bonds Ultimately Improve

MBS Day Ahead: Early Close and Another (Potentially) Record-Breaking...

MBS RECAP: Limited Reaction to Headlines and Fed Minutes

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More Covid Data Rolls in, Are Refis Here to Stay?

Forbearance Plans Resume Downtrend After Last Week's Uptick

CFPB Proposes New Escrow Rule

Freddie Mac's Growth Slowed, Delinquencies Spiked in May

DPA, Leads, PMI Products; Investors Ruminate on Employment Data

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Tracking Covid's Impact on Mortgages; Record Low Rates For How Long?

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MBS Day Ahead: Have You Heard The One About The Uptrend?

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by Matthew Graham on June 24 2020, 9:30 AM

Stop us if you've heard this one before, but rates are low due to an unprecedented global emergency. Unless coronavirus situations deteriorates significantly, it's only fair for rates to gradually push back toward higher levels. But if that's...
MBS RECAP: Decent Day For MBS But Broader Trend Remains a Concern

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2020, 4:16 PM

Decent Day For MBS But Broader Trend Remains a Concern Rates are low. Unless coronavirus wins (or looks like it might), rates should continue to gradually move higher, but not in a straight line. Keep the underlying, gradual, uptrend in rates in mind...
MBS Day Ahead: MBS's Turn to Outperform, But Broader Risks Remain

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by Matthew Graham on June 23 2020, 8:42 AM

We've definitely seen Treasuries improve relative to MBS more often than not in the past week or two. The most obvious driving force behind that phenomenon was fairly simple. It had to do with MBS outperforming even more noticeably in the 6 weeks...
MBS RECAP: Locking vs Floating Remains a Question of Covid vs The Economy

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2020, 3:06 PM

Locking vs Floating Remains a Question of Covid vs The Economy Rates are low. Unless coronavirus wins, rates should continue to gradually move higher, but not in a straight line. Keep the underlying, gradual, uptrend in rates in mind on days where it...
MBS Week Ahead: Recent Strength in Bonds Suggests Caution

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by Matthew Graham on June 22 2020, 8:55 AM

The bond market is starting the day fairly flat. Each of the past 4 trading days has seen yields end lower than they began. And over the past two weeks, yields have fallen on 8 out of 10 days . Sounds pretty good, right? But the strength is actually a...
MBS RECAP: Putting MBS Underperformance in Perspective

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by Matthew Graham on June 19 2020, 4:33 PM

Putting MBS Underperformance in Perspective Rates are low. Unless coronavirus wins, rates should continue to gradually move higher, but not in a straight line. At times (like today), we may see the mortgage market weaken while Treasuries improve. Today's...
MBS RECAP: Sideways Victory For Bonds and Rates

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2020, 3:10 PM

Sideways Victory For Bonds and Rates We've been tracking both a sideways trend and an uptrend in bond yields for more than 2 months now. The uptrend has been winning (and SHOULD win), but bonds were strong enough today to make a case for a return...
MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Starting Out Stronger

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by Matthew Graham on June 18 2020, 8:34 AM

The bond market had been very flat with yields near all time lows since mid-April. If there was any predisposition toward strength or weakness during that time, it was modest skew toward higher yields. Nonetheless, 0.74% was tested several times as a...
MBS RECAP: Which Way Do We Go?

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2020, 4:07 PM

Which Way Do We Go? Markets continue trying to sort out the prospects for a recovery vs the risk of covid-19 resurgence. This is resulting in strong correlation between stocks and bonds. Both have leveled off so far this week as they wait for more info...
MBS Day Ahead: Stocks and Bonds Both Waiting For an Opportunity

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by Matthew Graham on June 17 2020, 8:35 AM

Perspective is always important when considering market movement. Most decent charting software or any responsibly-created custom chart will scale the charted line to fill up most of the vertical space. The only downside of this practice is that over...
MBS RECAP: Economic Hope Squares Off Against Virus Fears (Again)

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2020, 3:58 PM

Economic Hope Squares Off Against Virus Fears (Again) Markets continue trying to sort out the prospects for a recovery vs the risk of covid-19 resurgence. Today's battle was between super strong Retail Sales data and disconcerting covid headlines...
MBS Day Ahead: Retail Sales, Powell Testimony, and The Stock Lever

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by Matthew Graham on June 16 2020, 8:27 AM

Last week saw stock prices and bond yields fall as markets got back in touch with their recent habit of trading primarily on the coronavirus outlook. It's not that this habit was ever really broken. It just was on hold as we waited to see what the...
MBS RECAP: Virus Fears Back in Focus For Markets

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2020, 3:34 PM

Virus Fears Back in Focus For Markets Rather than the gradual decline that many had hoped for, we're instead seeing a lift-off from the recently flat coronavirus numbers. This has been a driving force for financial markets with stocks sliding and...
MBS Day Ahead: Virus Fears Back in Focus For Markets

