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MBS RECAP: Best Week For Bonds in a Year

MBS Day Ahead: How did Such a Good Week Happen?

MBS RECAP: Bonds Confirm Yesterday's Strength

MBS Day Ahead: Green Shoots? Maybe. Opportunities? You Bet...

MBS RECAP: Nice Gains More About Europe Than Fed

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Other Top Headlines

Jumbo, Non-QM, ARM Lender and Investor Trends

Flipping; Turning into a Dangerous Game?

Another Reminder Not to Trust Mortgage Rate Headlines

Existing Home Sales Reverse Course, Down 3%

Home Price Index Shows Signs of Losing Momentum

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Rates Hit Holiday Weekend at Recent Lows; Homebuyers Battle Trifecta of Headwinds

Published: 5/25/2018

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MBS Day Ahead: Without Yesterday, Today would look Awful

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by Matthew Graham on May 16 2018, 9:30 AM

Today is starting out with just a hint of green on the screens. While that's certainly much better than the alternative (some historical examples see multiple days of yesterday's level of selling), it's still really far from great , and nowhere...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Tank; Yields Surge Past 2014 Highs

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2018, 5:06 PM

July 8, 2011. That's how far you'd have to go back to see higher 10yr yields than we saw today. At their worst, they were at 3.0945% . At the close, it doesn't look like they'll be much better (currently trading in the 3.07+ range). Up...
MBS Day Ahead: Since The 1980's, Only 3 Other Days Like Today

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by Matthew Graham on May 15 2018, 9:51 AM

I hate clickbait with a passion. Today's title might sound like clickbait. Do I really expect you to believe that there have only been 4 days like today since the 1980's when it comes to bond markets? Actually , yes... But I suppose if you want...
MBS RECAP: Impressionable Bonds Hit by Central Bank Comments and Issuance

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2018, 4:29 PM

Low volume and lighter-than-normal liquidity left US bond markets more impressionable than normal today. Or perhaps it IS normal given that it's a data-free Monday in the middle of May and the day after Mother's Day. Those details would logically...
MBS Day Ahead: Amid Quiet Week, Bonds Try Again

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by Matthew Graham on May 14 2018, 9:19 AM

This week's economic calendar is generally on the quiet side with Retail Sales being the only upper-echelon report in terms of its potential impact on bonds. Apart from econ data, there are a fair amount of Fed speakers on tap, but the lineup doesn't...
MBS RECAP: Forgettable

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by Matthew Graham on May 11 2018, 6:47 PM

I'm going to write at you from an analytical standpoint for a moment. Sorry, I just have to vent. Today was completely forgettable. In fact, the past 2 weeks have been pretty boring , with only a few exceptions. It's not under-complicating things...
MBS Day Ahead: Same Question, Different Day

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by Matthew Graham on May 11 2018, 8:34 AM

Are rates in the process of confirming a top or are they simply in some sort of consolidation period before continuing higher to the scarier levels we've entertained from time to time this year (say, 3.25%, or something around that)? One might read...
MBS RECAP: Bonds Improve, But Is It Enough?

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2018, 4:32 PM

With two big-ticket events on tap for bond markets today, there was always a chance that they'd go our way and that we'd see some decent gains as a result. Thankfully, that happened. In fact, bonds were already moderately stronger before the first...
MBS Day Ahead: CPI Comes Out Swinging; Auction Cycle Conclusion Up Next

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by Matthew Graham on May 10 2018, 9:40 AM

Today begins with a modestly weaker CPI (consumer price index) report generating an impressive surge in volume. In fact, the volume in the minute following the CPI release was roughly double that seen in the minute following the last NFP report. This...
MBS RECAP: 10yr Auction Confirms Rates Needed to Rise

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by Matthew Graham on May 09 2018, 7:11 PM

Today's key event for bonds was the 10yr Treasury auction because it served as an acid test for investor demand amid relatively uncertain times. Unfortunately, the auction was solid, but not so solid as to suggest bond traders had miscalculated a...
MBS Day Ahead: Last Week Increasingly Looks Like an Eye of The Storm For Bonds

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by Matthew Graham on May 09 2018, 9:36 AM

Most of April had been bad for bonds. It was like the beginning of yet another storm in a series that had battered the fixed-income coastline since last September (when the tax bill was "leaked"). Just after yields crested 4-year highs exactly...
MBS RECAP: Sellers Say "Not So Fast" to Last Week's Bond Buyers

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2018, 5:30 PM

2.95% in 10yr Treasury yields had become a bit of a battleground last week. Even in the week prior, there were two big bounces there (3 if you count Monday's 2.96%). By the end of last week, it looked like a done deal. The only catch was that you...
MBS Day Ahead: As Week Begins in Earnest, Bonds Are Under Pressure

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by Matthew Graham on May 08 2018, 9:16 AM

