In the day just past, bonds started out in stronger territory only to lose ground by the closing bell.  This wasn't necessarily destined to be the case, but a rather weak 7yr Treasury auction suggested that the recently bottomless demand for Treasuries may indeed have a limit.  The next biggest move of the day happened at the 3pm CME close.  This is notable because it suggests trading itself is a bigger motivation than economic fundamentals--at least this week.

In the day ahead, we can expect the same patterns to continue, with the economic data of little importance next to any potential tradeflow-driven or technical moves.  Case in point, the 8:30am econ data has had no impact.  We're more likely to see a reaction to the times on the clock that affect liquidity (like 9:30am, noon, or 3pm ET).  

In terms of bigger picture technicals, we can continue to watch the trend channel that's been in effect for most of the month.  Yesterday say a positive breakout attempt that ultimately failed by the close.  The risk, from a technical standpoint is that the failure results in tradeflow momentum heading in the other direction, but with momentum indicators still overbought and yields still holding near the bottom of the channel, we haven't seen firm evidence of "lift-off" yet.

2019-5-30 open


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.5
101-19 : +0-02
Treasuries
10 YR
2.2590 : +0.0230
Pricing as of 5/30/19 9:25AMEST

Tomorrow's Economic Calendar
Time Event Period Forecast Prior
Thursday, May 30
8:30 GDP Prelim (%)* Q1 3.1 3.2
8:30 Jobless Claims (k) w/e 215 211
10:00 Pending Sales Index Apr 105.8
10:00 Pending Home Sales (%) Apr 0.9 3.8