There was a bit of a giveaway in this morning's commentary, titled "Brexit Headlines vs Retail Sales."  Indeed, it's "Brexit headlines" that answer the question in the most recent headline.  

In other words, bond markets at home and abroad (but especially abroad) were focused on moving higher in yield this morning in response to Brexit headlines.  One notable example hit just before the Retail Sales data came out.  A reading of -0.3% vs a forecast of +0.3% is a fairly meaningful miss for this data series and certainly worth more improvement in bonds than we saw.  But because of the upward pressure created by the Brexit reaction, all we got was ground-holding while European yields continued higher.

In fact, once traders made their Retail Sales trades, US yields went a bit higher too, but never high enough to move into negative territory on the day.  After European markets closed, the balance tipped back in favor of buyers and bonds improved moderately before holding sideways near the days better levels for the rest of the session.

Brexit-related risks remain, with 2 more days to go before the "no-deal Brexit" deadline.  There's a smattering of domestic econ data tomorrow, but none of it as important as today's Retail Sales.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
101-07 : +0-05
Treasuries
10 YR
1.7450 : -0.0240
Pricing as of 10/16/19 6:30PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
8:54AM  :  Big Miss in Retail Sales; Bonds Only Somewhat Interested

Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Actual Forecast Prior
Wednesday, Oct 16
7:00 MBA Purchase Index w/e 250.6 252.2
7:00 Mortgage Refinance Index w/e 2505.8 2418.1
8:30 Retail Sales (%)* Sep -0.3 0.3 0.4
10:00 NAHB housing market indx Oct 71 68 68
10:00 Business Inventories (% ) Aug 0.0 0.2 0.4