Yesterday's recap labeled the trading day as an official 3rd day of the weekend due to an absence of volume or volatility. The underlying culprit (apart from Mondays generally being slower) was a bank holiday in the UK that contributed to a very slow...
MBS RECAP: Another Unofficial 3-Day Weekend (Still in Progress)

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by Matthew Graham on May 07 2018, 4:36 PM

This happens from time to time on Mondays. Either due to a holiday overseas or some other distraction, a data-free Monday ends up being a complete dud in terms of volume and volatility in the US trading session. Such was the case today, with the most...
MBS Week Ahead: Auctions and CPI Data Vote on Bonds Next Move

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by Matthew Graham on May 07 2018, 9:33 AM

Longer-term rates have been in a bit of a holding pattern after deciding not to smash through the highest levels in more than 4 years at the end of April. Since then, the trend has been anything but conclusive with yields drifting mostly sideways and...

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More From MND

MND NewsWire

Flipping; Turning into a Dangerous Game?

CoreLogic says flipping is back. The term applies to the act of buying, renovating and/or repairing a house, then reselling it, all within a short timeframe...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Bonds Confirm Yesterday's Strength

Yesterday was an important one for anyone hoping NOT to see the bond market completely give up hope in the fight against higher rates. To be fair, the...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Another Reminder Not to Trust Mortgage Rate Headlines

Mortgage rates moved lower again today, bringing them to the best levels in at least 2 weeks. This assertion is very much at odds with the prevailing mortgage...
MND NewsWire

Existing Home Sales Reverse Course, Down 3%

Existing home sales put an end to two straight months of gains , retreating in April on both a monthly and annual basis. The National Association of Realtors®...
MND NewsWire

Home Price Index Shows Signs of Losing Momentum

Home prices in the first quarter of 2018 were 1.7 percent higher than at the end of the fourth quarter of last year. The Federal Housing Finance Agency...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Green Shoots? Maybe. Opportunities...

One short week after hitting the worst levels in nearly 7 years there's suddenly a semblance of hope again for bonds. It was one thing to see last...
Pipeline Press

Broker Products; Upcoming Events; Financial Services...

The conference this week? I attended various presentations dealing with housing finance and the economy in general. Even in the face of rising rates, the...
MND NewsWire

Tax Cut Gains Forecast to Fade Away in 2019

Fannie Mae is backing down slightly on its economic forecast for the remainder of 2018. The first quarter GDP growth of 2.3 percent was the slowest in...
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April Delinquencies Improve Despite Historic Pattern

Loan performance continued to improve in April, even though Black Knight says mortgage delinquencies have a historic pattern of increasing during that...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Nice Gains More About Europe Than Fed

Bonds surged to significantly stronger levels in the presence of the Fed Minutes today. Any time we see strong gains on a day with a Fed release, chances...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Drop to Lowest Levels in 2 Weeks

This week hadn't been too traumatic for mortgage rates through yesterday afternoon, but neither had it been positive in any noticeable way. That changed...
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Houses Passes S2155, Unwinds Less of Dodd-Frank Than...

The House of Representatives passed a sweeping overhaul of regulations included in the 2010 Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on...
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New Home Sales Continue to Improve on Annual Basis

New home sales dipped in April, a reversal that was expected by many analysts . The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development...
MBS Commentary

MBS Day Ahead: Italian Impact Continues, Helping Bonds...

I woke up this morning to an automated alert from MBS Live letting me know I'd need to hustle to the desk and explain whatever it was that caused the...
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Freddie Mac to Address Origination Barriers for Young...

Reams of data have been gathered about what appear to be significant changes in the profile of younger homebuyers and consequently mortgage borrowers....
Pipeline Press

Lender Products; Congress' Take on TILA, PACE Loans...

Every vendor here at the MBA conference suggests they can help clients close more loans faster, more efficiently and compliantly. If only all these lenders...
MND NewsWire

Refinance Applications Near 18-Year Low

Mortgage rates surged significantly during the week ended May 18, sending mortgage activity skidding for the fifth straight week . The Mortgage Bankers...
MBS Commentary

MBS RECAP: Bonds on Autopilot Ahead of Fed Minutes...

For the 2nd straight day , trading levels in bond markets held inside a narrow range--far narrower than that seen on any given day last week, let alone...
Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage Rates Super Flat So Far This Week

After quite a bit of volatility and a move up to 7-year highs last week, mortgage rates have managed to avoid any semblance of drama so far this week....
MND NewsWire

Increasing Number of Homes Built as Rental Property

As if the new home inventory wasn't tight enough, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) say a higher proportion of those homes are being built...

Mortgage Rates:

30 Yr FRM 4.61%
|
15 Yr FRM 4.04%
|
Jumbo 30 Year Fixed 4.65%

MBS Prices:

30YR FNMA 4.5 104-06 (0-06)
|
30YR FNMA 5.0 105-28 (0-02)
|
30YR FNMA 5.5 107-16 (0-12)

Recent Housing Data:

Mortgage Apps -1.15%
|
Refinance Index -2.64%
|
Purchase Index 5.06%

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