Bond market holiday inertia would have been happy to continue were it not for a relative smattering of drama in European bond markets overnight.  In fact, the inertia at home DID ultimately continue, but that wasn't obviously going to be the case earlier this morning.  At times, 10yr yields were more than 5bps higher than Friday's latest levels.

While I'm more than content to chalk almost any movement at this time of year up to temporary and inconsequential forces, I can appreciate that a move of that size is interesting enough to discuss a bit further.  In today's case, it was entirely a European affair, as the following chart will show.

20191230 close

Simply put, US yields were flat and boring until European markets opened.  A surge toward higher yields in Europe precipitated some spillover selling in the US.  As soon as European markets closed, US bond markets were quickly on their way back toward last Friday's levels.  To be fair, domestic stock market weakness likely didn't hurt, but I'd give that more credit for helping bonds hold their ground in the 9am hour.  


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-15 : +0-00
Treasuries
10 YR
1.8880 : +0.0150
Pricing as of 12/30/19 4:32PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
8:37AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: European Sell-Off Leading Bond Yields Higher

Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 30
9:45 Chicago PMI * Dec 48.9 48.0 46.3
10:00 Pending Home Sales (%) Nov +1.2 1.2 -1.7
10:00 Pending Sales Index Nov 108.5 106.7