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by Matthew Graham on June 15 2020, 8:54 AM

The week begins with global financial markets once again defending against coronavirus risks. Case counts were flat in April and most of May. The implications were even better considering the effect of increased testing. But rather than a gradual decline...
MBS RECAP: 2 Wild Weeks That Mostly Cancel Each Other Out

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by Matthew Graham on June 12 2020, 4:55 PM

2 Wild Weeks That Mostly Cancel Each Other Out What a difference a week makes! Last week, the order of the day was to lament the negative momentum shift that took bond yields up and out of established ranges. Now we're already in a position to confirm...

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MND NewsWire

CFPB Proposes New Escrow Rule

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (Bureau) today issued a notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) that would amend Regulation Z of the Truth-in-Lending...
MND NewsWire

Freddie Mac's Growth Slowed, Delinquencies Spiked...

Freddie Mac reported this week that its total mortgage portfolio increased at an annualized rate of 5.5 percent in May compared to a 14.3 percent gain...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Last Week's Comeback Was Nice, But...

Last week ended with a paradoxical reaction to a jobs report that was much stronger than expected. Although bonds did lose ground at first, they ended...
Pipeline Press

DPA, Leads, PMI Products; Investors Ruminate on Employment...

Here’s a blunt reminder of what can go dramatically wrong in a fireworks stand. And here’s a blunt email that I received over the weekend....
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Record-Breaking Job Gains, But Bonds Ultimately...

Record-Breaking Job Gains, But Bonds Ultimately Improve Last month's jobs report shattered records, both for the outright level of job creation and...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Huge Housing Rebound, All-Time Low Rates, But At What...

This week's economic data included the biggest-ever gain in Pending Home Sales, a leading indicator for the housing market. Meanwhile, mortgage rates pushed...
Pipeline Press

Anti-fraud, DPA, HMDA Products; Non-QM News in Primary...

Lenders continue to count the piles of doubloons they booked during another record-breaking month; will July be another? M&A deals are still simmering...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Early Close and Another (Potentially...

Last month's jobs report shattered records, both for the outright level of job creation (2.509m) and for the gap between job growth and forecasts....
Mortgage Rate Watch

Rates at All-Time Lows Ahead of Important Jobs Data

Mortgage rates were generally unchanged today, thus leaving the average lender at all-time lows for conventional 30yr fixed scenarios. It continues to...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Limited Reaction to Headlines and Fed Minutes

Limited Reaction to Headlines and Fed Minutes After a quiet trading day yesterday, today proved to be even quieter. That said, bonds were still willing...
MBS Commentary

Fed Meeting Minute Bullet Points: What's Yield...

The minutes from the most recent Fed meeting were released today. While there's not much left to be said when they've already been so clear about...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Economic Data Ramps Up Ahead of Week's...

After a very slow start on Monday, yesterday's month-end trading session proved to be more consequential for Treasuries with yields ultimately rising...
MND NewsWire

Purchase Apps Retreat Again as Inventory Dries Up

Applications for both refinancing and purchase mortgages retreated last week , pulling the Mortgage Bankers Associations (MBA's) Market Composite Index...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Surprisingly Quiet Quarter-End Trading....

Surprisingly Quiet Quarter-End Trading. No Objections Here The last trading day of any given month (especially if it's also the end of a quarter) can...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Best Month Ever For Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates managed another slight improvement today, which means the average lender is offering new all-time low rates for the 4th time this month...
MND NewsWire

Home Prices "Remarkably Stable" in April

Home prices continued to hold up on a national basis in April. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, covering all nine U.S...
Pipeline Press

Servicing, Inspection, Loss-mit Products; CFPB's...

Some days you don’t learn much, other days you learn a lot (skip the ad). We’ve learned that COVID is driving our economy, not fundamental...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Continue at All-Time Lows, But Caveats...

Mortgage rates were unchanged to slightly lower today, bringing the average lender right in line with all-time lows . Averages aside, several lenders are...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Lock vs Float Considerations With Rates...

Lock vs Float Considerations With Rates at All-Time Lows Stocks and bond yields are still in holding patterns relative to early June volatility. Meanwhile...
MND NewsWire

Supreme Court Rules Single CFPB Director Unconstitutional

The Supreme Court, in a 5-4 decision along partisan lines, took a chunk out of the intentions the Dodd-Frank Act had for the Consumer Financial Protection...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 2.94%
|
15 Yr FRM 2.64%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 3.95%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 107-14 (-0-01)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 109-01 (-0-08)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 109-23 (-0-15)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -1.84%
|
Refinance Index -2.20%
|
Purchase Index -1.28%

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